Conflict in the age of unrest - The New World (Dis) Order (EP 8) - with Alex Stubb

In episode 8 of "The World (Dis) Order," Professor Alex Stubb navigates the third part (chapter 8) of his forthcoming book focusing on conflict.
In the episode, Professor Stubb breaks down the many aspects of modern conflict breaking down three points: hybrid warfare, blurred domestic and foreign policy and systems of change.
He explains why the last few decades can be described as the "age of unrest", with turmoil both at the local and international levels disrupting the post-Cold War era order.
- In memory of President Martti Ahtisaari (1937-2023), Nobel Peace laureate -
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Пікірлер: 49

  • @zacharydavis4398
    @zacharydavis43986 ай бұрын

    Happy Independence Day🇫🇮 Thank you for spending the time to create and share this content 🙏🏾

  • @lindawhittle4943
    @lindawhittle49436 ай бұрын

    Excellent Presentation!!!

  • @Cle44139
    @Cle441393 ай бұрын

    Very surprised to see your face in the news - congrats on the Victory! We will await your book once you gain new perspectives, and, likely, chapters : )

  • @NIL0S
    @NIL0S6 ай бұрын

    Happy indipendence day 🇫🇮

  • @jaska05

    @jaska05

    5 ай бұрын

    What independence?😂

  • @mirellafalso6112
    @mirellafalso61126 ай бұрын

    A fascinating insight. A very enlightening series!

  • @masterchinese28
    @masterchinese286 ай бұрын

    I look forward to reading the book.

  • @juliocesaracosta2289
    @juliocesaracosta22896 ай бұрын

    Really enjoying and learning a lot from this series. Looking forward for the book!

  • @tomek5513.
    @tomek5513.6 ай бұрын

    Well done.

  • @ruralofficeworkspace4769
    @ruralofficeworkspace47696 ай бұрын

    Spot on in your conclusion. I will repeat it, if I may, in case some people missed it. The Global West is perfectly content with the unipolar world dominated by themselves. The Global East wants to evolve to a Bi-Polar world with them in stong competition with the Global West. The Global South doesn't much like either of those two options because it leaves them out in the cold again. The Global South is where the proverbial rubber meets the road.

  • @banesovilj
    @banesovilj6 ай бұрын

    Thank you for the great presentation! What puzzles me enormously is the frequent world's division on the Global West, Global East, and Global South, which seems to be an artificial construction. There is no proof that the GS does actually exist; LDCs are the least integrated entities and have no power even within their "togetherness" at the UNGA; they are just a bunch of uncoordinated weak "sovereign states", scattered around the globe and only united in their loud lamentations of their own tragic fate, which is legit and justified, but represents the single element of their so-called "globality"; hence, their inner connectivity should be discarded as a realistic integrative element to be considered as a global entity of the same quality as the GW. There is also no GE, because not too many functionally integrative binds among them can be detectable, especially since they have a greater potential to compete and conflict against each other (e.g., BRICS members). However, they may advance towards a further integration, which would not be the best news for the GW and "GS". It only exist the GW (NATO + EU + unfortunately still passive EU candidates + JP, AUS, CAN, etc.), and they should even further integrate themselves asap, before the East decides to do something similar in the future. I am sorry for the "GS", as there's no good news for them, which is their second common denominator.

  • @thomasjgallagher924
    @thomasjgallagher9246 ай бұрын

    [going into the next chapter with a bit of side-eye and an eyebrow raised on avoiding conflict] Happy Independence Day, Finland, from Ukraine.

  • @MutualZebra0123
    @MutualZebra01236 ай бұрын

    Happy independence day Alex!

  • @petrosvenieris4761
    @petrosvenieris47616 ай бұрын

    Happy independence day 🇫🇮!

  • @blafonovision4342
    @blafonovision43426 ай бұрын

    Happy Independence Day!

  • @risingsonfilms
    @risingsonfilms6 ай бұрын

    Your book published yet?

  • @anonnimus
    @anonnimus6 ай бұрын

    There seems to be a disconnect between a desire for peace in organizations that promote peace and stability and the promotion of democracy and the liberation of people. (as there should be?) What I have in mind is the Arab Spring. It seems that here there was an opportunity to support democracy and free people from oppression and authoritarian regimes and yet the international community or more specifically "The West" largely ignored the cries for help in that effort. Today the region has mostly fallen back into old patterns. Egypt is a dictatorship (again) and Lybia is in chaos. (again) Then we have the Orange Revolution and Maidan in Ukraine and (it appears) Ukraine's population is mostly on its own. I'm left to conclude that cold war patterns of thinking are hard to shake off because the leaders of our governments and institutions are basically the same people or the same institutions, motivated by the same ideas and the same ideology as 50 years ago. It also seems to me that most significant (non military) international organizations are driven by economic interests or more specifically business interests. (Davos, G20, IMF, etc.). Participation is dominated by the rich and famous. If the goal is to elevate the human condition rather than just the value of our bank accounts, then those who represent the common man, need a stronger voice in those conversations.

  • @robrob9050
    @robrob90506 ай бұрын

    OMG was it order before?!

  • @alexanderthegreat5519
    @alexanderthegreat55196 ай бұрын

    What is your opinion Alex on whether the US and the UK should get involved by contract? Not sure what exactly is in the Budapest Memorandum, but it is my understanding that the US, the UK, and RaZZia all agreed to recognize and defend the sovereignty of Ukraine and its borders in 1991 (including Crimea) if Ukraine surrenders to RuZZia all the ex-soviet nukes it had on its territory. RuZZia obviously broke that agreement in 2014. In 2007, Putin in his famous Munich speech to the West made it clear who he was really. Not a democrat, but a malignant plutocratic gangster with imperial ambitions. That should have been the time to play hardball with Putin. 2008 Putin invaded Georgia without any serious consequences for RuZZia or Putin. In 2014, he invaded Eastern Ukraine again without any serious reaction from the West. If I recall well, Biden even mentioned that the US would not intervene with its military in case Putin invaded Ukraine during Putin's huge 'military exercise' right at Ukraine's border. Are the US and the UK not obliged by that Memorandum to help Ukraine not only with weapons and tactics but also with their own troops? The West could have easily avoided these wars (Georgia, Ukraine, etc.) by making Georgia, Moldova, and Georgia NATO members after Putin's 2007 speech. Putin will not be so stupid to invade a NATO member IMHO. He will not use nukes. He is a gangster, but not mad!

  • @anonnimus
    @anonnimus6 ай бұрын

    How has immigration vis a vis the refugee crisis' (plural) of the last 20 years affected the political calculus in The West? Case in point the Arab-Israeli Conflict. ( I don't think you can isolate Israel-Palestine). During the last 50 years Western Politics has been dominated by a Pro-Israel policy. (Doubling down on decisions made in 1947?) (Israel is arguably the most effective lobbying group in the world!) However, recent protests in Western capitols have shown that Western governments are under pressure to moderate their positions to consider the Arab view of events. Recent speeches by Kamala Harris (VP) and Lloyd Austin (Secretary of Defense) imply that Israel no longer has a blank check with regards to it prosecution of the Hamas problem. This is not to imply that Israel is losing it's influence, but rather that immigration from middle east has changed the internal demographics of western countries enough that Holocaust Guilt, and Evangelical Christian Crusades are no longer the only factors in deciding foreign policy in the middle east. The same theme can be seen with Latin American Immigration to the US, as well as Russia's use of immigration as a weapons against Finland and Estonia. At least in the US immigration negatively impacts a single party, the Democratic Party. The loyalties of the Republican Party (at this point) are suspect with regards to Russian Influence Campaigns in the US. If Russia or any other country would like to punish a western countries for interfering in regional conflicts, enabling "human waves" of immigrants or refugees to Western Countries might be considered a form of Hybrid Warfare. There's an old saying, "All Politics are local." Immigration and changing demographics in Western Countries has had and will continue to have influence on what "Local" looks like. In turn this will continue to influence what Foreign Policy looks like.

  • @viljo21
    @viljo21Ай бұрын

    PÄÄ KII.

  • @mysterioanonymous3206
    @mysterioanonymous32066 ай бұрын

    Yeah, so? We know that...

  • @nenadpopovic1710
    @nenadpopovic17106 ай бұрын

    not so sure in victory any more in this war provoked by irresponsible and totally wrong global west politic? i can feel it in your voice , in compare with older videos. hm? tnx u anyway for insights.

  • @Kannot2023

    @Kannot2023

    6 ай бұрын

    Russia is to the east not west. Russia attacked Eastern Europe before the west as a concept existed.

  • @jonathonletts8972
    @jonathonletts89724 ай бұрын

    March 20 2003 avoided at all costs again..yawn.

  • @ClementGreen
    @ClementGreen6 ай бұрын

    Does anyone else get the idea that Alex is a psychopath, or is it just me?

  • @lindawhittle4943

    @lindawhittle4943

    6 ай бұрын

    He is one of most intelligent articulate person in the world ,bring us history for free , ha ha I would like to see you do a debate with him on stage lol lol

  • @ClementGreen

    @ClementGreen

    6 ай бұрын

    @@lindawhittle4943 Oh I'm a great fan too, and I wasn't trying to insult him. Perkele hyvää! in my book. I just wondered that's all, whether state actors in general are psychopaths. Alex seems so detached no?

  • @r.s.4672

    @r.s.4672

    6 ай бұрын

    @ClementGreen I would think heads of state would have to be at least somewhat emotionally detached, or they wouldn't be able to carry out their responsibilities very efficiently.

  • @ClementGreen

    @ClementGreen

    6 ай бұрын

    @@r.s.4672 Yes indeed, but it seems to me that the world is run by psychopaths: I mean look at the world of business. It's just business, they say, whether they're legit or not. And world leaders too: dictators are often capricious and love a bit of torture, and I'm sure elected representatives would indulge in terror if they thought they could get away with it. Nothing gets the pulse racing more than a war cabinet, so I've heard.

  • @blafonovision4342

    @blafonovision4342

    6 ай бұрын

    @@ClementGreenstates do not operate on the principles of morality that individual people do. States are amoral. States only have interests, not morals.

  • @tturbine3940
    @tturbine39406 ай бұрын

    Exceptional as usual but I don't agree with him in in regards to respect for Zelensky. While I acknowledge that Putin's actions are nothing less than criminal, when the bad guy has the gun, the good guy has to surrender. If it was, say, ISIS invading, intent on abusing the citizens, then by all means, all hands should be pressed toward the effort of resisting. But if Zelensky would have surrendered with only verbal resistance, rather that tens or hundreds of thousands dead, people injured and displaced, and cities getting destroyed, not a person would have been harmed, not a teacup broken, nobody would have even missed a days work. Putin's 'operation" would have amounted to a friendly occupation. So, in that sense, Zelensky is fighting a war of ideology rather that a war of necessity, which I think the former is, in most cases, immoral. Also, when his friends offered to help, that's when he should have threw his hands up and said ok, ok, ok STOP!, we're not going to start ww3 over it. Sadly, however, Zelensky is willing to start ww3 over it, The only person more powerful than Putin is God, If Putin wants Ukraine, he should have it, if he wants Poland he should have it, if he wants North America he should have it. If he wants his dinner served by virgins riding tigers, he should have it. Putin's criminal caprice is the primary geopolitical factor to consider in these times. Luke14:31 Or what king, going to make war against another king, sitteth not down first, and consulteth whether he be able with ten thousand to meet him that cometh against him with twenty thousand? 32Or else, while the other is yet a great way off, he sendeth an ambassage, and desireth conditions of peace.

  • @CollectiveDefence

    @CollectiveDefence

    6 ай бұрын

    A ”friendly occupation”? Where people get tortured, raped, murdered and the nations culture is wiped out? The correct term is genocide. And no, Putin will not have neither Ukraine, Poland, or any other country for that matter. Not as long as there are people willing to resist and the capabilities to do so. It looks to me like you lack the proper information to understand how Russia operates, or generally speaking the nature of this conflict. Either that or you have a malign interest to spread Russian narratives.

  • @jonathonletts8972
    @jonathonletts89724 ай бұрын

    ALEX..HOW MUCH IS NATO PAYING YOU.. Bucharest 2008 Bush caused the mess..October 7th 2001 and March 20th 2003 not mentioned at all reveals cluelessness.

  • @user-ul3hk6hf2e
    @user-ul3hk6hf2e6 ай бұрын

    By the year 2050, the native Swedes in Sweden will be the minority in their own country, and Sweden is not the only one, France, UK, Germany and so on are not far behind either!😂

  • @HellAD0
    @HellAD06 ай бұрын

    Sullivan is a brilliant guy . Blinken is a cretin only slightly better than Baerbok

  • @user-ul3hk6hf2e
    @user-ul3hk6hf2e6 ай бұрын

    Hey Stubb, Euronistan has no future!