How prophetic this video was... I'm writing this comment about 14 months after the release of this video. In that time ARKK has declined 61.8%. Oof.

I feel like his entire video is made about ARK invest.

@niranmojo

3 жыл бұрын

Haha I too was thinking the same. I would love to hear Ben’s thoughts Cathie wood and Ark investment.

@laja82

3 жыл бұрын

cough cough

@CosmicSeeker69

3 жыл бұрын

if anyone is interested - Sven Carlin took an look at ARK around end Feb 2021 - I think - it opened my eyes

@Brainwashed101

3 жыл бұрын

I could have sworn the gray-haired figure at the beginning was mean to be a reference to Peter Lynch.

@BoonTee

3 жыл бұрын

ARKK has dropped 18.8% from the video released till today (24 May 2021)

Pulled out all my funds at ARKK right after this video and saved myself from the 40% decline lol. How do I donate to you?

@BenFelixCSI

3 жыл бұрын

Just pay it forward!

@Sidious6460

2 жыл бұрын

Ben just wants to see Canadians make more rational financial decisions. He's a public service really.

@delvinmorales9458

2 жыл бұрын

Looks like a good decision now in 2022.

@theoriginalwasa1006

2 жыл бұрын

@@Sidious6460 and Australians. I find almost everything he talks about is relevant to us. The ticker symbols are slightly different for his specific recommendations but the message is as relevant for us as it is Canadians.

You are the smartest finance guy I've found on KZread so far. Watching your videos is like going back to graduate school but then getting an update that we didn't know back then. Thank you!

You're the most criminally undersubscribed financial KZreadr, yet you're probably the one who is the most objective and genuinely gives advice that shows you care for the financial future of viewers. I guess most people would rather maybe have a million dollars next year and go broke trying, rather than almost certainly having millions in their 50s

@cartman19892

3 жыл бұрын

nah i prefere dave ramsey..... ...... hahah jk

@MoneywithPennies

3 жыл бұрын

Agree, unfortunately it seems like people just want to see those videos promising to 10x their money right now.

@MoneywithPennies

3 жыл бұрын

@@cartman19892 Haha, priceless. =)

@trakrekkid

3 жыл бұрын

It's because he doesn't boast about his own portfolio (unlike the annoying little guy who is always talking about how much real estate he owns, even though if you listen to him carefully you realise it's all levered to the hilt...)

@johndorian3685

3 жыл бұрын

If you need a financial advisor to buy xeqt, xgro or xbal, there is must be something wrong with you people.

Felix was born to do KZread vids. Clear, concise, correct and complete information with the perfect amount of engagement. Keep up the great work lad :-)

I love how Ben never explicitly named Ark but everyone knows he's talking about them.

@harrychu650

3 жыл бұрын

Envy and Jealousy across the industry against Woods and Ark invest.

@KarlDag

3 жыл бұрын

@@harrychu650 we'll see in 10 years.

@squishtomar1676

3 жыл бұрын

It's also a good idea because this video will age well

@ironsoul2633

3 жыл бұрын

@@harrychu650 maybe it’s just Ben Felix thinking for himself and not being a sheep like you?

@harrychu650

3 жыл бұрын

@@ironsoul2633 the entire industry and their media cronies have turned negative on Woods and ARK. Thus, I do not think you understand what being a "sheep" actually means. Someone like you should definitely stick to mutual funds and index funds. Lmao

oh a new video! exactly when I was watching some of your old videos. if you see this comment, ben you are one of the best youtube investment channels ever there, through you, I learned how to invest right and how to manage risk. before you I was picking stocks, but after discovering your channel I realized how stupid I was. The most that I like about your channel, is that you actually use scientific data to prove your point, which I don't see in any of the other channels.

@armovetz

3 жыл бұрын

my brain read “I learned how to invest right and left” :D

@chrisf1600

3 жыл бұрын

100% agree. Ben opened my eyes to the whole world of academic finance, EMH, CAPM, factor investing... he made me realise what an idiot I've been by trying to pick hot stocks and chase the latest fad. These videos have changed my entire investing approach, no exaggeration.

best investment channel in youtube, period.

Happy to see you're back. Thank for the amazing analysis. Greetings from Germany

Drinking game for Ben's videos: take a drink every time he says Fama and/or French

@cartman19892

2 жыл бұрын

haha underrated :D

@onepiece666

2 жыл бұрын

That will lead to alcohol poisoning haha

You and pension craft have the most insightful videos on YT by far. Always a great job done! I've learned so much.

@CosmicSeeker69

3 жыл бұрын

Ramin is a lovely Guy - BUT IMHO he's a teacher - not a trader. In Robert Kiyosakis view that makes him Fake.

@djayjp

3 жыл бұрын

@@CosmicSeeker69 Lol ok

When I was listening to this, I felt Ben is smashing the ARKK managers... :) Nice advice as ever...

I've been watching your first videos from the channel, big improvement from the "I'm Ben Felix associate portfolio manager at PWL Capital" using a suite to "I'm Ben Felix" with a CSI sweatshirt. Thanks for all the info you provide to us.

Ben seems to love this topic, I can hear the joy in his voice haha I think this is such an important topic, people love bandwagoning themselves to overpriced stocks and ending up with disappointing outcomes. It's one thing to do with a small amount of play money for fun if you enjoy the big ups and downs... But I certainly wouldn't bank my retirement on a company continuing it's outsized growth for the long run.

Ben! just wanted to say I love your podcast. Absolutely amazing. I'm 19 and its been an awesome thing to find so early. I only wasted a year trying to pick stocks! doesn't seem too bad all things considered.

It is such a temptation zu invest in a winner-fund. So one has to watch videos like this one over and over again . Thanks!

@victors8718

2 жыл бұрын

Are you german? :)

Welcome back Ben! While I'm sure you have other things in your life, 2 months is way too long for us to go without our Felix rationality fix.

Thank you so much, this confirmed what I was already up to: stop cost-averaging into my ARK funds, not buy the ARKX newly issued end of March, and instead keep buying the boring VOO and VTI, a small/mid cap ETF and boring dividend stocks instead.

Hey, it's the "Buffet logo"! haha I love your graphics!

Thanks, this is exactly what I've been looking for. I have told many people not to chase the current top funds as they historically underperform. This just gave me more research materials to show them to support my stance.

Really great! First time I also see some fire in yours eyes;-) you are really meaning it. I love to see that. Thanks!

Amazing, as per usual. Your channel deserves a lot more subscribers. Your ability to share information in an unbiased and factual way is what makes this shine. Keep it up! 👏🏼

@Mosesusorer

3 жыл бұрын

@Eamon & Bec hey there! How’s the weather in Lagos Nigeria right now? You love scamming, don’t you?

This bloke is a legend. The definition of quality over quantity. Refined analysis. Make more videos!

Great video 👍 I really like the new (?) format that you talk slower. It makes it easier for non native speakers, like me, to understand. 🙂

Nice video. One correction: Top performing decile funds, over a three year period, underperforming the next year, has been a historical fact However, this is not what statisticans refer to as reverting to the mean. An example of reverting to the mean would be a coin coming up heads for ten flips and over the next million flips coming up 50/50. Over the first ten flips heads came up one hundred percent of the time, over the entire one million and ten flip sample, heads came very close to coming up fifty percent of the time. ___ There are many thousands of hedge funds and the best performer in any year has a much higher than average chance of having taken on much higher risk than the group. This often does not bode well for their future. Another factor in play is that a skilled manager with a small pool of capital will often be able to better deploy the capital into larger edge situations than once he has grown into a larger fund (usually from a burst of good looking performance). Legendary market crushing fund (for over 20 years) Medallion fund from Renaissance Technologies caps their fund at ten billion because they can not find enough special situations to justify a larger size.

I love how your you tube style of dress has changed over the years....now a cool hoodie! Great vids too, very grateful for such high quality investing content that is available for those of us that are starting out their investment journey and have a lower net worth

@Mosesusorer

3 жыл бұрын

@Inner Motivation hey there! How’s the weather in Lagos Nigeria right now? You love scamming, don’t you?

Great video Ben! Just a small correction. The Nasdaq 100 Index has been around since 1985 (not 1999). Keep up the great content!

The best fund managers are the ones who can manage and survive Bear markets because that's when the most fear and volatility is, so if a Fund manager or trader is profitable during the Bear markets, then they can handle any market conditions. Bull markets are somewhat calm, stable and definitely not as volatile as Bear markets. So people must focus on Fund manager who are confident of handling Bear markets. 😎😎😎

Ben, I terribly love your content! Would you consider doing a video explaining the pitfalls of investing using stock tips from "The Motley Fool"? I did make a good deal of money from their tips but over the past 2 years I've lost money from their picks. Had I stuck to indexing, I would have been ahead. Cheers to you from So Cal 🌊🌴☀️

It is great to see younger investors taking the leap. However, the impatience for returns (almost lottery like) and misuse of instruments (quite a few seem to be treating ETFs similar to stocks and do day-trading) is leading to bad outcomes for those that are carefully invested. Thanks for your academically founded insights.

@oblivion_2852

3 жыл бұрын

Most young investors just want to avoid getting a job. When in reality the only way to invest is with a job at hand for atleast 10 years (21yo cs grad)

I needed this. Good timing. 👍 You probably saved a lot of us from temptation. I need your videos to bring balance to the much more hype videos, articles, posts out there on the internet on ARK, tesla, nasdaq, etc. I'm sure more hyped investments on the horizon. Please make more videos then.

I can predict the future, that's why I press the 'like' button as soon as a new Ben Felix video starts.

@Bonez1999

3 жыл бұрын

Yep. I was right again!

@palmeralexj

3 жыл бұрын

Nailed it. How do I give you my wheel barrels full of money?

@johndorian3685

3 жыл бұрын

No one knows how long the ARK* funds will outperform. They could go on to outperform for the next few years or they could suffer from large drawdowns (or even worse, they could fold). So far they've outperformed the SPY 6 out of 7 years. However, since many asset types are connected, I would be surprised to see ARK* fall in isolation. That is, if there was a 60-70% drawdown in ARK*, you'd most likely see a very substantial drawdown in your 3-fund portfolio, or especially in your 100% SPY portfolio. We've already seen this played out: Look at the charts for how ARKK has performed since around 2/15/2021. ARKK was up 20%+ this year, and now they're only up 4.7% vs the SPY's 1.7%.

This video has reminded me some of the words from Common sense of investing by the Legendary Jack Bogle ❤️❤️

What are we currently seeing? Ark ETFs getting hammered. Ben was right. Hype only lasts for some time

@tixchicken

3 жыл бұрын

yep pretty much Ark

Commenting just for the youtube algorithm. This needs to be seen by more people. Thanks Ben!

@Mosesusorer

3 жыл бұрын

@Eamon & Bec hey there! How’s the weather in Lagos Nigeria right now? You love scamming, don’t you?

CONGRATS on the promotion!! 🎉

Ironically you couldn't have timed this much better :) Love your content Ben

Great video Ben. We all probably knew it but it's good of you to back it up with stats. Fund managers must really hate you

Great video Ben! Really enjoyed this topic on the podcast, glad to see it made into a video 👍

Best to stick with low cost index funds over the extremely long term 🙂

@utubethumbsup

3 жыл бұрын

Not really. If you had listened to this idiot, you missed out on massive gains in 2020. Just because over the LONG TERM trend-chasing funds don't perform well doesn't mean you can't make a lot of money in the interim. Unfortunately Ben Felix is not particularly bright, and hence he doesn't understand such nuance - he just assumes everyone buys and never sells until retirement or death. Listening to this guy over the last 1, 2, 3, 5 years would have lost you a LOT of potential gains.

@abrararifify

3 жыл бұрын

@@utubethumbsup I think a guy with an MBA and a mechanical engineering degree at the very least has more credibility than your comment. And he used peer-reviewed articles to back up his claims. He's not talking shit out of his ass. He literally explained that historically people heavily invested in funds that were already overperforming, as in people that invest in the peak are ultimately the losers in this. Which is the vast majority. If you're somehow a super genius investor and can pick out the best-performing stocks consistently and win out 100% of the time well that's good for you, but that's extremely rare and next to impossible. As Mark Cuban said, everyone's a genius in a bull market.

@utubethumbsup

3 жыл бұрын

@@abrararifify LOL yeah, and meanwhile your pal Warren Buffet has underperformed the S&P for the last *decade*. Weird how we're never supposed use past results as a prediction of the future, except when it comes to what this moron Ben says. Time to wake up and realize that things have changed...although you're more than welcome to keep clinging on to the tired "this time is different lol" nonsense.

@tylerh1648

3 жыл бұрын

@@utubethumbsup While this is true, he's making a point that alot of people clout chase and hop onto an ETF once the fund has already taken off and therefore they will miss out on most of the gains it previously had. Plus that is the risk you take for better gain. Nobody knows when the next big crash is coming, so having alot of your money in a risky portfolio could spell disaster for your future net worth.

@alankoslowski9473

3 жыл бұрын

@@utubethumbsup You realize a decade is only a ten year sample of the 100+ years of detailed market return info we have? Your comments epitomize hindsight bias. You're focusing on the small minority of funds with exceptional returns while ignoring the vast majority that have trailed the market. Analyzing historical returns is more likely to produce better insight and forecasts than a 10 year sample.

Great to see you back Ben! I was disappointed to see that a recent article on Ark in The Economist didn't point out the funds' historical mediocrity. You don't even need to go back that far to see that there's nothing special about them...

@sanakiddy2883

3 жыл бұрын

Its called paid media promotion.

Hi Ben, I love your channel and I like that you back your thoughts and advice with the literature. Is it possible for you to make a video for people that are starting to invest in their 40s? I want to start but I feel I’m starting a little late and I have no idea where to start or what type of investments are better at this point.

Quality as always. It seems like you take investment ideas people are talking about break them down with facts to come back to the conclusion of broad market funds with extra weight to small cap value.

Cathie Wood, I'm looking at you! 😂 I agree with you Ben. The really smart managers like Peter Lynch, realized this, and exited on a high not like George Costanza. 😊

Great video Ben, addressing the question on everyones mind. Impeccible sense of timing!

Thankfully history doesn’t dictate future! Thanks for your great content!!

I’ve always been an index tracker fan and done pretty well. Whilst I still think something like the Vanguard life strategy range (as an example) are an excellent core fund, I do also invest in thematic ETF’s and some Bailey Gifford investment trusts (including arguably THE most successful in Scottish Mortgage), and individual stocks in small companies. I think as long as you have a decent, diversified, low cost option at the core of your portfolio, investing in ideas you believe in can also work and make investment more interesting. Great video by the way 👍🏻

@alankoslowski9473

3 жыл бұрын

You're probably better off investing in small-cap value funds in addition to LifeStrategy. I have VASGX, AVUV, and AVDV. That seems well diversified in everything worth holding.

I invested a small amount into 2 Neil Woodford’s funds. Here in the Uk His idea was ok but other investors wanted to cash out due to lower performance and it snowballed into crash. I will never invest in star fund managers and only invest in Vanguard index funds in my ISA and index funds in my pension portfolio and some in my work ESPP.

Shots fired! Great analysis, thanks for sharing!

This was a brilliant video, thank you Felix!

@NeoWeaponog

3 жыл бұрын

Came here from watching your video :) thanks for the references!

@familyaccount4159

3 жыл бұрын

I’m watching from Andrei recommendation

@austin4you262

3 жыл бұрын

Came from Andrei Too!

@AussieMoneyMan

3 жыл бұрын

Glad to see you watching these videos Andrei.

this is high quality content. please keep making more

Ben, always great to hear your perspective. What matters is what the data and empiricism. Something that’s in short supply today

Feeling pretty good about my allocation to AVUV back in December after watching this 😁

Your timing is impeccable!

Excellent video, as usual. Thank you! I would like to point out that many of the charts you show have such small fonts you can't read them at all. The x- and y- axes fonts are impossible to read, as well as the legends. I tried to amplify them but it is very hard to read them. Could you put a link to the charts in the comments?

Glad to see you back, Ben.

Interesting timing for the video. Would have much preferred it when a certain fund was flying high and everyone was pouring their money into it versus now when everything is down.

Thanks Ben for this voice of reason. It’s nice to not follow the herd and have your own opinion.

Timing on this video is great. I got in to ARKK in like 2016/2017. When it hit a 52 week high a month ago I was gonna sell it entirely but figured I would wait till 4th Q. Next market pump I'll do it. It's been a great investment but the herd has arrived so it's time for me to go. Just the tiniest wisp of rising rates and the market has panicked. I wonder what will happen when rates actually go up...

@Yolo6942

3 жыл бұрын

Congrats ! you seem to be an early bird ...just to be curious ....where are moving next ? Are you fully etfs or stock picking? Thanks .....on my side i reduced Arkk /arkg ...too volatile when nazdaq is correcting

@brettmclennan4363

3 жыл бұрын

@@Yolo6942 I sold it all this week and moved into some individual value names. The rest back into the index.

@nathanvick6970

3 жыл бұрын

@@brettmclennan4363 Care to share some of those names? I have a few I invest in but am always trying to keep my ear to the ground.

@brettmclennan4363

3 жыл бұрын

@@nathanvick6970 ibm, bce, brk were the largest positions I opened

Good video Ben. I hope it helps change some peoples' minds before they suffer future underperformance or loss.

The world needs this video specially ones investing in Arkk

What an excellent presentation! Thank you so much for presenting this extremely valuable information to the public.

I think the lesson here is pretty clear. Ambulance chasing in the world of investing is a recipe for losing money in spades. By the time you’re hearing about the next great stock, fund, fund manager, etc. it’s already too late and jumping in is almost guaranteed to lose you money.

OMG! Ben is back! At least in my feeds.

Thanks for the new video!!!

New camera + mic? Looks & sounds great!

Cathy Wood is getting a large amount of inflows now after her crazy returns. Curious if we will see her in this video in 10 years.

@edwardmauer7442

3 жыл бұрын

@@manp1039 Fair point, but her overall strategy, thought process, and even astronomical returns so far is identical to these guys who all eventually flamed out after stellar beginnings.

@harrychu650

3 жыл бұрын

Interestingly, Wood has become the target of negative media and industry commentary. I suppose she is not part of the club.

@FA9082

3 жыл бұрын

All the ARK returns have come from holding TSLA. If you strip out TSLA from the ARK returns, the returns on a risk adjusted basid are not that much better than just holding the Nasdaq 100

@harrychu650

3 жыл бұрын

@@FA9082 Have you done this analysis yourself? Her CRISPR picks more than doubled in since 2020. She was also holding Square. Overall, hasn't she been beating the S&P for several years now? This is in stark contrast to the vast majority of active managers who routinely underperform.

@VinhNguyen92

3 жыл бұрын

@@manp1039 ARK ETFs currently have a record redemption of half a billion and it's even raising concerns about liquidity because some of the investments are iliquid tech stocks. ETFs are not immune from capitulation.

Good video. It makes sense. Just to be unbiased, please share good funds to invest in (other than those you manage or invested in - to avoid bias). Thanks!

Excellent content 👍

Thia video is need in times like this! Thanks!

This was a good reminder. Thanks.

Renaissance Technologies being the obvious exception. Although, to your point, they capped their size so that they never grew to a scale that their skill couldn't handle. But yeah, they are the exception that proves the rule.

Good to see you again.

Ben’s back, yah!!

Another banger video! Thank you

Thank you, I was definitely going to jump on the Ark train if it wasn't for you.

@johndorian3685

3 жыл бұрын

There’s nothing wrong with having 10% of your portfolio in the ark ETFs, because no one knows the future.

@Mosesusorer

3 жыл бұрын

@@johndorian3685 That is ignorant at best. While we do not know the future, we know all about the consequences of chasing returns, expected returns for various asset classes, reversion to the mean, and about star fund managers’ fates, PLUS we have ample historical evidence to observe and draw conclusions from. In other words, holding some of the most expensive growth stocks in a portfolio and expecting to outperform for a long time is just dumb...

@johndorian3685

3 жыл бұрын

@@Mosesusorer Show me please Ben’s achievements in the investment field. Because Cathie Wood celebrates 10 years at AllianceBernstein beating the sp500 during 2000-2011 in 7 out of 10 years. Why do you think Ben cares how you invest your money? He gets paid per view by Google on KZread, no successful portfolio manager needs to make extra cash from podcasting or KZread.

@batardglouton5455

3 жыл бұрын

@@Mosesusorer I remember seeing a comment on another video... Something along the line of between fear and greed. Anyway, VEQT/XEQT will do fine for me. The gains I'm missing out on will not go up forever and not timing its downfall is the price I pay for peace of mind. I also have a feeling that some people are into investing just to make a quick buck, and that's not really Ben's target audience.

@johndorian3685

3 жыл бұрын

@JOSÉ VICTOR ROLING Notice that he doesn't pick fund managers like Buffet who have done very well over the long term doing active management.

Thanks, Ben. You are amazing.

Thank you Ben!

Great new video! Thanks!

Thanks Ben! Always great to see new videos from you.

I am glad you are back. I was completely lost 👌👌👌👍👍👍👍🕺🕺🏾🕺🏼🕺🏿🕺🏻🕺🏻

I’m still very content “just” getting market returns minus a small fee, through my good ‘ol boring Vanguard index funds 👍

Great video as always 🙂

You're a star Ben Felix. I admire the clear way you explain things. Thanks for your good work. Keep it coming!!

Very good and interesting video. Thank you.

And I had recently bookmarked "The medallion fund" and Peter Lynch... and Ben does it again, spoils all the fun.

@prestonlui6451

3 жыл бұрын

I think even Ben acknowledge Medallion made miracle. His point was always there is only one Medallion

Needed to hear this so bad to help with the ARK fomo. Thank you!

@matthewcurrie8637

3 жыл бұрын

Fomo? While you leverage professional fund management services at the helm of your investment? Trust me if you do, fomo has nothing in you buddy! Where you located?

Sounds like C.W.? lol Thanks Ben. I enjoyed your content.

Always here when I need to be brought back to reality

Always right on spot!

Great video, always the voice of reason. Would love to hear your thoughts on SPACs.

@BenFelixCSI

3 жыл бұрын

Maybe, but check out the next upcoming episode of the Rational Reminder. SPACs are discussed at length with one of the most prominent academics studying how companies go public.

@360flip19

3 жыл бұрын

@@BenFelixCSI Awesome. I'll definitely check it out!

Great video Ben! The problem with star managers are usually not with the managers themselves but with the investors. They bid up the prices of the underlying stocks via fund flows which then lead to poor performance later. Do closed end funds solve this issue at least for the managers? For example Renaissance Technologies Medallion fund is able to sustain their track record even after so many years by limiting the fund size. I am also curious, if you are allowed to invest in Medallion Fund, how many % would you allocate your assets into the fund? Thanks a lot for the sharing!

Good timing Mr. Felix. Let me guess: we should stick to low cost index funds?

@MonsieurDee

3 жыл бұрын

Good investing is like trying to live a healthy lifestyle. Everybody knows how to eat healthy and exercise ... Just comes down to doing the right thing .

@maxhase8484

3 жыл бұрын

@@MonsieurDee Good analogy, and high growth stocks are high calory food which is very tempting but you actually know that it needs a balanced nutrition.

@alankoslowski9473

3 жыл бұрын

Yes, he has great episodes explaining how low cost index funds slanted towards small-cap value has historically produced the highest returns.

Thank you!

Great content 👍

Great video, thank you!

@Mosesusorer

3 жыл бұрын

@Eamon & Bec hey there! How’s the weather in Lagos Nigeria right now? You love scamming, don’t you?

I’m gonna sell my ARK funds while I’m still ahead bro...take my gains to another casino table

@josephbroseph1284

3 жыл бұрын

why not just leave it there if youre gonna "casino table" it, might as well just avoid capital gains tax and leave it there.

@mojo11jojo

3 жыл бұрын

@@josephbroseph1284 Issa joke bro. I’m gonna buy penny stocks that are a sure bet.

Amazing content as always Ben

To those citing fund managers who only beat the market when no crashes happened: "Everyone's a genius in a bull market".

@majesticderik1347

3 жыл бұрын

Preach!

@eric23walsh

3 жыл бұрын

clearly not if everyone knows this is about cathie wood and not one of the other million fund managers chasing alpha.