"25%, unlucky but not that unlucky" now find me another HS streamer that takes a stat like that so reasonably.

@_LiterallyMe_

4 жыл бұрын

U mean Kripp?

@leobastian_

4 жыл бұрын

@@_LiterallyMe_ i Quote "1 in fucking 4 that card is such a bullshit"

@_LiterallyMe_

4 жыл бұрын

@Leobastian 04 It's called sarcasm

@Cronos804

4 жыл бұрын

can you give a time stamp for what you are referencing ?

@pdblouin

4 жыл бұрын

@@Cronos804 5:12 but the buildup starts at 2:45 with the Reno stats problem.

Only 6 legendaries in a trump deck, i think we have a new record low!

@novakrabby

4 жыл бұрын

Maybe all that dust became cocaine to keep the wild ideas coming

44:33 The guy literally high rolled Galakrond and Kronx for (0) LMAO

@kingbling7571

4 жыл бұрын

And fkng leeroy evis too, rogue is bs

@krauser3806

4 жыл бұрын

As well as the evis and the lackey.

Does anyone else get bothered when the Twin Tyrants second breath plays the frostbolt sound effect, but it doesn’t freeze the minion?

Unrelated: I have been watching trump for years now before going to sleep and these long videos of his have become a part of my life. I was talking to my girlfriend today about this, and although I know every journey must end eventually I hope we can keep enjoying this kind of content for a long time. Excuse my terrible English, love for the madman.

@matthewholt6168

4 жыл бұрын

Feel the exact same way. Also, having trouble believing there are Trump fans that have girlfriends :)

@rafamejias3977

4 жыл бұрын

@@matthewholt6168 Can't blame you honestly

@kingbling7571

4 жыл бұрын

@@matthewholt6168 jeez ikr

@kingbling7571

4 жыл бұрын

@@rafamejias3977 lucker

@GlichCentral

4 жыл бұрын

Matthew Holt If Trump can be besties with pornstars, anything is possible.

Clearly that mage didnt know pinging face would get him a 6/6 lmao

@mitchsz

4 жыл бұрын

That is what I was thinking.

@xbronykillerx6987

4 жыл бұрын

yea it was straight up better than developing a 5/4 then having to ping off the 2/1 poisonous because of more stats without costing a card. Unless he didn't have room in hand but i don't want to look back for myself

@warptens5652

4 жыл бұрын

that's what I thought at first but actually he clearly wanted to make room in his hand he plays the drake before going arcane intellect and he ends the turn with 9 cards

@0226roger

4 жыл бұрын

warptens regardless it was correct to ping face as it’s essentially a “2 mana 6/6 battlecry: deal 1 dmg to you hero “ which is probably better then any card in his deck that he could be digging for and not to mention it doesn’t cost him a card so it’s extra better

@warptens5652

4 жыл бұрын

@@0226roger 2mana 6/6: take 1dmg is good. 2mana 5/4: take 0dmg is also good, and by doing this he gets to play arcane intellect and dig for his pocket galaxy.

5:47 Blizzard: Ok, Dragon Queen Alexstrasza cant create copies of itself Emerald Explorer generated from Alexstrasza: are you sure about that

“Great play, nice job!” -Chat, 2020

I just can't take Valdris Felgorge seriously, every time he says "We must expand our minds" I just think of that Markiplier meme "Yeah, this is big brain time".

@gaiamatt6574

4 жыл бұрын

I end up thinking "We must expand our dongs"

"trump laboratories" get's Vietnam flashbacks

@novakrabby

4 жыл бұрын

In 20 years scientists will use trump and his audience to find how the human being could adapt to weekly insanities finding a solution for PTSD

@M4XD4B0ZZ

4 жыл бұрын

@@novakrabby wtf

@ashleyjohnson7433

4 жыл бұрын

@@novakrabby lol

Just wait until he makes it highlander

@love-xi5un

4 жыл бұрын

Yeah just wait until next episode

@Crawver

4 жыл бұрын

In all fairness, it's a deck that could comfortably become highlander. There's a lot of 1 ofs already, and the cards he runs at two that are vital to the strategy aren't that many. Biggest hits is a giant and a summoner, but zephyrus and alexstrasa are better replacements. All other doubles have cards that can fill the slots adequately.

@DragonPanda131

4 жыл бұрын

To be continued

@fwsa3874

4 жыл бұрын

What is Highlander?

@Morgomir09

4 жыл бұрын

@@fwsa3874 there can only be one! Of each card

Who knew the mayor of value town would an expert on ... BIG stuff ;) Is everything equally big? Asking for friend

@czar2977

4 жыл бұрын

Yes his brain is very big

2:57 There is a 37.7% of killing either 6-health minion, and 24.6% chance of leaving them both on 1 health.

@hughbo123

4 жыл бұрын

KantiDono thank you! Trump’s bunk stats were bugging me too so I worked it out and got the same answer as you. Probability of 5 heads and 5 tails from 10 coin flips is (10 choose 5) * 0.5^10 = 24%

"control 7 unique lackeys" would a really neat win condition

@bloodranger1188

4 жыл бұрын

I would love that. Shame it would have too much variable to it that I don’t think it would ever be printed. Never mind viable

@xerxsesbreak8455

4 жыл бұрын

@@bloodranger1188 There are similarly variable things printed. Definitely never viable tho.

@maudlife

4 жыл бұрын

Would have to be like a spell or a hero effect, but it could work. They'd need EVEN MORE Lackey support to make it at all viable. But it would be really creative and fun.

@iambrett333

4 жыл бұрын

@@xerxsesbreak8455 yeah no weirder than Desert Obelisk and the sun god summoner card

@arifridwanabriyanto9286

4 жыл бұрын

makes the effect as a first neutral weapon.. so you can keep it for turns while it also has some use to deal cheap damage and clear small minion. Of course if you expect weapon removal, you should play it altogether with 7 lackeys.. or just flood the board with some lackeys first then equip the weapon in the turn you can complete all 7 lackeys.

You can hear the pure unbridled joy bursting from his precious little heart from the ecstasy of having T W E L V E cards in his hand!

The odds of getting heads 5 times out of 10 are around 0.24, from bernoulli's probability formula 10nCr5*0.5^5*0.5^5 equals around 0.24

@bbminhtri

4 жыл бұрын

For that situation, it was not actually 5 out of 10, because you're capped at 6 heads (health)

@Crusader3454

4 жыл бұрын

Dont forget if your using a coin, factor in the chance of it landing on its side

@judemccabe1242

4 жыл бұрын

in that situation it was a 1/2 chance of killing a guy since there will always be a minimujm of 4 dmg dealt to each minion, since if one dies the other recieves all of the dmg, that means they effecteviley have 2 health each with 2 dmg to be thrown between them. case 1 : 2 to left case 2 : 1 to left then 1 to right case 3 : 1 to right 1 to left case 4 : 2 to right so its a 2/4 or 1 /2 chance of killing a guy

@FreeAsInFreeBeer

4 жыл бұрын

If you don't have a calculator on hand, just use Pascal's triangle. 5 heads out of 10 means the 5 element of row 10, which is 252. Divide by the sum of the row, which is 2^10=1024. Approximately 1/4. (0.246 is a good approximation)

@Excalibursin

4 жыл бұрын

@@judemccabe1242 >since if one dies the other recieves all of the dmg, that means they effecteviley have 2 health each with 2 dmg to be thrown between them. That is definitely NOT how it works. This is the probability assuming the first 8 hits distributed evenly. It does not account for all the cases where a minion dies by the 8th, 7th, or 6th hit, or when the damage was not evenly distributed by the 8th hit (i.e. The HPs are 1 and 3 instead of 2 and 2.) You are only counting a subset of events/are undercounting.

5:08 in XCOM, hitting the 75% chance is lucky.

@Xurre90

4 жыл бұрын

in civ6 a spy with 75% chance of success always fails D: im not even kidding

An hour of trump oh baby, I was just thinking how little of his experiments we’ve seen lately

Trump is a lullaby for me, i only watch his videos when i wanna sleep 🙂

Nothing as soothing as watching Dr. Boom mad genius get crushed by value. You have done us a service without even realizing it.

0:25 i thought the opera was gonna stick. i quite liked the change of pace in the music

"We need some Korean's in here." Trump 2020.

@noobule

4 жыл бұрын

"AND THAT'S NOT RACIST!" Trump, 2020

@0226roger

4 жыл бұрын

It’s the opposite of what the other Trump said

@MurIocMage

4 жыл бұрын

Corona pizza

Trump, gotta say man, that lovely music really eased me into this video. Thank you sir.

"We needs some Koreans in here, and that's not Racist!... That's just statistics"

i love the music in the beginning!!!

The first guy clearly wanted to be part of your video. Throwing like 2 million times in a row :D

I think the Rogue miscounted his mana at 49:40. He had the eviscerate in hand, so if he had 1 more mana he would've had lethal

Absolute Misplay by that Mage not pinging face for the 1 health 6/6 6:39

Thanks for the deck its actually fun to play in this mete

It kinda reminds me of old quest rogue This nightmare used to bring me goosebumps

04:51 Yes it is;) Hello from South Korea

Some Scott Steiner level math from Mr Trump

Love the classical music

Trumps fav hero-warloc and with that his fav meta handlock.

This might be one of my new favorite deck because of how silly the infinite value can get

@aed1Teto

4 жыл бұрын

Golden Gootsgamesh plus this deck is similar to the original old handlock

@bloodranger1188

4 жыл бұрын

Golden Gootsgamesh lord god makes me hard

@absolutegarbage3654

4 жыл бұрын

It's not actually infinite value

Another way of thinking about getting exactly 5 heads is comparing the outcomes where you get exactly 5 heads to the total number of possible outcomes. There are 2^10 = 1024 total outcomes and 10C5 = 252 of them are where you get exactly 5 heads. Hence P(Exactly 5 heads) = 252/1024= 0.2461

Great deck,was missing heist baron tho gj

That mage was brutal. Definitely had too much Trump Trade Syndrome

16:39 always weird to see amalgam since it got removed from the game

The exact probability of Dark Skies killing neither minion at 3:00 is (10 choose 5) divided by (10 choose 4 + 10 choose 5 + 10 choose 6) which is 37.5 percent, a little higher than the 1/3 estimate that is readily apparent. Essentially imagine flipping a coin ten times in a row, but discard all possibility of getting anything other than 4, 5, or 6 heads (count everything less than 4 or more than 6 as 4 or 6 respectively).

@barberman2737

4 жыл бұрын

Shut up nerd.

Second comment, weighing in on Alex2-ing your deck: Giants and 4 mana 4/cards dragon are in there to be drawn early or played to trade later on. Dragon has additional synergy in activating dragon-matters if drawn later on, and usually being well statted for its cost. Going 1-of with either of these is a mistake. Draw giant late, and it's easily answered. Dragon is more forgivable, but you'd rather be rushing stronger threats, I would think. If you go full highlander with this deck, I would consider completely cutting both, as having the Twin Tyrant added kinda makes up for losing one Drake. Though I feel like I'm grossly underestimating giant...

@vonBelfry

4 жыл бұрын

In addition, if you want to go part-highlander, drake and giant are definite 2-ofs, as you want to play them the moment you've got the mana spare to slow the game a bit. In addition, if there's, like, TUTOR cards available to this deck (ie ones that pull the card out of your deck), half-highlander becomes a ton more viable as drawing one of those has a high potential to singletonize two cards rather than one.

50 mins !? VALUE right here

10C5/2^10= 24.6%, where the C is for combinations or "choose" colloquially

@aerialkiller5948

4 жыл бұрын

Finally a video game KZread viewer who knows the concept of probability and permutation/combination lol

@Igelme

4 жыл бұрын

???????

@aerialkiller5948

4 жыл бұрын

@@Igelme That's the probability at 3:14 that both Twilight Drake and Reno get hit exactly 5 times. (1/2) ^5 for hits on twilight drake, (1/2) ^ 5 for hits on Reno, and 10C5 for all the possibly orders in which those hits happen

@Igelme

4 жыл бұрын

@@aerialkiller5948 wtf is C tho lmao?

@aerialkiller5948

4 жыл бұрын

@@Igelme Combination. Let's make up random numbers m and n, with m being greater than n. Then mCn (that's the notation) is the number of possibly ways to choose n objects from m, if order doesn't matter. So in this problem, we know the probability of having a result of hitting DDDDDRRRRR (D = twilight drake and R = reno), in that specific order. It's 1 / (2^10). But we don't just have that one possibility, we could have like DRDDRRDDRR or something. So what do we do? Well, we can solve this problem by finding out every single way that the twilight drake gets hit 5 times in 10 shots (since the remaining shots will always hit Reno). Therefore, we just need the number of ways to choose 5 positions out of 10 (positions being the shot number). That's 10C5. So the final probability is 10C5 (the number of ways 5 shots hit drake and 5 hit Reno) * 1/(2^10) (the probability of each of the previous ways happening).

That Rogue was disgusting. Played over 10 mana of cards for 0

(10 choose 5)/(2^10) is the probability of getting 5 heads with 10 coin flips. That isn't quite the same as the odds of dealing 5 to each minion though because you can only have a maximum split of 6/4 or 4/6, not up to 10/0 or 0/10, limiting the sample space and increasing the odds of a 5/5 split.

39:22 Oh s**t, here we go again

Trump, it's a binomial distribution for your Dark Skies: each shot has a fixed chance (50%) and there are only two options. With n shots (n=10), you are interested in the cases where the "successes" (hitting the left minion) are 4 or fewer or 6 or greater. Or the inverse, as you rightly put it, of when they are exactly 5. I won't bore you with the math, but the excel function is BINOM.DIST(5,10,.5). You had a 25% chance of failing. Feels bad, man.

WOW...way to throw a game there champ

"Getting X times an event with probability P within N tries" is a classic math problem called the binomial distribution. There is lots of documentation on it online, but here is the Wikipedia article to start somewhere : en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

After Dark skies there's 3 possible board states: 4/2 drake, 4/1 4/1 or 4/2 reno. So that's a 33.(3)% chance for 4/1, 4/1.

The probability you can get 5 heads from 10 flips is 10c5/2^10 => 24.6%. Thus the answer is 75.4% that dark skies kills one of the two 6 health minions. edit: shit he solved it in video

ah, the control v control matchup, an unknown in the wild ways

50:22 hover a 1 mana giant , " i think the giant cost too much"

Nice video name... dropped the ball not putting in a brief clip of the announcer from Smash TV though ;p

In the last two maps (orgrimmar and stormwind) he had the music playing in the background of the two cities. Amazing.

@Xurre90

4 жыл бұрын

he always does, in jungle map there is stv music and the panda one has jade forest music

control warrior always good opponent for fun decks

You know what they say about people who have big hands... They have big decks

thank you so much for not playing Bullshitgrounds

Hey, nice deck you have there. May I use it?

I really like this deck

0:27 Stump the trump

@nicholasmoore2112

4 жыл бұрын

Jump the Trump, surely?

Is trump going to upload galakronds awakening the final chapter in heroic or he didn't manage to complete it?

Trump: Removes Zzeraku because it's too slow Trump 9 minutes later: Plays Zzeraku anyways

upvoted for getting the math right

37:00 Could've generated 6 lackeys by using his EVIL Genius on one of the drakes and playing Erkh instead of Khartut Defender. That would've been certainly more likely to generate the kobold lackey.

Will we see the return of zoolock?

that first mage player was trading like trump

what is the opera music at the beginning?

Trump we already been through this with the 3/7 arcane missiles. Just because something is simple doesnt mean its wrong.

I Miss pre-Nerf Molten Giant

Rista probably thought trump was griefing with how many time he roped without doing anything

This is PROBABILITY question, NOT statistics.

48:20 the longer u watch the better the hair

Why not zoo with the lackey package?

Any reason for the inclusion of alextraza instead of dragon queen alextraza? I feel the dragon queen would be better in control matchups where you play late games.

wtf did i witness in that first game

Around 24.61% of a 5/5 split

@frozen_spider

4 жыл бұрын

Note: That holds true even though the outcome space is limited to just 5/5 and 6/4.

its 50% odds hitting that situation. the odds aren't the same as rolling 5 times head, as one minion can only get as many shots as his life. so in the end, you have two shots with the following configurations: first hits left, second hits left, first right and second right, (both cases one dies) first left second right and first right second left. so in the end, 2 out of 4 hit the outcome, so its a 50/50. if they had different health, the calculation would be vastly different

@philippaltrogge3731

4 жыл бұрын

I realized that my assumption that an even outcome of 4|4 can't be made, as there is a possibility, that all 6 hit one minion before of that state, so it lessens the chance of the 1 health left on both minions. I might actually calculate it properly tomorrow though.

@philippaltrogge3731

4 жыл бұрын

Ok, I programmed something to calculate all possible outcomes, and it concluded: 420 (noice) times one dies and 252 times both survive, which is a chance of 37,5 percent of both surviving.

I think the answer is 0.24609375 chance, or about 1 in 4 (Choose 5 in 10)/2^10

You know what they say about hearthstone players with BIG lackeys.. ;^)

@bloodygoodlad9297

4 жыл бұрын

They have a great hand size

Jens cant be mad at that rogue game he played it atrociously and deserved the loss

(Binomial[10,4]*((0.5)^4)*((0.5)^(10-4))*2)/((Binomial[10,4]*( (0.5)^4)*((0.5)^(10-4))*2)+(Binomial[10,5]*((0.5)^5)*((0.5)^(10-5)))) I put that into wolfram and got 0.625 chance to get a 2 health minion it finds the binomial for 6 on left, 5 on right and 4 on right, as those are the only combinations, then works out the chance for a 6 or a 4 out of the three

So for fun I used numerical methods in order to calculate a near exact approximation of the statistic's problem. Running through 10 million iterations I determined the odds to be a 75.374% chance of success. So whoever came up with that analytical solution seems to be correct. There was about a 24.6% chance that Trump would fail to kill one of he 4/6 cards.

what about glinda?

33:45 Trump trade

Big Trump

That mage player made horrible plays but is still rank 3 somehow

28:17

Freeze Warlock 2.0

BIG MONEY BIG WOMEN

I prefer Thijs version of Lackey-Lock

Holy shit Trump needs a haircut.

I love how you are a slave to value just like me

7:25 his voice changed weridly

Trump Laboratories are always like trying off-meta cards, finding out there's a reason why they're not meta, then coming to acceptance. And I love each step

How does he have 11 cards in hand at 4:30?

i miss when face wasnt 90% of the decks played.

10:51

Any replacements for alextrasa and lord Godfrey or is the deck too bad without them

Random thought; an insult, and a statement.