Want to get more specific? Check out this football strategy upload here: kzread.info/dash/bejne/Y4KNsaefg9qTdKg.html

@sissokosaikou6064

3 жыл бұрын

h

@sissokosaikou6064

3 жыл бұрын

Yh das gud nk

@cazimim3375

3 жыл бұрын

Where can I find a reliable trusted Betting site to bet on UFC and DotA 2 that has either no limit max bets or at least 100K AND No maximum winnings and no maximum deposit ... I correctly predicted Ronda rousey streak and losses to holly holm and amanda nunes

@naturesoul1802

3 жыл бұрын

Is fixed games really exists?

@silviamargaret7835

3 жыл бұрын

There are a few factors in sports picks. One plan I found that successfully combines these is the Simple Sports Goldmine (check it out on google) definately the most incredible system that I have ever heard of.Check out the interesting information .

There's only one strategy....bet against arsenal and man utd 😄😅

@mzuzomuhlekhumalo9328

4 жыл бұрын

Not funny 😂😂😂

@niallcarr7388

4 жыл бұрын

United are unbeaten in 12 games 👍🏻 I’d say your fairly successful

@asdfghj8932

4 жыл бұрын

United lost my bet, 140->620 zl (around 35->155 Euro), I should have believed ;(

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

LOL

@leveluplife1879

3 жыл бұрын

Today Arsenal lost me 50000$ man

Respect bro! We love doing small 2 team parlays

I recently lost my job due to covid, so I decided to start a youtube channel. Wish me Luck

@misterg2201

3 жыл бұрын

Good luck!

@lesedimakoko3381

3 жыл бұрын

why aren't you betting

@keldonbirch6722

3 жыл бұрын

lie

@canna_craigy_uk172

3 жыл бұрын

@M W i need quick cash man, what shall i bet on?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Good luck mate.

I understood the concept of expected value being greater than the implied probability from the odds, in order to make an expected profit. But this still doesn't change the fact that the probability that a bet with 4 odds has approximately 25% of winning, which is quite low

Hi Caan, Great work. Subscribed your channel and started following.

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Thanks, Sven. Take some time to check out all the vids!

when he said please after the subscribe suggestion ontop of the money strats in this channel i just couldnt refuse the sub button

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Manners cost nothing, right? No matter who you are...

Really love your concepts man. Nice work

Keep the good work!

When you thoroughly understand "value betting" combined with the "law of large numbers" then all you need is patience and discipline and the rest is history.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Truth :)

@christofl6523

2 жыл бұрын

Theory doesn't work in practice.

@Dre-Rich

2 жыл бұрын

Thanks bro needed to hear this!💯

@kelvinkimani7805

2 жыл бұрын

@@Dre-Rich jb,,, j,

@michaelsviews9851

2 жыл бұрын

@@fisherman8602 I suggest watching his videos again pal

Awesome stuff mate, kudos!!

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Cheers, good to see it was helpful.

Nice info. I will probably be on ur website in no time.

This is why we all need to be using an exchange! In football the odds lose their efficiency after kick off, some prices will be terrible value while others will be amazing. It is your job to exploit these inefficiencies by using pre match and in play information. Form a plan of action and stick to it, stake no more than 3% of your bank on any one trade and use this 3% wisely. In other words the 3% is your maximum risk so stake according to risk.

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Bang on the money there, Robbie.

@LeoJr_

3 жыл бұрын

I like this

@thabisogoba4487

2 жыл бұрын

I'm still confused. Can someone explain this to me like I'm 5 and preferably using football

It's all common sense really, but very well put together and easy to understand. Cheers again Caan

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

You're entirely right. Many people don't even think about it though. The inclination is to just automatically believe the mainstream media and have a punt picking the winner. Thanks.

Thanks for sharing. I've had a few losses this year and when I think back I was betting on my opinion on how I perceive the event (I.e the player/team) rather than the odds value. It's made me re evaluate how I look at match betting now. Hopefully will help me raise profit + ROI.

@oliverhorak5064

3 жыл бұрын

Did it help?

@underrated7725

2 жыл бұрын

Its 50/50 with those odds and its 50/50 with going with your own believe. I say that because when I go with the odds, I win probably 50 percent of the time and when I go against the odds I win about 50 percent of the time. Even if you win 9 out of 10 bets, it all seems to even out. I guess the best strategy is to win a little, chill, then start again

@StakeThaRush

2 жыл бұрын

Bro… why 😂😭.. “I’ve had a few losses this year”… This video just explained to us, in detail, that It’s a rough 50/50 win:loss ratio for everyone. Then you pop up “oh I’ve lost a few times this whole year thanks for the advice” on some obvious bullshit! Wtf? 😂 that is quite impressive I guess? What are you event looking for lol? WOW BRO ONLY A FEW LOSSES?! You’RE A KING! COOLEST DUDE ALIVE! HES SO AWESOME THAT HE ONLY LOST A FEW BETS ALL YEAR’!!!

@pete9409

2 жыл бұрын

Loser...

@reidospiratas720

Жыл бұрын

force

Great video mate 👍

You speak such sense PROBABILITIES are what Our focus should be on.

good simple walkthrough of how odds are compiled and how to find value bets.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks, that's what we intended! Cheers, glat it helped.

It is all about value and it amazes me that people bet more the shorter the odds are rather than the more value they get. I had £900 on a 100-1 horse before because it was huge value but I rarely ever bet that big on 2-1 shots.

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Shorter odds are typically closer to true-odds in nature, but larger odds are usually the ones with a false price for whatever reason.

@professionalgambler74

4 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader possibly on the surface the big priced events have little chance on the surface but with some more digging they have a much better chance

@TheMaggsy1

Ай бұрын

But if the price is bigger then the horse is less likely to win,so you are putting your betting bank more at risk.

I like the contest section on a particular site. Always loved squares. It's just a big game of chance. Also getting to bet on the ufc is pretty fun. I just bet very little with low probability. I bet a ko or tko in the last fight that was +1000 and won. Only bet $15 so it was $150. I just didn't believe the hype of O'Malley.

@achillesd3622

Жыл бұрын

O MALLEY WON ME MONEY TOO

Just needed to add bit on using the kelly criterion for bet size on your last thoughts about raising bet size.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Stake sizes should reflect opporutnity.

Hello Caan! Thanks for posting this video! I have a question. If i know the true odds, how do you increase the odds to gain value? Some odds posted are greater or lower than all 3 true odds calculated by me. We must calculate the true odds of all bookies to make comparison with?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Exchanges provide the best guage of true odds for us due to the many voices involved and the liquidty available.

The teams/players/horses do matter, since you need a baseline percentage to workout what a value bet looks like. Ofc it matters a lot less if your just trading positions, since your just looking for changes in the market.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

if you're looking to price an entire market, not if you are looking to steal some value.

@fearstreet4605

2 жыл бұрын

No project like lzn

Awesome stuff Cann!

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Thank you! Cheers!

Great video - cheers

Simply explained, good work Why are people so negative regarding your bookie vid.......keep it up.

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

I have no idea? Maybe they are all bookies, or work for bookies, or have lost a heap of cash and feel the need to drag others down in the process? It's a pretty helpful video for anyone interested in the mechanics of strategy. Have a goodun :)

@ArtDesignHobby

4 жыл бұрын

Yeah works great - I'm staking restricted to 0 with most bookies... xD

@larah2073

3 жыл бұрын

Guess, you have lost a lot from gambling. otherwise why wouldnt you control yourself from gambling and hop on to this video. He is not the one who you mentioned in the comment, you are doing it to yourself.

The most profitable strategy is to find out what lines I'm taking in a market and bet in the opposite direction, lol.

@7lool125

3 жыл бұрын

can u explain it more ?

@momodonpax9337

3 жыл бұрын

@@7lool125 hello are you interested for free picks?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

haha, although that wouldn't be profitable after you factors in commission

@24magiccarrot

2 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Surely that would depend on how bad my profitability is. FYI I'm being very tongue in cheek with my comment as I am a profitable layer/trader. I specialize in greyhounds but can dabble in most sport for profit.

It was suggested i follow your channel to enlighten myself..so here i am.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Good stuff.

@B400

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader I really need the idiots guide to gambling as I'm not very quick on the uptake..😉

good video, you are right, a succesfull bettors must be well prepared with a good strategy

firstly thanks for taking the time to share the video. You are right, price dictates everything, if something is bigger than you think it should be, look into backing it. Question, if something is 3-1, it should win 25% of the time, is that 3-1 on the video with bookmaker over-round factored in however? Also it looks like from the video, the majority of your trading is done on Betfair, have you factored in commission payments? Thanks

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

My selection has a 0.0001% chance of winning. I’ll become a millionaire one day. Hmmm 🤔 that day may be a lot later than my house repossession, bailiff notice, divorce court order etc.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Bloody expensive that last point!

I used to work out the over round in the betting shops before a race to gauge value. You have to take into account with horses people will back favourite names, jockeys which distort the pricing. All a bookie wants is his little bit of the pie.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Sure! Although it's not all that little when you work it out, is it. 365 done 660 Million profit last year alone.

@paultaylor2611

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader People have a go at the Coates's, at least they had the foresight to see where betting was going and started Bet365 Online. In over 200 countries betting on horses, poker, bingo, etc. There's always winners and losers. What gets me is when they pay millions for football players?, The likes of Moore, Pele, Best all missed the good times.

Great video!

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks.

Great video! The tip with the true odds of the betting exchange was especially eye opening. I’ve got a question related to that, wouldn’t you have to consider commission into these true odds too? As in, the odds of the betting exchanges are the closest to being true odds after subtracting the commission?

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Sure, but if you're using a sportsbook at true odds or above there is no commission... or have I misunderstood you?

@johannes9046

4 жыл бұрын

Caan Berry Pro Trader I was referring to what you said around 2:35. I was wondering if let’s say the odds for o2.5 goals is 2.0 at betfair, are these even odds already the true odds? If you just want to assess the true odds of a particular event, nothing else? Or would you further have to subtract the 5% commission to calculate the truest odds in a way, as I presumed traders would factor that in on top of the true odds in order to compensate the loss of the 5%? To stick with the example of the o2.5 at even odds, if you wager 10 pounds you would receive 19 pounds if successful after commission. Would hence be 1.9 the closest to the true odds of o2.5 goals or already the odds at 2.0?

Ur great sir. Thank you.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

No problem! Thanks for taking time to watch, hope you hit the like up.

Not sure where to post this. Been watching your videos & betting on Betfair exchange on a laptop without any software as yet, although have looked at Geeks Toy but not very computer literate. Also have the book but halfway through it. Right have laid a horse on Betfair & then backed it with a smaller amount to cover the bet which meant whichever horse won I was making a profit of about 10-15% of my original stake. The cash sign also comes up with the offer of a cash out !! do I take that as well or ignore it ?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

to cash out with BT spread profit across the entire market. if you are backing for £2 and laying for £2 then you would only see the profit on the selection that you placed the bits because it is not hedged aka cashed out.

Great tips

Well explained .. thanks

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

You are welcome

Hi Caan, solid content like usual. Do you have any suggestions on which bookmakers allow for really fast live bet placement? I've been using a few bookmakers that take up to 11 seconds just to process a live bet which is ridiculous and a lot of value is lost when I miss good prices. If you could even point me in the right direction that would be great!

@XYZ-gm2xo

3 жыл бұрын

Caan ofc you won't reply and give out any truly useful information

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Of course I do. I just don't do it all for free :) ....why would I? Same as the rest of the world! Regarding bookies fast bet placement? They put the delays in for a reason, you won't find a faster one. Bit of a stupid question when you think about it.

@XYZ-gm2xo

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Isn't that the whole point of your channel to help people become better traders? I didn't know if was used for self-promotion only which goes against the image that I believe you have presented to date - of wanting to help other traders develop. If it is for self-promotion only, then that makes me question why you're looking for additional sources of income and suggests you're not making enough from trading. And since there is considerable difference between in play time delays from bookmaker to bookmaker as well as sport to sport, I don't think it's a stupid question at all, and if anything, it shows a level of thinking and consideration that is at least higher than your average punter at the bar.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

"Isn't that the whole point of your channel to help people become better traders?" Yes, but everything has a price right? If you get a plumber to switch out your boiler he's helping you, but does paying him make it disingenuous? No. "I didn't know if was used for self-promotion only" Are you serious? Sticking the word 'only' in there makes it quite twisted, and shows you probably have some alternate agenda here. Probably why the account looks anonymous. Anyway, why would anyone bother making KZread videos if there was zero benefits in doing so? It costs them time. The whole of KZread is pretty much self-promoting. "If it is for self-promotion only, then that makes me question why you're looking for additional sources of income" Question it all you want. I'm not bothered, I've proved it many times over. I wonder if you would question using Virgin Atlantic because Richard Branson had already made enough money with Virgin Megastores. Flawed logic, many successful people have multiple streams of income, it just makes sense to. The delayed placement one is pretty daft, as if any bookie is going to give you a super-fast delay increasing your chances of beating them.

@PaddyB92

Жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Seemed like OP was asking a genuine question and made some good points in his other message. Not sure why your immediate response was to insult and get defensive.

Thanks Caan you make it look so easy .

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks but this is just an explainer to show you how, doesn't actually show it being done. Just theory :)

@Darts-kh2rs

3 жыл бұрын

Can you contact me? I can make you some money I can help u a lot mate

Alternate point spreads is what I'm hearing

I think when you combine value with knowledge of teams, you have a dream scenario. Teams do matter because they are human being with emotions and tendencies. American sports especially, teams get streaky (hot and cold). Also, sometimes, good teams getting embarrassed last time out, 3 games in 4 nights, etc can all impact a teams value that night. I find with basketball and hockey, I find tremendous value in the live betting market (alternative betting), where ill get odds of something happened at 40% but its above that. Than if the line moves enough in my favor, ill either let it ride or sometimes try and hit the middle. very hard to do with soccer but a sound strategy for Most American sports.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Value wins or loses everything. Doesn't matter what you know about a team if there is no value, you just can't win!

@fearstreet4605

2 жыл бұрын

No project like lzn

Opening lines do take into account public perception not always true implied probability and line movement isn't always indicative of money in/out. Weather could change, a player could be out, other things can move the line and change the true probability . Then you need to find a book that is offering you lines that are better than open and hope they keep your account open, not many books do that and most wont for long. There is a strategy opposite to this most swear by called steam chasing. Everyone has a 100% winning strategy, it's just not the case.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Wisdom of crowds is a thing though... with hundreds of thousands of users on an exchange.

@serbanaurelian4151

3 жыл бұрын

It is very hard to find someone on KZread who makes sense.Everyone has strategies...they simply don t work.There are only 2 sure ways of making money from betting: matched betting and arbitrage.That is math.The other ones are all relying on probabilities thus include risks.Yes,we know,long term...blah blah blah.Mathematically.In the practical world,the punter who just had a losing streak of n bets,can t abstain himself and puts his money on the first bet he finds.That is tilting.Strategies are extremely dangerous just because they depend on variance A LOT.Everything is good when u hit 2 3 in a row...but what happens when u lose in a row? That s why Martingale,Fibonacci,Labouchere,D Alembert,Paroli don t really work in real life .Of course,theoretically,it must hit Red sometimes,right?After 99 blacks.But do u still have money left in the bank? Not really.Every single idiot who posted on KZread about betting is talking nonsense.They all think theirs is the one.Lay the draw,lay the draw with insurance,bad each way races,always back the favourite away...etc.They simply don t work for the normal punter.Only if u have bots to find the real value .

Cool video. Where can we get before a race and opening (as soon as odds are available) price data to run some algos?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Betfair Historical Data? See this - kzread.info/dash/bejne/pYqBxa6Fn6uWZrA.html

@Shaunmcdonogh-shaunsurfing

3 жыл бұрын

Awesome, thank you!

Hi caan is this the information you were referring to in your previous video regarding the 100k subs, or is that something else? Cheers for all the great videos

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

No. I haven't shared that :)

This applies to games like roulette because the odds are absolutely mathematically fixed. It’s not the same for horse racing as you cannot truly gauge what the true mathematical probability of winning is. You can have the wisdom of the crowd but that’s not the same as absolute mathematical truth as in roulette. The underlying fundamentals are obviously correct however.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Indeed, numbers don't lie!

Hi Caan , in play with bookmakers though u can still get value. Is that correct. Because of price drift 👍🏼

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Hi Leo, no unfortunately not. In-play the same applies, although the bookmakers typically make their margin bigger because of the volatility of price movement (because there are less bets struck etc). So their margin is bigger, meaning the price is worse, even poorer value. In-play betting on things like football and cash-out is a truly hideous proposal. Sorry if that wasn't the answer you were looking for mate!

@leonolan3939

4 жыл бұрын

Hi Caan , thanks for reply. I no cash out is terrible , I’m talking say Man City to win before game is 1.2 then after 30 mins they are 1.4 that is value no ??

@elliotthomas15

4 жыл бұрын

@@leonolan3939 i use that sort of "backing losing favourites" type strategy all the time and it is definitely profitable but of course you need to use an exchange to get the most out of it not a bookmakers

@Gaze73

3 жыл бұрын

@@leonolan3939 By that logic Man city is big value at 3.0 when there's 5 minutes left.

Best way to learn betting here

But how do you actually know what is good value ?

The best strategy is to bet against your friend bet :))) because they will always loose :))))

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

I suppose that's fun if you do it that way at least!

I bet on goals and corners !

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Cool. But where's the edge?

Made a whole document that calculated the chance of team a or b winning chance of scoring in first 10 min 10-20min etc against each time, bet 25 ish times a day and average a 0,8% return a day

Still don't get how you identify a price of good value. Like in football betting, there so many markets. How do you know the price to go for?

Just started properly gambling low stakes to I find my succeful markets I'm up couple hundred with goals over under

@rossp4717

3 жыл бұрын

I’m trying to do this aswell, have any tips ? I’m looking to bet on football

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Find some strategy and success before parting with your money. See the latest upload, thats a strategy that works.

Then you loose a ticket on a fix 1.45 football match.

Hello Mr Caan Berry. We don't need to speak too much grammar when we can quickly bring out example to buttress our point. Here are boxing bouts for 31/10/2020; make your picks and let's work out the outcome on 01/11/2020 here. Thanks!!! 1. Lamont Roach 1.08 Neil John Tabanao 9.8. 2. Marlen Esparza 2.41 Sulem Urbina 1.67 3. Bektemir Melikuzier 1.05 Alan Campa 12.0 4. Elwin Soto 1.06 Carlos Buitrago 9.5 5. Jamie Munguia 1.26 Tureano Johnson 4.18.

I like to look at a horse when they come on the track during the post parade and how they look, that gives me a yes or no pick

Very new to your videos but I’ve been on BF 15 years and your Thesis is sound. At the end of the video what is the rough costs for your education material referred to at your caan website . Thanks

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Depends, there's lots of free stuff on there if that's what you prefer :)

I take it you keep track of all of your wins / losses on a spreadsheet. Stupid question but are you ever tempted to just stop when you hit the top, just to stop you from chasing the top again?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

no because chasing is not an issue for me I don't bring in motion to the table I only take value and place my bet when I know I am in a good position otherwise I just watch

I agree with your concepts, but believe that 'value' can only be found using large amounts of historical data (which exists). All quant hedge funds are relying on Big Data (for which they pay enormous sums), horse racing is no different. So relying on odds changes in the final minute(s) doesn't meet that criteria. We logged odds data from 90 seconds out , every second, and found no correlation between falling odds (so called 'smart money') and better outcomes. And even if that could work, you'd have to have a reliable signal that odds will drop *naturally* from this point to race time, and take the higher odds. And when I say 'naturally' I mean The Crowd is doing this independently and not following 'group think' while watching the screen. I do agree about the horse (or team) being a proxy for odds, there's no reason to get fixated on a horse.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

there are a lot of assumptions there are James. whilst I agree with a fair portion of it you're also missing a few things, big data when manipulated and used in the right way will without question be useful but you have to remember there are also some very large participants in the marketplace that have been using such datasets for decades. manipulation also goes on which may be shroud in your judgement. value can also be found in several other areas although I'm not so inclined to share on KZread for free, sorry.

Hey Caan, in your opinion, what would you say is the number 1 horse 'Trading' strategy 'That Works' pre or post-off..scalping, front runners, b2l'ing steamers, or another? &what racing market would best suits the strategy

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

If you forced me to choose one, trading short-term based on support and resistance... an overlap with scalping there for sure although not entirely scalping alone.

@ross5956

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Ta, is it still advisable to employ directional bias scalping at odds below 3.0 & even below 2.0?

Thanks Caan, finally the truth about betting, no one will believe you though as most think the colour of the jockey's under trollies are a good indicator and add value. I discovered the maths a few years back and just went on a value betting spree and was eventually gubbed to death. Great fun. Nowadays I use value as a basis for my tipping site as that makes a lot more money and is zero hassle. If my subscribers knew I never ever watch a horse race or look at the form they would have several fits but as you say you could be betting on three legged donkeys and make money if the price is right. I automated the tipping using the BF API and am actually looking for some co-operation on a new project for auto arbing/value betting. Let me know if you would be interested or know someone who is.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Cheers, Stephen. You're correct of course, its sad that so many think like that (and listen to the medias narative, paid for by bookies). Inevitably doing this you will get restricted as people have seen in other videos.. fair few quid in it though.

@mikerowbottom8661

3 жыл бұрын

Can you explain what you mean by automated the tipping using betfair api please? Cheers

@jackroberts9630

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader I've won £10000 this month doing trebles and singles etc but I've hit a stopping point and can't get past 10k.. Keep going from 8k too 9k back and forth.. Any suggestions?

Which betting site do you use or recommend

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

I'm not going to recommend any in particular! However, I would say exchanges are a far better option for the end user in comparisson to sportsbooks.

It makes sense for horse racing but what about other sports? Do you have insight into that? For example, parlay bets on NBA, NHL and NFL? Ive been lucky on all three these past seasons but it is not consistent

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

all sports work on the same basis that you need to find value for your betting strategy. saying it is harder than doing it of course, but the industry has people looking in the wrong direction by getting them to focus on said sport or individual instead of price. the price is all that really matters!

I great strategy i have found to make steady profit is playing for a cash out. Maybe not the best for long term, however i will do a football acca on say 6 games to not finish 0-0. Now 0-0 isn't a common score in football but it can happen, but the likelyhood is, 4 or 5 of those games are going to have a scorer. At that point you cash out. Its rare that i lose on this and even though im not making mega profit its adding up. A few £30-£150 wins every day or 2 goes a long way. And the more you have you more you can essentially put on for larger profit margins.

@junglem8553

3 жыл бұрын

Where do you do this?

Thanks for the video! The mentioned strategy works pretty well in sports I think. Am I right?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Yes

This video is good for me because all I know is the roulette table in gta 🤣

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Vinewood?

The last betting

On a Saturday with full list of football fixtures I like to bet on both teams to score yes with odds of evens or above that way I usually always make a healthy profit

@PvPWithJordy

4 жыл бұрын

Do you just choose the games with odds of evens or above randomly or do you look into both of the teams' match history (for example if both teams score often in other games they have played)?

@deanmcveigh7803

4 жыл бұрын

Just look at the odds evens or better hard atm due to lack of fixtures

Funny how you didn't tell anyone how to find value in the end. For that people need to sign up to your courses. Which is probably how you make actual money.

@zpc8536

3 жыл бұрын

in fact he did. You must to look at the exchanges odds closest to the start of the event. than you must to search for odds that are bigger on the other bookmakers. the bigger the gap between the odds the bigger the value and the bigger you must to stake. But it's really hard to find those value bets without a software. and then you must to pay for online bookies who can find these value bets alone. Or you can go for surebets too. In the end I think it's really hard work for a little outcome and If you go big you will get restricted. Think of another way to make real money. The only way to make money online betting and make millions is by courtside betting. But also to do that it s a bit hard and you need not to get caught as it is more restricted. If you wanna know more about it go here kzread.info/dash/bejne/naqIwduChqyYgdo.html

@mattmckenna4532

3 жыл бұрын

Even then he can't tell you because nobody knows what the bfsp will be, you can anticipate moves some of the time but that's it. If anyone tells you different then they're lying

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

If you think that, you'll never find it. But even now in 2020 it still happens daily, and no, I'm not lying. I'm not just going to put that bit on KZread, because, why would I?

I trade the Financial markets. My win loss ration is approx 50%. BUT.................and this is the way I've been consistently profitable ( my winners are 3-4 times bigger than my losses. Caan.......You speak such sense PROBABILITIES are what Our focus should be on. There are No guarantees in trading or betting................but boy, can we put the odds in Our favour, if we know what to look for. I used to trade on emotion, with no focus, no plan - shooting from the the hip. No surprise, I lost alot of £££££££. Do your homework people, and focus on edge. Those who don't know what edge is...........YOU DON'T HAVE ONE!!!

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

very fair comment Phil

Live is all about betting it only depends on where you bet your money, one rule of betting is to play from one of the trusted prediction site.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Not really, the sites are just facilitating data. Always trust the data! And watch out for affiliate links on the prediction sites.

What about surebets (arbitrage betting)? Is Betnetto surebets good platform? I overheard some guy at the restaurant talking about how he earn 2k monthly by playing surebets. Can this be real?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Arbitrage is a relatively safe way of milking incorrect odds yes. Never heard of the platforms you mention.

@dongmingzhu666

3 жыл бұрын

Arbitrage bettors will be limited by bookies within about a week and there’s little profit to be made from then on. You can make a few quid at the beginning but It’s not sustainable. The only way to make long term profits is to bet with exchanges such as Betfair and have a proven winning strategy.

I want to learn more on betting

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

This channel is the place then! This video is quite clearly laying out how value bets are done.

Arbitraging the sports betting market. How interesting

Very very helpful video mate But whats the benefit of it when youll get banned eventually for taking big odds? Is exchange markets same as sportsbook will banned you ?

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

You'll get banned if you win. Its just how it is, the law allows them to behave like this. Exchange markets don't ban as you are betting against other users.

So basically put Ur life savings on red or black

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Not advised no.

@sabre22b

3 жыл бұрын

Don't you just double up next round to get.... Oh sorry I bumped my head and stumbled in to a casino.

@apxboni7729

3 жыл бұрын

lol

@amberlopez7477

3 жыл бұрын

Yes, then green comes out.

@amberlopez7477

3 жыл бұрын

@@sabre22b Never double. You have to triple your bet.

Thought this was pretty standard.

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

I guess that's a good thing :)

You are good man Caan 🙏

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Thank you 🙌 im sure you are too! thanks for watching. Should see the most recent upload it shows an example

@expatwealthasia8702

2 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader have a good Xmas mate

Ir works better if you use a huge database and check all patterns to see if you have a value odd

I really wish I understood this video!

@crawford1083

3 жыл бұрын

Nothing to understand! The same old pro-punter bollox about "value" and what constitutes value.

@victorcadavid5761

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah, but. Exactly when looking at the exchange betting site, like Betfair for example, what is what i must be looking for to find which are the odds higher than should be? The blue or the pink ones?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

@@victorcadavid5761 The blue ones, in line with the sportsbooks line.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

I wish I could make it even simpler!!!

Caan I know you're advocating taking value here, which is of course, the only way to make long-term profit. I agree with all that, but you're saying the best way to ascertain the relative 'value' or true odds of an event occurring is to look at the exchanges near the off, again true, this is when the exchange is most accurate as the odds are ultimately dictated by supply and demand and the money changing hands, and the wisdom in numbers means this is the truest price, the problem is how can you then find value elsewhere? If you found a bookie offering a higher price than the exchange near the off, I'd like you to let me know which bookie that is? Because all you'll get at that stage is liveshows. And if you consistently do manage BEFORE the liveshows to get higher prices with bookies, you know what will happen, as you've shown on other videos. You'll just get banned. So how can this actually be applied? If you're talking about finding value actually on the exchanges, how, as the price changes so does the relative implied probability? It's kind of like reverse logic. You're using the current trading price to give you the 'true odds' but you can't beat the current trading price? If the price goes out, then now the new price is the current trading price, so now that is the 'true odds', you see what I'm saying with this? Where do you get the value from?

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Hey! Not seen a comment from you for a while. Hope you're well... in answer: 1. how can you then find value elsewhere? Think I understand what you're asking but; there is not such value in every instance. Anticipation of movement is the key because you have an opportunity to exploit the price for a limited time. 2. I'd like you to let me know which bookie that is? Unfortunately, it changes by the day, hour, minute... they all do at one point or another. None are super-efficient. 3. So how can this actually be applied? Yep, you'll get banned for winning. That's bookies business model. In the short term you can certainly apply and take value though, its just not going to be a golden goose forever. 4. how, as the price changes so does the relative implied probability? Remeber it's not an eternal sliding scale, we're talking about the last minute to post in most cases when the market is most fluid and accurate. 5. You can't beat the current trading price? You can. And while I'd love to discuss and share this with you as I know you're a long-term follower with some great insight, I'm just not going to put that part on KZread at this stage :) ...but you can.

@elastronaute1198

4 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Okay thanks Caan. And I am actually a subscriber to your video pack. I'm going to go through it all again during this lockdown period. See if I can get even more out of it if I go through it methodically. Cheers for the reply

Caan, what is your opinion on the westbrom brentford game this evening? What should I be looking at? Thanx

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

Guess I'm seeing this one a little bit late!

@handeyecoordinationskills

4 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader no worries

I still dont get how you find value. Is it just looking at the favorite? and determining if the bookies odds are higher? Because if its any horse than you need to factor in the odds of it winning and it sounds like you're saying to just get that from seeing what punters are betting on exchanges. If its a horse that is 6 places away from the favorite in terms of odds and the bookies have higher odds than its value. Even though its not likely to win are you saying thats still value and it should be bet on?

Got a question caan. Do you think that racing betting will remain the same after this pandemic. Eg. Do you think the bookies will all survive and if they do will things be the same as before with regards to concessions and prices?

@cryptolord9826

4 жыл бұрын

It never stopped mate in Australia 🇦🇺

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

I agree.

Hi your information is insanely useful 👍 But my question is why not just take the best price in exchange markets since they provide the best price and push it even further to get even better price Than go through all that hassle with soft bookies and get restricted and sometimes they refuse to pay what you earn I don't get that really ??,

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

Because in the given example the exchange would not be representing value. Although if you have another more accurate gauge that tells you the exchange price is wrong then I whole-heartedly agree you should be using that as you say (after comm is factored in).

Thanks for the video! The mentioned strategy works pretty well in sports to my mind, is not it?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Absolutely!

Good video, what website are there to use after most accounts are restricted? What's good high limit bookies are there other than pinnacle and betfair?

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

No such thing as a free lunch. None of the bookies will tolerate you winning, like card counting in a casino, they'll just throw you out.

might be a dumb question, say your bet is losing. EG a football team is losing 2-0, should you cash out or should you let all bets run?

@CaanBerryProTrader

4 жыл бұрын

The margin I mention in the video that is applied by a bookie makes it bad value. You should know, when you cash-out with them they apply this margin again... so double-screwed yes. You would need to be taking huge value in order to back with a bookie and cash out with them and still be in the green.

@mmmpeter7617

4 жыл бұрын

i would use asian handicap live odds to scrap some profit

@leothelion5491

4 жыл бұрын

Don't do accumulator.simple

@Bensway7

3 жыл бұрын

his reply makes sense but some bookies dont screw over second time i think, and when you wonder if you should cash out, my tip is look at your own bank do you need that money, think about your overall luck factor dont know if you get this, and try to find feeling can it go wrong, ask yourself if losing team is really doing worse if score dont makes sense i suggest cash out.

@joeching1419

3 жыл бұрын

no. gamble the lot

On the toss of the coin the bookies won’t give you evens on heads or tails, they’ll give you 9/10 (or possibly 4/5) on both. A mark-up of 10-20%. As you say it isn’t rocket science.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

They do though, by mistake, sometimes. Not in the majority of cases as you say though :)

olá cann sou brasileiro e gostaria muito de comprar seu curso iniciei no trader em abril de 2016 operei com futebol e lay galgos mais nem um dos 2 obtive sucesso , agora imigrei pro cavalo conheço tudo sobre odds , percebi que o comportamento das odds de cavalos osilão muito rapido..não teria como eu obter seu curso com legenda brasileira?

If you win consistently then you either get stakes cut or banned.

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

This is true, John. With a sportsbook anyway... not with an exchange.

@juanfelipemontenegro2523

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader What is an exchange for betting?

@GB14990

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader what exchange?

@naquonfreshmoney

2 жыл бұрын

names of some exchanges? do they also allow parlays? can be used with bitcoin for deposit and withdrawal?

In Simple English without The Complicated Math Bet on The Germans

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Huh? LOL funny stuff.

Long time bettors are the bread and butter of the bookies. Your first instinct is usually wrong, you'll bet it anyway. Most are underdog averse and afraid to bet to win.

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

people are terrible at making mathematical and statistical judgements with their mind alone, relying on gut instinct and judgement like this will never end well.

Do you bet or making these videos for money on KZread? Because I think making money from betting is way easier and huge if you can prove how effective your methods are... #Laser

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Are you serious? I quit my job to trade sports odds a decade ago, and have never looked back. A byproduct of that was the worlds largest sports exchange sponsoring me to help educate their other customers on use etc, which is where this channel began. It's not a job when you do what you enjoy, plus the ad revenue on this channel is so low it's not even a factor! See the video about it...

@DIYGhana

3 жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Give us games to win then...

i can tell you now if i put a bet on the higher 3 , 4 dollars on tennis you 99percent chance of losing

So if the most accurate reflection of true odds is on the betfair exchange then how would you find better odds than the exchange? Wait for inplay/race on the exchange to bet?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

Look beyond the exchange (with it as your guide).

Thanks for the lesson, mate:)

@CaanBerryProTrader

2 жыл бұрын

No problems, thanks for the sub.

"Probabili'y"

@bernhardkmakanga6317

3 жыл бұрын

Lol! I've realised most English people do that😂😂

@zothangobese3888

3 жыл бұрын

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

Could i get an opinoin on Both Teams to Score plus Win?

@CaanBerryProTrader

3 жыл бұрын

See this video: kzread.info/dash/bejne/po6VtsWgiNWyoso.html