Russian citizen here. Birthrates in late USSR were shit because economy and society offered no real initiative. By 80s there were deficits of everything, corruption in consumer goods was rampant, and since then people never quite recovered from that anxiety and uncertainty. My mom was teen in 80s, so, Gen X, I am 28, late millennial. Mom had to work all 9 months of pregnancy, had only me, my siblings she couldn’t carry to full term, and my dad as programmer had unstable employment through nineties and died young to rare disease (Stephen Hawking had the same but in remission). I am not having kids in this freaking Mordor

@tancreddehauteville764

Жыл бұрын

Move abroad. Australia or New Zealand are good.

@toby9999

Жыл бұрын

​@@tancreddehauteville764 Spot on. I was born in one and live in the other. Both are great countries in their own ways.

@zer0homer

Жыл бұрын

@@tancreddehauteville764 I’m working on it, guys. First stop will probably be Israel as mom’s side of the family is Jewish, but it’s volatile too, and I would prefer to stay in Southern Europe. Bulgaria, Montenegro. I love climate and food and their demography is not inflated by people, let’s put it mildly, blowing up at atheist satire and inherently hostile to Jews ;)

@Terra_Lopez

Жыл бұрын

@@tancreddehauteville764 Yeah, great if you can. It's not the easiest thing to accomplish.

@Emperor_Atlantis

Жыл бұрын

Sorry to hear that dude. I hope your mother country can have some more personal freedoms. Its terrible to hear you had to endure such things.

I'm still not sure if this is a travel channel or a politics channel. 😂

@Khannea

Жыл бұрын

Walking allows you to ventilate your brain.

@doomd1816

Жыл бұрын

He’s on a green screen

@samfaligowski6828

Жыл бұрын

GEO - travel POL… - politics 🤠

@paul_wiggin

Жыл бұрын

​@@FrankenBeenzpropaganda of what? Common sense and math?

@manh9105

Жыл бұрын

@@paul_wiggin US

10 months later, this video aged well. I find that with your videos and books in general! Well done Peter!

I must give a big thumbs up to Peter for his choice of locations and the variety . As a city dweller who loves seeing the " natural world " I get great enjoyment . Cheers our kid !

@stevebusfield199

Ай бұрын

Peter stays on the move, Wary of FSB agents and novohalk poisoning.

A good way to defend yourself is by not stealing your defence budget. And stealing your maintenance budget or reserves.

@mbak7801

Жыл бұрын

Yes but it is a race. If you do not steal from your budget someone else will do it for you. Each person must steal as fast as possible and then buy plastic helmets and cheap rubber boots to appear to be doing something whilst hiding the money overseas.

@CharlieBam

Жыл бұрын

Ironic how so much of that stolen money went to buying yachts that the west has seized lol

@concretejungle9608

Жыл бұрын

How about trying not to invade and genocide other nations out of existence ? That might work magic yo russia’s self- defense since nobody ever needed to threaten them first

@jimluebke3869

Жыл бұрын

@@mbak7801 You mean, despite the tens (or hundreds) of billions of dollars of material support the United States has been giving Ukraine, that might not translate to a victorious counter-offensive? Do you mean to say that Ukrainians might be giving their lives for nothing, now? Are you saying that the Zelenskyy presidency is just an act?

@Scribemo

Жыл бұрын

@@mbak7801 I mean, how else would you ensure the geostrategic future of your rump empire?

Love the longer format where you are answering various questions. Looking forward to more like it.

Superb

Great analysis! Love unbiased independent journalism... pure news, No spin!

WE WANT LONG VIDEOS LIKE THIS EVERYDAY. Peter Zeihan in high demand

Imagine being stuck at an airport and Peter Zeihan comes up to you and says "Hey, I'm Peter, ask me anything!"

@pragmaticparadox5981

Жыл бұрын

I'd ask if he could please stop talking.

@annoyed707

Жыл бұрын

That's the airport where Peter lives.

@touger9759

Жыл бұрын

Mr Zeihan, I'm an avid consumer of your work and content. My question for you is since demographics are so important have you done your part and contributed to the future of the workforce?

@protorhinocerator142

Жыл бұрын

I would ask him about the possibility of creating an economic trade zone in Central America like a mini-EU. I assume there are significant challenges. What are they? If we could achieve it, what would be the benefits? In other words, is it worth trying to overcome those challenges?

@gaoxiaen1

Жыл бұрын

@@pragmaticparadox5981 I'd ask him to ignore you.

Your great videos are incredible with details of persons, past history, and many countries. Look forward to more?

Very Interesting Food For Thought! 🤔

There was also a significant brain drain during the Soviet collapse in '89-'91. Over the course of my employment in the 90's and later I met many technically educated people who had "escaped" from the Soviet Union when it went down. Most of these people - the one's that I knew about - were in the age range of 30-60. Many were Jewish and there were not just a few - thousands. Thank you Peter for your insight to some of these geopolitical problems we are now having. Very interesting.

@Acquisitor

Жыл бұрын

My jewish parents escaped back then.. the ussr didnt want two highly educated intellectuals, two 'zhidovskih rozha'

@MrMuki61

Жыл бұрын

Indeed. About 1 million Jews left the USSR to Israel and most of them stayed in Israel (or moved to Western Europe or the US and Canada). The vast majority were engineers, teachers, academics and general professionals.

@JohnHoffman65

Жыл бұрын

A lot of engineers, skilled machinists, doctors, etc., came to St. Paul - Minneapolis in the late 1990’s from the former USSR. These were ethnic Russian Jews who came to the US as refugees. It was helpful to Minnesota as we had a skilled labor shortage in 1997-2000.

@Acquisitor

Жыл бұрын

@@JohnHoffman65 Im sure many Americans didnt like the inflow of these jews (eventhough most of them were secular) but life with a jewish 'face' in ussr was unbearable in the late 80s/early 90s.

@Truffle_Young_Jr

Жыл бұрын

@@MrMuki61 How wonderful that they were able able to get higher education in Russia.

Thank you Peter. Love these talks. Only an experienced lecturer could deliver this sort of detailed talk while walking along a woodland trial.

@stevesetzer3361

Жыл бұрын

What would have been better- giving Russia eastern Ukraine and avoiding the death of 1 million+ or continuing a war and pointing out the atrocities? I really dont know and neither do you. MAYBE this war is more about Taiwan, but I would never have protected Taiwan in the first place. THey were part of China 200 years before we invaded Hawaii. Bring chip making back to the U.S. and stop this gaslighting about "democracy". Our 3-letter agencies ONLY care when it suits them. Zeihan is a shill for 3-letter agencies

@elektrotehnik94

Жыл бұрын

For future reference: once there is no more breath left to talk - SLOW DOWN YOUR WALKING. :D ❤ Was funny seeing Peter so passionately ingrained in the lecture to not notice...

@GeorgeStar

11 ай бұрын

@@murecerickman I'll take his expertise over a Trump University graduate any day.

@antony1397

11 ай бұрын

@@murecerickman Oh really? Why don't you start up a channel and factually refute everything he says. Since you know "fax"

@jadapinkett1656

11 ай бұрын

​@@GeorgeStarYou're a useful pawn for the MIIC.

These videos are amazing. Love the perspective. Mr. Zeihan is a great thinker!

Thank you Peter! Excellent show😊

In the past Navalny has been ambiguous about the Crimea issue, but earlier this year in a series of tweets Navalny said that Crimea should be "returned to Ukraine, full stop".

@HeyPedroBro

Жыл бұрын

got a source for this?

@stepankotek

Жыл бұрын

Twitter?

@br1ghtFlame

Жыл бұрын

My links keep on getting removed. Just look it up, there are many good sources on this.

@mattolivier1835

Жыл бұрын

Well, Crimea should NOT be returned! Ukraine going down and thank God!

@ChristopherFodor

Ай бұрын

Well he's dead so who cares

"Russian raw materials extraction depends on foreigners" According to the research of Thomas Sowell, this was true even under the Soviet system.

@spinach660

Жыл бұрын

Same goes to China, assembly line depends on foreigh technology. And both countries and shrinking demographically. Even better, russia could turn their gunpoint at china if putin get outed. Average russians like americans more than chinese, a democratic russia is a nightmare to china.

@jimluebke3869

Жыл бұрын

@@spinach660 Yeah, I'm inclined to think that the best play America can make at this point, is to give Russia a sphere or influence in Ukraine -- and support one in Greater Mongolia, East Turkmenistan, and Tibet. =) China has already started stabbing Russia in the back, setting up summits with FSR's in Central Asia, without inviting Russia.

@Whatsupwiththisname

Жыл бұрын

⁠@@jimluebke3869As a Russian putinist I’m inclined to think that US should give Russian back our land: Alaska and California. And move NATO back to West Germany, by givving us back control of Berlin. And then we could sit and peacefully discuss further - how we would distribute power. Unless you are in favor of WWIII and nuclear exchange of course.

@jimluebke3869

Жыл бұрын

@@Whatsupwiththisname I hear you can buy San Francisco's Union Square for cheap these days, although cleaning up after the socialists (and Democrats, but I repeat myself) would be a bit of a job.

@breadbaskets2772

Жыл бұрын

The difference was the soviets occupied foreign countries and could move skilled foreigners easily around the country where they were needed. Now they need to outsource them

Super insightful. Thank you.

Thanks, Peter, New subscriber and honestly your content is mind-stretching. Thanks for giving me thought-provoking content

Thank you Peter. I'm always impressed with your breadth of knowledge and ability to talk for minutes on these subjects without looking at notes.

@BuddyLee23

Жыл бұрын

Ya and he certainly gifted us with a nice long video today.

@tocreatee3585

Жыл бұрын

his conclusion does not make sense. yes, russia is declining very fast. still huge nuclear power and PLENTY of natural resources. but no people. i were putin, I will cut deal with Chinese. he has no other choice, and US "forced" it on him. now US has enemy with 1 billion people with almost infinite natural resources. Good luck with that cold war.

@HistoryCity1

Жыл бұрын

@@BuddyLee23 While hiking

@bandidoJNMR

Жыл бұрын

@@HistoryCity1 and filming

@neilclay5835

Жыл бұрын

@@HistoryCity1 Up hill 😆

Western media and analysts like to focus on the weaknesses of Russia, maybe because it makes us feel better, and it's of course important to know about those. But it's also important to not underestimate someone with hostile intentions. It can backfire to focus too much on their weaknesses

@thomasherrin6798

9 ай бұрын

Russia is barbarically hostile and everybody should be aware of that, they should also be aware that Russia is failing to meet its own lofty ambitions because reality gave them a kick in the teeth, the Wider West should fully support Ukraine until Russia is booted out, that is the best result for the war in Ukraine, however Russia will still be a bad neighbour!?!

@faiththrower7951

Ай бұрын

Pretty sure it's China keeping a very close eye on things

Many thanks Peter. Brilliance. Observation at its finest . Cheers.

I read Accidental Superpower about year ago... EXCELLENT read!!! ... the information in that book helped me make so much more sense out of our world... and global politics. Also, for people who fear immigration is hurting America... you be SHOCKED to learn that immigration is actually SAVING our butts from depopulation. The mindblowing truth that MOST industrialized nations face demographic decline is truly amazing... the book shows that the coming depopulation of industrialized nations is projected to disconnect and deglobalize most of the industrialized world... the numbers are ASTOUNDING! Thanks very much Peter... your voice seems almost prophetic in these murky times!

@paradoksparadoks6299

Ай бұрын

İmmigration is a nightmare for my country. All the third World crap comes and our doctors, engineers and scientists run away to europe and other civilized countries. I hope one day we can kick them out of our country.

@terryfox9344

Ай бұрын

I agree with you on immigration except, I believe that immigration should be rational and regulated, not irrational and uncontrolled. I believe that this is a basic function of government, and I believe that spending billions of dollars paying people NOT to do their jobs is irrational.

@Peter-Oak

Ай бұрын

Have you considered, that should birth rates be very low in a wealthy country for a generation, the population reacts by naturally increasing birth rates to 'fill the empty social and economic space'? You don't mention it is in the book you speak of. Immigration you speak of is an intentionally fabricated phenomenon that some competent nations employ because they understand population is currently the most precious resource for generating any and all resources. So it is a good thing, it just has some negative impacts on individuals.

That's a really interesting point about giving Putin "off-ramps". I remember when the war first began, it seemed like that was the one line every single European country (besides the former Warsaw pact nations) would repeat: give Putin an "off-ramp" to end the war. For whatever reason, countries like France and Germany did not understand that this war wasn't some kind of huge misunderstanding or an accident. This was the outcome Russia wanted, and frankly it has been the hill Putin has chosen to die on.

@ronblack7870

Жыл бұрын

yup he has wanted to take over ukraine since he came to power . he will never give up. it sucks he has 7 million men available to throw at this.

@kenharvey8161

Жыл бұрын

Agree. It needs to be the hill he does die on.

@outdoorloser4340

Жыл бұрын

That's funny. All the US leaders have been saying since 2011 they wanted to force Russia into a Ukrainian war and slowly drain them dry. Maybe watch some independent media instead of this intelligence shill.

@bunncameron6687

11 ай бұрын

@@ronblack7870technically they have 25 million available reservesist available

@Laotzu.Goldbug

11 ай бұрын

​@@user-nx1we5gu3bI'm sure Western companies would like to make money off of Ukrainian resources but none of the western powers have anything approaching a major need or desire for it.

I read all your books, Peter, and while I do not always agree with you. I am really happy to have found your work, and you are a true role model for looking at the world from a fact based point of view

@ruckin3

Жыл бұрын

if its all fact based, then why do you not always agree w him?

@sztaro

Жыл бұрын

There can be vast differences in the interpretation of facts.

@hackhenk

Жыл бұрын

​@@ruckin3Because OP can enjoy Peter's style of analytics without agreeing with every conclusion he makes. Geopolitics is complex, people take different factors into account and arrive at different conclusions.

@TheHighborn

Жыл бұрын

@@hackhenk even if you take the very same factors, but with different weight and you'll arrive to a different conclusion.

@Alpostpone

Жыл бұрын

@@ruckin3 While no one can consider _all_ the facts, having _some_ is certainly an improvement over general discourse. Which facts are looked for first and included is a matter of methology, and interpretation and conclusions vary. Geopolitics isn't mathemathics.

Good one, this

Very interesting

This guy’s stamina is unbelievable. Giving a college level lecture while climbing a mountain must be unprecedented.

@aurorajones8481

Жыл бұрын

He is walking on level ground bro. Ill give you a story on a walk. Talk to me when he is rock climbing while giving us a lecture. 😆 Next episode he is 200 feet high on an ice wall giving us a lecture on neo capitalism. 🤣 Right... i mean he might actually do it.

@aurorajones8481

Жыл бұрын

Ok so its not that level but still...

@donnanuce

Жыл бұрын

That hike he is on is at least 8000feet above sea level. I know because I live in Colorado.

@industrialathlete6096

Жыл бұрын

@@donnanuce EXACTLY

@deeh5126

Жыл бұрын

Imagine being on a hike and passing by a dude rambling on about Russia (or China or any of the other topics he covers). It would be so hilarious.

Once again excellent work. Thank you so much for your analysis 🥃

Thank you.

Thank you again brother!

"even if he were to accidentally duct tape himself to a lawn chair and go swimming..." Oh dear, I shouldn't have laughed quite so heartily at that.

@Terra_Lopez

Жыл бұрын

Yeah, I love those wry digs at what happens to 'unwanted' Russians. Taking them at their ludicrous supposed face value, sarcastically, yeah, he does it very well.

@Terra_Lopez

Жыл бұрын

I guess I should rather say he exaggerates the ludicrousness of the 'accident' or 'suicide' deaths for comedic effect, and does it very well.

@baddolphin1423

Жыл бұрын

Yeah, it's called the "russian stroke".

Your a good guy, Peter. I see your love and care within the context of your brilliant awareness of the systems of the world .

Thank you for this detailed analysis. Subscribed.

Thank you, lots of information in a nut shell.

If anything I learn from these video’s is that I need to go outside more.

@jackj5368

Жыл бұрын

Omg. Probably best if you walk away from your computer devices for a good, long time, Jman Jman.

"Nalvani" did not say that. He is against the war and made that clear. He was reluctant to give a clear answer about Crimea, though. I'm pretty sure that's a very sensitive topic even for his supporters. Also, his name is Navalny, not Nalvani.

@BlueHawkPictures17

Жыл бұрын

Yeah... I am absolutely amazed at this comment, like honestly this has made me a lot more skeptical of much of his claims broadly speaking. Because if he gets something as objectively wrong as that then like what else did he at the very least paper-over to get his point across.

Peter … thanks for your exceptional offerings. I sifted through nearly 100 sources of info - until I finally settled on three. You are one of those. Appreciate your analysis and insight. Cheers from ‘downunder’.

Love the walk and talk. Downloading the info seems much easier when I'm taking a stroll while you breakdown the world and regional problems. I love it, thank ya, Pete

Excellent information and presentation Mr. Zeihan! I can literally see the gears go round and round in that brain with all that exertive energy and oxygen intake! I am loving the "under 20-ish minute" talk format!

I love how you can provide us different points of views from facts that are public and aviable, allowing to draw conclusions we otherwise would not have tought about them.

Wow, that was really really interesting, thank you.

Peter, you're the Cam Hanes of Geopolitics. Great episode. Thanks for sharing.

@outdoorloser4340

Жыл бұрын

More like the Henry Kissinger of malevolent propaganda.

Peter your encouraging me to exercise again while watching you there, grinding through those hilly trails, barely losing a breath, while continuously keeping your mind and your vocal cords busy at the same time....along with all that fresh mountain air helping as well!!

Thank you. The second half was most enlightening. Dis United Nations & your previous videos spelled out the first part. The second part was new. Looking forward to the next video. Stay safe.

That was very informative and quite interesting.

Very good video, thank you!

I still don't understand how you get such clear and quality audio without the background noise when filming your videos as you do. Also, as an international affairs and politics nerd, I love your content.

@crisanccm

Жыл бұрын

I guess, may be, he has a iphone pro ?..

@megamilyon6111

Жыл бұрын

CIA makes sure he has a good sound tech

@TrendyStone

Жыл бұрын

@@megamilyon6111Like an iPhone?

@tommyshelbyobe9098

Жыл бұрын

You can edit out the noise

@Katoshi_Takagumi

Жыл бұрын

Looks wonderful wherever Peter is hiking, seeing birch trees always feels good.

Excellent video! The best take on the situation I have seen to date! Now Subscribed!

Excellent! Succinct and most informative.

Peter, I love your laser focus, there’s no umming and ahhhing, all whist climbing up a hill. Great update!

Love to your take on things keep putting out content like this please thank you Peter

Peter Zeihan: reliably shooting horizontal video for years. My hero.

Great location but I had to keep pausing the video so I could catch my breath.

As always , interesting and v informative ,, thanks Peter

Peter,just be carefull while in the wild. You provide us with tons of reliable info I appreciate it much. Take care!!

Thanks for the clear explanation. It's nice to hear that from a political (or geopolitical) analyst without lots of hedging or innuendo.

Good piece

I am a great admirer of you analysis! Thank you!

The Cue was 1982, and it was Andropov. He was foloved by Chiernienko. Both died due to old age within a year of assuming office. Next came Gorvachov. Chiernomyrdyn was later.

@dandylion8118

2 ай бұрын

"Coup". A "cue" is a stick used to play pool.

Minor fact check: When Andropov died, it wasn't Viktor Chernomyrdin, it was Konstantin Chernenko who took over the show. Viktor Chernomyrdin rose to political prominence after the Soviet Union fell and Yeltsin had become the power broker. Chernenko was a terminally ill hard-liner when he got the job, and in practice because of his physical frailty, it ended up being Gromyko and Ustinov who ran the country. He was installed more to buy time for other old Soviets to find a candidate preferable to the one Andropov had tapped -- Mikhail Gorbachev. In the end, Gorbachev wound up taking over, anyway, simply because too many people who were old enough to have participated in anything in 1917 were dead or dying. Yeah, I know. It's hard to keep all those Slavic names straight. I can only do it because I speak Russian, and the Slavic roots of "Chernomyrdin" give it a very strange translation into English: "The guy with the black animal snout."

@user-yj3pq1er5f

Жыл бұрын

When he is trying to name Ukranian and Russian toponims it is even more hilarious) ffs, write it on a piece of paper, it is not so hard)

@carlgarrett5142

10 ай бұрын

I was going to comment that it was Chernenko but you beat me to it. I was in high school at the time and we thought it was kind of funny how the Soviet leaders kept dying so fast after getting the job.

Brilliant informed appraisal.

THANK YOU SIR. an amazing verbal dissertation from a civilian viewpoint. The bigger picture is still very bleak for ordinary Russians and Ukranians.

Amazing how informed you are. Thank you for the great work

@sergeant64

Жыл бұрын

Demographics are not as significant for Russia as they are for China. China has an assembly industry that requires a large workforce, while Russia’s focus is on its gas/oil/mines industry, where the number of operational pipelines is of more importance. Neither Russia nor Ukraine is the weak point; it’s Germany. Without gas, Germany and thereby EU would go down on its knees. The Germans pays all the bills, that will stop.

@shostako1284

Жыл бұрын

The pathetism of all the wishful thinking, hilarious "facts" about Russia, the wrong deductions, and true desperation showed in this video is amazing, even by Zeihan. Truly amazing, Keep up the good psychosis, man!

@youarewrong5523

Жыл бұрын

@@sergeant64I would argue demographics are just as important to Russia if not the most important thing solely based on racial hierarchy, I mean do you really think Muscovites consider Buryatians as equal? As even Russian? If the Russian ethnicity is failing while being overpopulated by the Turks, Russia won’t exist as Russia anymore, major staple resource exporter or not. You could subscribe yourself to Russian world ideaology, but the truth is you’ll never be an equal Russian, not like how an a immigrant can become an American anyways.

I would like nothing better to hike with Peter and ask his opinion on various geopolitical situations.

Peter! You are Brilliant! very knowledgeable! so nice to have trust in listening to your comment! keep up your excellent work! Thank You from South Africa Cape Town

Thanks, Pete.

Outstanding analysis as usual. My daily dose of geopolitics. It’s amazing how uninformed the typical citizen is and most aren’t interested in learning what’s going on in the world. Thanks for educating those of us who are interested.

@zendochip

Жыл бұрын

You may or may not know what a typical uninformed citizen looks like. I am an 80 year old female citizen who paid little attention to world politics till the Pandemic. But I'm awake now & have been following Peter for 6 months & I'm not the only one. Be circumspect of who you judge as uninformed.

@chrishooge3442

Жыл бұрын

He has a way of piecing together a myriad of facts to make a cohesive narrative. There are things like the Chinese One Child Policy and Europe's low birth rate that I knew about. But I never realized the economic and societal decline that would result. Climate change and now food shortages due to the Russ-Ukraine war are going to cause instability and mass migrations out of Africa just as the US is seeing out of Central America.

@cranmore2

Жыл бұрын

​@@zendochip if you're only listening to Peter, then you are not that informed. A couple suggestions would be to listen to Scott Horton, Col. Douglas MacGregor, Judge Andrew Napolitano to name a few.

@zendochip

Жыл бұрын

@@cranmore2 OK. Thanks I will.

@markdelbrooke-jones9947

Жыл бұрын

Are the people on this channel idiots....? Or is it just bots sounding off?

Love it when uncle Pete teaches us what’s what in the world of geopolitics 🙏🏽

@sambraun1918

Жыл бұрын

Uncle Peter says even though world may fall apart, America will be safe. I really wish Uncle Ted was here with us today give us daily KZread reminders as a security systems analyst. 😅

@M88881

Жыл бұрын

😂😂😂😂😂

@fuzzyspackage

Жыл бұрын

🫶

That was really good, thank you.

Peter is giving us the beauty of nature and lots of info. Amazing.

@sadjaxx

Жыл бұрын

Is he training for a marathon?!

Ouch..."the death rate doubled and the birth rate halved" that one will be hard to overcome.

Well done

So glad i found this channel I love geopolitics because local Northern Ireland politics is so dull such is tribal politics

Brilliant Analysis!!!! Thank You!!!!

10:32 Any source on Navalny being okay with continuing the war? Pretty sure his most recent post earlier this year was about Russia's and Ukraine's borders going back to the way they were internationally recognized post-USSR in 1991, and that fighting war over them is senseless.

@BlueHawkPictures17

Жыл бұрын

No source, he made it up... ☹

@hivezphone

Ай бұрын

​@@BlueHawkPictures17more likely just confused him with Girkin or misinterpreted Crimea controversy story. However Zeihan never attempted to correct himself on this one and that casts doubts on his other ideas

Excellent analysis.

Most insightful video on the subject I've seen.

Thought provoking and insightful analysis. Thank you!

Chernenko, not Chernomyrdin. Tha latter was a former Russian PM. Gorbachev was - as far as I know - never in the KGB, he went to law school and later worked a lot with agricultural issues. But, yes, he enjoyed the patronage and protection of KGB boss Andropov.

@jimluebke3869

Жыл бұрын

Wasn't Gorbachev basically the ultimate Russian Boy Scout, a symbol of belief in the whole idealized Soviet system?

@janhanchenmichelsen2627

Жыл бұрын

@@jimluebke3869 Yes, but his family was a victim of Stalin‘s despotism. He never forgot this. And later, as a trusted Communist Boy Scout, Gorbachev was allowed to travel abroad. This, combined with other factors gradually turned him into a reformist.

3:18 * Chernenko came after Andropov and preceded Gorby.

Respect to Host

I appreciate this analysis. It bit down to the bone and was to the point. Either Russia and Putin are in this to the death, or Russia and Putin are in their death throws. Thank you for this video. I appreciate the realism.

@gaoxiaen1

Жыл бұрын

*throes Putin and his few confidants are in their death throes!

@thomasherrin6798

Жыл бұрын

Putin is a thug and thugged his way to top position in Russia, but his big mistake in declaring war is he has come into confrontation with people who can outsmart him (...and his regime) and he is generally coming second in all facets of this war!?!

@bonjovi2757

Жыл бұрын

Either way it looks like the end of the Russian system for the next several decades. Imagine you are having a fight with a man in a speeding car. He has a gun to your head but you are driving, towards a cliff into the rocky ocean. He will kill you if you stop the car, (the only way he can live) but you know you will die if he wins. so you drive closer to the cliff hoping for a few more seconds of life. The outcome is the same either way.

@chm97chm97

Жыл бұрын

Putin is in it to the end and he will take everything with him if given an inch of a chance. IMO, Russia survives and outlasts the Ukraine and the West and will eventually set sights somewhere else, most likely Middle East.

@cathjj840

Жыл бұрын

@Dictator Deirdre And Ukraine might not be much better off and in the throes of Blackrock

Re: Young Russian men fleeing the country to avoid the draft...I was in Phuket a couple of months ago. All of them are there. Every last rude, & obnoxious one of them. There are actual news reports of a huge spike of them involved in scooter accidents/voilence/drunk & disorderly stuff. Great. It seems like there were 5 Russians for every tourist from somewhere else there.

@Steelrat1994

Жыл бұрын

The funny thing is, unless you ask them specifically if they are Russian, you can easily confuse them with Ukranians. Which have been reported to be just as obnoxious.

@MsKareyDivine

Жыл бұрын

True, but the 3 Aeroflot passenger jets I saw parked at gates when I landed didn't likely carry any Ukranian folks on them. Besides, the news outlets cite reports from the Thai tourist police that specifically mention Russian nationals.

@asterixdogmatix1073

Жыл бұрын

To be fair, plenty of drunk obnoxious English in Phuket, drunk obnoxious Kiwis on the Gold Coast and drunk obnoxious Aussies in Bali all year around. It goes with the territory.

@em945

Жыл бұрын

Bali too, apparently.

His presentations are fantastic!

Thanks for the video. Demography seems to be an extremely important factor globally.

Question: How come Russian military planning doesn't take corruption into account? They all seem surprised when their equipment doesn't perform as advertised or when they find out that equipment maintainance has been seriously neglected. Surely they must be aware of their own corruption?

@DrinkyMcBeer

Жыл бұрын

I know its a long video, but this one does a great job going in depth about russian corruption and its effects. Im pretty sure it also covers your question. kzread.info/dash/bejne/m22dlpmsl8yThpc.html

@Steelrat1994

Жыл бұрын

You tell your lie for long enough, you start believing it.

@DrinkyMcBeer

Жыл бұрын

@@Steelrat1994 its not even just that. Corruption isnt public information. You dont know, until you start issuing orders, which tanks have theyre wires intact, which ones have fuel in their reserve tanks, and which units have what gear. Everyone at every level is lying, so how can you actually "plan" for anything when you have no baseline truths to rely upon. They are all fully aware its happening, yet no one knows exactly to what extent.

@JustBill82

Жыл бұрын

Because the planners are corrupt. Perun (YT) covers it in depth

@asterixdogmatix1073

Жыл бұрын

As above, Perun has a good 1 hour presentation on the corruption.

It was Konstatin Chernenko after Andropov, not the guy Zeihan said. Minor error, but I've heard Zeihan make the same mistake a few times now. Accuracy should matter.

This one clarified a lot for me. Dak

You do all your best thinking when you're hiking. Just like me!

Good questions, and excellent insights. Thank you, Peter!!

"Paid the price for a major war without major gains." well said.

They need to not only see it but Feel It!

Very interesting.

Thank you for a cogent summarization of some of the history, the prevailing conditions and as logical an extrapolation as is possible under the circumstances. Sounds like a job description! Well done as always. Reminding self to never to go hiking with you. I'd be begging for a mountain bike in the first five minutes from a half mile behind you. At 6'4" you cover ground, mate. Cheers from Ottawa,

@thor9563

6 ай бұрын

V. Putine - XI's Number-run Gloopie!!!

Hey Peter, I just love your videos, could you cover Iran and USA nuclear deal? What happened when Obama was in the office and what has been changed by Trump and were we are now. Thank you!!!

@chijimmy1

Жыл бұрын

I’d like to know if you liked the deal? I wasn’t following you when that went down. I love your analysis it makes common sense to me.

@Whatsupwiththisname

Жыл бұрын

You don’t have to be Peter to see that it has failed. Iran has received technology from Russia in exchange of drones and now basically ready to start making nukes whenever they want. And also they don’t care about embargo’s and stuff as having powerful friends like China and Russia helps them to ignore screams of a weak US and non politically existing Europe.

It was Chernenko, not Chernomyrdin, in 1982. Chernomyrdin was in the 1990s, a prime minister

These video's are sort of like geo-political story time with uncle Peter :)

A lot of comments here assume Peter is a one-man show. He's not. He has a team behind him. He has major cred behind him too, including the U.S. military who has had him speak. This is what he does for a living. He gives advice to major international companies. For a fee. He's been doing this for around 20 years. So, we're getting a lot of this for free from someone who really has the expertise. When I first came across him, he was so contrary to my understanding of the world that I knew I'd love him or dismiss him as a crackpot. It's been over a year, and I do my own research when he says something I think he's wrong about. Except in areas where he riffs on something outside his expertise, he's always been right. I have a number of his books, and they're much more detailed than what he gives here. I personally have not regretted the purchase of any of them. Even if I disagree with an assessment - I certainly get an informed education out of it anyway. You do have to pay close attention to what he says, because he will give caveats on things he _thinks_ will happen but he's not totally sure about. _Nobody_ is right _all_ the time, including Peter. But if I were to grade him, I'd put him at around 95%. I'll go with those odds.

@PKVeteran

9 ай бұрын

I see him a the traditional analyst who receive a report and make a report on that report. If his report are false he will follows suit. Like the wmd in Iraq.