Anchoring Effect: Guessing How Many Jelly Beans Are In A Jar | Why Are We All So Stupid?
Anchoring effect is our tendency to rely too much on the first piece of information. Knowing about the anchoring effect may help you better negotiate a pay raise - here's what it is.
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#AnchoringEffect #CognitiveBehaviors
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Anchoring Effect: Guessing How Many Jelly Beans Are In A Jar | Why Are We All So Stupid?
Пікірлер: 250
That's gotta be at least twelve
@alexcruz4640
5 жыл бұрын
Taikamuna well you're not wrong
@liamsmith502
5 жыл бұрын
Alex Cruz but what if he is?
@jugador5801
5 жыл бұрын
Your every where
@piepachu2196
5 жыл бұрын
Nah man it's about 6
@thelittletoaste6520
4 жыл бұрын
@@piepachu2196 its probably 3.4555722
Are we all just gonna forgive that man for guessing 11000
@quin2910
5 жыл бұрын
Tbh I thought around there as well. Especially after they talked about anchoring. I assumed they would anchor really low and then get funny reactions when there guess is tiny compared to the real amount
@benjaminr8961
5 жыл бұрын
No
@mayawright
5 жыл бұрын
I thought the answer was 301
@1HiddenSecret
5 жыл бұрын
I reckoned 10,000... so I am also guilty....
@marquisofsloth9867
3 жыл бұрын
Yes
Just pour all the beans out and say zero
@raheelsyed9942
5 жыл бұрын
Fury Qwerty lol
@NoSlaying
5 жыл бұрын
*Harvard want to know your location*
@jeffersonsantiago5567
5 жыл бұрын
May I have your brain? Please...
@KanekiKenbloodluster
5 жыл бұрын
Phineas and ferb!
@BrainSupper
5 жыл бұрын
*HARVARD WANTS TO GIVE YOU A DOCTORAL DEGREE*
5:16 3,388 beans
@viktorberg986
5 жыл бұрын
Thx
@DragonDoge869
5 жыл бұрын
You are the true mvp
@IIAndersII
5 жыл бұрын
Aria I was guessing it to be 4000 😃
@Apolloneek
5 жыл бұрын
Lmao I just said 3000 random ass answer i came hella close
@benjaminr8961
5 жыл бұрын
I guesstimated 3250
As soon as i saw the jar i was like 700 then she said higher or lower 6000 So i said 2500..
- asks to guess the no of beans in the jar. - gives them an estimate they're sure to use for judgment. - guesses around the estimate - calls them stupid *What even*
@panie445
2 жыл бұрын
the reason they are "stupid" is they just guessed based on the estimate given instead of actually looking at the jar, like that one person who counted the top layer
this series is so fascinating! shame that not more people have stumbled across it!
"Heres the real offer!" I bet he got fooled right there lol.
1:08 she looks high AF 😂
@heftymagic4814
5 жыл бұрын
And some how thats comedy
There are 3000 ish. Interesting series..
I was 55 off. I took a rough estimate of the jelly beans dimensions and made a rectangular prism out of them. 17*14*14 and then I added 1 for fun to make it 3333. I suppose that's an educated guess since I'm using more information than I was initially given.
*Mike & Ikes are the best*
@vice88
5 жыл бұрын
_Bob McCoy I mean, you aren’t wrong.
@amroy1629
5 жыл бұрын
Love the limitless refrence!
@katzomatzo7448
5 жыл бұрын
_Bob McCoy mercy main btw
Anyone remember Phineas and Ferb?
@mtcabral2
5 жыл бұрын
Blue Blazer I love them
@mikecox3543
5 жыл бұрын
What there sisters name?
@rahulabraham1098
5 жыл бұрын
No mate I forgot my childhood
@PingingVoid
5 жыл бұрын
@@joshmansfield5330 nice
@peppapinaj1969
5 жыл бұрын
cigar ka potta I hate that show
What i really wanted to know was how many jelly beans were there in the jar and now im satisfied.
This series is good.
so cant we tell Anchoring is kind of Assumtion or assume mean.what is the importance of Anchoring??
pretty impressive a lot of people actually got very close to the real number!
Rather than counting I would estimate by weight, if each bean weights between .5 and 1 gram you could have between 100-200 beans per 100 grams. Next step is to estimate the weight of bowl which according to result is around 3-4kg.
Really interesting !
The name of this series should be thinking fast and slow: a summary
I said 3,136 i was pretty close😂
Had this challenge in my college, I used math and won 😃🤪
Guessed 4.5 at first, figured it was a bit high and adjusted it to 3500.
@bunnies9335
3 жыл бұрын
Lmao for a sec I thought that instead of 4.5k, you thought it was 4.5 exactly
roughly a sphere. radius is 9 jellybeans. 4/3pi(r^3) is 3055. not bad.
George of the Jungle was a real cartoon and we cant just let that go
I guessed 3200! Mostly because I just won a guessing jar today which was half the size of that jar and it was filled with gumballs about twice the size of those jelly beans.
good series
I think the word stupid, triggers the.... Aah! Feeling to comment the number 😁😁
2:17 that, ladies and gentlemen, is what we in statistics call an OUTLIER.
You just assumed we are stupid in the title? Anchoring!
Calculate the volume and adjust down to account for space between the contents. My guess was 4,051 when accounting for about 80% filled. When changing answer to 75%, which I usually do, the answer I got was 3,404.
I thought 6000 sounded so outrageously high that it didn't influence me at all but if I had heard 1500 first it probably would've influenced me especially because I thought there were less than 1500
Between 300-500, definitely !
@RandomGuy-nm6bm
5 жыл бұрын
I've got bad news
@RobinVesper
5 жыл бұрын
@@RandomGuy-nm6bm Shit !
@nihalperera9011
5 жыл бұрын
Why is your pic the discord official raiders pic
@RobinVesper
5 жыл бұрын
@@nihalperera9011 I had this pic long before discord even existed, somewhere since 2013
@KyleTokes
5 жыл бұрын
Lol insaid 367
That's a whole lot of beans
This guy does not break eye contact😳😳😳
I am hurgry now 😥
Or you can use your phones screen as a baseline measurement and get an estimate of the volume of the part of the jar that is full than get an estimate of the volume of a gelly been and do some math and than you can at least have a guess that will be in the ball park of the actual number.
Oh god I don’t know but I felt creep out when that guy only blinks twice when he continued talking for like 2 mins.
I could be told nearly any number and I’d believe it
“OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!” (I eat all the jelly beans and put the jar back in it’s place) THERE! ZERO!
I'm combing 2 other top comments. Say "That's gotta be at least twelve", then pour all the beans out and say zero
I guessed 3000 by estimating how much were in each 'layer'. I was quite close!
ayeeee I guessed 3500 since I counted around 10 jelly beans from the side to center of the container. 4/3pir^3 is the equation of a sphere so you get 1000*pi*4/3 which is around 3000*4/3 which is around 4000. But it’s not a sphere, it’s a lot less than a sphere so I said around 3500
I am loving this series
I had 3150 , by counting the layer in the open area (90) , and trying to count how often this could be applied(35) and got 3150 x) .
@XD226
2 ай бұрын
Counted it again this time the whole top layer had 190 and counted the layers 18 and got 3420 this time
I was literally over by 90 jelly beans. My guess was 3478. Thats a 97.5% accuracy rating
I saw this guy on Ted Talk.
Elventeen
Way more than I thought
My guess was 3257... Well that was close.
"Why are we so stupid?" Triggered.
I actually guessed 1250 at the beginning of the video and I didn't know what anchoring was
he doesn’t blink
I guessed 3456 cause y not
831?
Buford: “OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!” *Eats* *All* *Jellybeans* Buford: “There Zero!”
@noisy99_
3 жыл бұрын
Me: "There Diabetes!"
I guessed around 300... so the anchor thing didn’t change my mind
I'm guessing 8,954 jelly beans.
I guessed 700 oh whoops 😐
@Christoff070
5 жыл бұрын
Hahah me too
1430 I guessed before I knew
I said over 6000 then said that there’s probably 2500 jellybeans, am I stupid?
I woulda been so mad if they didnt say how many jellybeans there were
I guessed 3400, I can't believe I got that close..
Missed it by 12 beans
wait, i thought they will teach us how to count it or solve it. :/
My answer would be I don’t know. Because I might accidentally making a wrong decision.
The real stupid person is the one who counted each jelly bean😂😂💀
2:02 I'm 1650 btw
1056 did this before the video “i am way off”
lol i said 15x15x15 by counting height length and depth, to get M^3. got 3375. soooo close
What if the number was exactly 6000 jellybeans so no matter what answer they chose, it would be wrong.
Just take the guesses from a 100 people (discarding extreme values) and calculate the average. That will be very close to the real value.
12,684 is guesstimate
3,388 beans saved you 5 minutes
Must not be a fan of jelly beans, I guessed 320.
Based on the dimensions, i think that there are about 7200.
@thefifthhour45
5 жыл бұрын
Wow, way off that one
4,675 is my guess
We can calculate the estimate.... Volume of 1 jelly bean by volume of the jar
@ghoti41628
5 жыл бұрын
That works. You should also account for how densely jelly beans pack given their odd shape, for example if they were perfect spheres you would expect them to occupy about 74% of the total volume of the container. A google search reveals that the packing factor for jelly beans is between 0.7 and 0.715. So now all you need to do is to measure the dimensions of the container.
Use random forest regression to solve this problem 😎
Well I was close regardless
Just wen I'm helping out I do it because I want to not because I have to and do care
I got 3,600, close enough
guessed 2600 not bad
3,300 beans I was close
2000?
1500
I guess 3200
I guessed 3457, so close...
Hmm, what they speak is the truth, however I never want to trust a guy that leases a car.
I'm gonna buy that much jellbean and try to put it in the exact container. If it doesn't fit all to the exact level. I will sue yiu over giving false information without consent
@ohno-cz6jb
5 жыл бұрын
AriVovp first, learn how to spell.
@AriVovp
5 жыл бұрын
i don't need to, as long as people understand the meaning of it. who give a thing about correct spelling? only when drafting a contract ,baby.
@tenderquasar3789
Жыл бұрын
jellybean* you*
Look I just want to know how many jelly beans there are
@wenxinball27
5 жыл бұрын
5:16
600 - 800
I guessed 200 I was not even close
NO WAY...I guessed 3,500 🤟😌🤟
3500
3398 my guess
❤
Eat all of the jellybeans and then it’ll be zero
850
1000 Jelly beans