Anchoring Effect: Guessing How Many Jelly Beans Are In A Jar | Why Are We All So Stupid?

Anchoring effect is our tendency to rely too much on the first piece of information. Knowing about the anchoring effect may help you better negotiate a pay raise - here's what it is.
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#AnchoringEffect #CognitiveBehaviors
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Anchoring Effect: Guessing How Many Jelly Beans Are In A Jar | Why Are We All So Stupid?

Пікірлер: 250

  • @Taikamuna
    @Taikamuna5 жыл бұрын

    That's gotta be at least twelve

  • @alexcruz4640

    @alexcruz4640

    5 жыл бұрын

    Taikamuna well you're not wrong

  • @liamsmith502

    @liamsmith502

    5 жыл бұрын

    Alex Cruz but what if he is?

  • @jugador5801

    @jugador5801

    5 жыл бұрын

    Your every where

  • @piepachu2196

    @piepachu2196

    5 жыл бұрын

    Nah man it's about 6

  • @thelittletoaste6520

    @thelittletoaste6520

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@piepachu2196 its probably 3.4555722

  • @thatguy7091
    @thatguy70915 жыл бұрын

    Are we all just gonna forgive that man for guessing 11000

  • @quin2910

    @quin2910

    5 жыл бұрын

    Tbh I thought around there as well. Especially after they talked about anchoring. I assumed they would anchor really low and then get funny reactions when there guess is tiny compared to the real amount

  • @benjaminr8961

    @benjaminr8961

    5 жыл бұрын

    No

  • @mayawright

    @mayawright

    5 жыл бұрын

    I thought the answer was 301

  • @1HiddenSecret

    @1HiddenSecret

    5 жыл бұрын

    I reckoned 10,000... so I am also guilty....

  • @marquisofsloth9867

    @marquisofsloth9867

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yes

  • @FuryQwerty
    @FuryQwerty5 жыл бұрын

    Just pour all the beans out and say zero

  • @raheelsyed9942

    @raheelsyed9942

    5 жыл бұрын

    Fury Qwerty lol

  • @NoSlaying

    @NoSlaying

    5 жыл бұрын

    *Harvard want to know your location*

  • @jeffersonsantiago5567

    @jeffersonsantiago5567

    5 жыл бұрын

    May I have your brain? Please...

  • @KanekiKenbloodluster

    @KanekiKenbloodluster

    5 жыл бұрын

    Phineas and ferb!

  • @BrainSupper

    @BrainSupper

    5 жыл бұрын

    *HARVARD WANTS TO GIVE YOU A DOCTORAL DEGREE*

  • @Wagmiman
    @Wagmiman5 жыл бұрын

    5:16 3,388 beans

  • @viktorberg986

    @viktorberg986

    5 жыл бұрын

    Thx

  • @DragonDoge869

    @DragonDoge869

    5 жыл бұрын

    You are the true mvp

  • @IIAndersII

    @IIAndersII

    5 жыл бұрын

    Aria I was guessing it to be 4000 😃

  • @Apolloneek

    @Apolloneek

    5 жыл бұрын

    Lmao I just said 3000 random ass answer i came hella close

  • @benjaminr8961

    @benjaminr8961

    5 жыл бұрын

    I guesstimated 3250

  • @jthb
    @jthb5 жыл бұрын

    As soon as i saw the jar i was like 700 then she said higher or lower 6000 So i said 2500..

  • @FN-yf3ub
    @FN-yf3ub5 жыл бұрын

    - asks to guess the no of beans in the jar. - gives them an estimate they're sure to use for judgment. - guesses around the estimate - calls them stupid *What even*

  • @panie445

    @panie445

    2 жыл бұрын

    the reason they are "stupid" is they just guessed based on the estimate given instead of actually looking at the jar, like that one person who counted the top layer

  • @tillycomedy2194
    @tillycomedy21942 жыл бұрын

    this series is so fascinating! shame that not more people have stumbled across it!

  • @alanzhu2862
    @alanzhu28625 жыл бұрын

    "Heres the real offer!" I bet he got fooled right there lol.

  • @samhumphries751
    @samhumphries7515 жыл бұрын

    1:08 she looks high AF 😂

  • @heftymagic4814

    @heftymagic4814

    5 жыл бұрын

    And some how thats comedy

  • @joyjoyoo
    @joyjoyoo5 жыл бұрын

    There are 3000 ish. Interesting series..

  • @RoryMacallister
    @RoryMacallister5 жыл бұрын

    I was 55 off. I took a rough estimate of the jelly beans dimensions and made a rectangular prism out of them. 17*14*14 and then I added 1 for fun to make it 3333. I suppose that's an educated guess since I'm using more information than I was initially given.

  • @BobMcCoy
    @BobMcCoy5 жыл бұрын

    *Mike & Ikes are the best*

  • @vice88

    @vice88

    5 жыл бұрын

    _Bob McCoy I mean, you aren’t wrong.

  • @amroy1629

    @amroy1629

    5 жыл бұрын

    Love the limitless refrence!

  • @katzomatzo7448

    @katzomatzo7448

    5 жыл бұрын

    _Bob McCoy mercy main btw

  • @RamLal-nq2jh
    @RamLal-nq2jh5 жыл бұрын

    Anyone remember Phineas and Ferb?

  • @mtcabral2

    @mtcabral2

    5 жыл бұрын

    Blue Blazer I love them

  • @mikecox3543

    @mikecox3543

    5 жыл бұрын

    What there sisters name?

  • @rahulabraham1098

    @rahulabraham1098

    5 жыл бұрын

    No mate I forgot my childhood

  • @PingingVoid

    @PingingVoid

    5 жыл бұрын

    @@joshmansfield5330 nice

  • @peppapinaj1969

    @peppapinaj1969

    5 жыл бұрын

    cigar ka potta I hate that show

  • @BeJolly3
    @BeJolly35 жыл бұрын

    What i really wanted to know was how many jelly beans were there in the jar and now im satisfied.

  • @Spacemonkeymojo
    @Spacemonkeymojo5 жыл бұрын

    This series is good.

  • @ahsanulislamtapadar6876
    @ahsanulislamtapadar68764 жыл бұрын

    so cant we tell Anchoring is kind of Assumtion or assume mean.what is the importance of Anchoring??

  • @feltonw
    @feltonw5 жыл бұрын

    pretty impressive a lot of people actually got very close to the real number!

  • @javiervalenciagoujon5888
    @javiervalenciagoujon58885 жыл бұрын

    Rather than counting I would estimate by weight, if each bean weights between .5 and 1 gram you could have between 100-200 beans per 100 grams. Next step is to estimate the weight of bowl which according to result is around 3-4kg.

  • @varunjain7895
    @varunjain78955 жыл бұрын

    Really interesting !

  • @joshuajoshua46
    @joshuajoshua465 жыл бұрын

    The name of this series should be thinking fast and slow: a summary

  • @loganking5860
    @loganking58605 жыл бұрын

    I said 3,136 i was pretty close😂

  • @HellBoy8896
    @HellBoy88965 жыл бұрын

    Had this challenge in my college, I used math and won 😃🤪

  • @user-jd9sj1mq2b
    @user-jd9sj1mq2b3 жыл бұрын

    Guessed 4.5 at first, figured it was a bit high and adjusted it to 3500.

  • @bunnies9335

    @bunnies9335

    3 жыл бұрын

    Lmao for a sec I thought that instead of 4.5k, you thought it was 4.5 exactly

  • @shawnkarasevicz5308
    @shawnkarasevicz53085 жыл бұрын

    roughly a sphere. radius is 9 jellybeans. 4/3pi(r^3) is 3055. not bad.

  • @ItsChurchieYall
    @ItsChurchieYall5 жыл бұрын

    George of the Jungle was a real cartoon and we cant just let that go

  • @217nomiga
    @217nomiga5 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 3200! Mostly because I just won a guessing jar today which was half the size of that jar and it was filled with gumballs about twice the size of those jelly beans.

  • @mikeydaone
    @mikeydaone5 жыл бұрын

    good series

  • @zahrao1266
    @zahrao12665 жыл бұрын

    I think the word stupid, triggers the.... Aah! Feeling to comment the number 😁😁

  • @ozzyfromspace
    @ozzyfromspace5 жыл бұрын

    2:17 that, ladies and gentlemen, is what we in statistics call an OUTLIER.

  • @zo9608
    @zo96083 жыл бұрын

    You just assumed we are stupid in the title? Anchoring!

  • @StephenBolger
    @StephenBolger7 ай бұрын

    Calculate the volume and adjust down to account for space between the contents. My guess was 4,051 when accounting for about 80% filled. When changing answer to 75%, which I usually do, the answer I got was 3,404.

  • @grgfrg7
    @grgfrg75 жыл бұрын

    I thought 6000 sounded so outrageously high that it didn't influence me at all but if I had heard 1500 first it probably would've influenced me especially because I thought there were less than 1500

  • @RobinVesper
    @RobinVesper5 жыл бұрын

    Between 300-500, definitely !

  • @RandomGuy-nm6bm

    @RandomGuy-nm6bm

    5 жыл бұрын

    I've got bad news

  • @RobinVesper

    @RobinVesper

    5 жыл бұрын

    @@RandomGuy-nm6bm Shit !

  • @nihalperera9011

    @nihalperera9011

    5 жыл бұрын

    Why is your pic the discord official raiders pic

  • @RobinVesper

    @RobinVesper

    5 жыл бұрын

    @@nihalperera9011 I had this pic long before discord even existed, somewhere since 2013

  • @KyleTokes

    @KyleTokes

    5 жыл бұрын

    Lol insaid 367

  • @BiggestRedditor
    @BiggestRedditor5 жыл бұрын

    That's a whole lot of beans

  • @ellobobeats6324
    @ellobobeats63244 жыл бұрын

    This guy does not break eye contact😳😳😳

  • @KnightSlasher
    @KnightSlasher5 жыл бұрын

    I am hurgry now 😥

  • @THEGAMINGHELP101
    @THEGAMINGHELP1015 жыл бұрын

    Or you can use your phones screen as a baseline measurement and get an estimate of the volume of the part of the jar that is full than get an estimate of the volume of a gelly been and do some math and than you can at least have a guess that will be in the ball park of the actual number.

  • @smashingdaddysbrokentoys4647
    @smashingdaddysbrokentoys46475 жыл бұрын

    Oh god I don’t know but I felt creep out when that guy only blinks twice when he continued talking for like 2 mins.

  • @christinala8763
    @christinala87635 жыл бұрын

    I could be told nearly any number and I’d believe it

  • @ToopyAndBinooRulesEst2004
    @ToopyAndBinooRulesEst2004 Жыл бұрын

    “OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!” (I eat all the jelly beans and put the jar back in it’s place) THERE! ZERO!

  • @Levelonesucks
    @Levelonesucks5 жыл бұрын

    I'm combing 2 other top comments. Say "That's gotta be at least twelve", then pour all the beans out and say zero

  • @ultimatejoshua1082
    @ultimatejoshua10825 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 3000 by estimating how much were in each 'layer'. I was quite close!

  • @notjin2109
    @notjin21095 жыл бұрын

    ayeeee I guessed 3500 since I counted around 10 jelly beans from the side to center of the container. 4/3pir^3 is the equation of a sphere so you get 1000*pi*4/3 which is around 3000*4/3 which is around 4000. But it’s not a sphere, it’s a lot less than a sphere so I said around 3500

  • @panikAtCyprus
    @panikAtCyprus5 жыл бұрын

    I am loving this series

  • @XD226
    @XD2262 ай бұрын

    I had 3150 , by counting the layer in the open area (90) , and trying to count how often this could be applied(35) and got 3150 x) .

  • @XD226

    @XD226

    2 ай бұрын

    Counted it again this time the whole top layer had 190 and counted the layers 18 and got 3420 this time

  • @ethanestalilla8023
    @ethanestalilla80235 жыл бұрын

    I was literally over by 90 jelly beans. My guess was 3478. Thats a 97.5% accuracy rating

  • @028TuvaluanHero
    @028TuvaluanHero5 жыл бұрын

    I saw this guy on Ted Talk.

  • @arielpacheco7210
    @arielpacheco72105 жыл бұрын

    Elventeen

  • @Keivz
    @Keivz5 жыл бұрын

    Way more than I thought

  • @Marnige
    @Marnige4 жыл бұрын

    My guess was 3257... Well that was close.

  • @sebbyh9764
    @sebbyh97645 жыл бұрын

    "Why are we so stupid?" Triggered.

  • @xephyr69420
    @xephyr694205 жыл бұрын

    I actually guessed 1250 at the beginning of the video and I didn't know what anchoring was

  • @Nicekittty
    @Nicekittty5 жыл бұрын

    he doesn’t blink

  • @reidhubbard9479
    @reidhubbard94795 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 3456 cause y not

  • @sophiayun7913
    @sophiayun79135 жыл бұрын

    831?

  • @kidsIIIII009
    @kidsIIIII0093 жыл бұрын

    Buford: “OH FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!” *Eats* *All* *Jellybeans* Buford: “There Zero!”

  • @noisy99_

    @noisy99_

    3 жыл бұрын

    Me: "There Diabetes!"

  • @lakhan911
    @lakhan9115 жыл бұрын

    I guessed around 300... so the anchor thing didn’t change my mind

  • @cfoples
    @cfoples5 жыл бұрын

    I'm guessing 8,954 jelly beans.

  • @yodoodler5951
    @yodoodler59515 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 700 oh whoops 😐

  • @Christoff070

    @Christoff070

    5 жыл бұрын

    Hahah me too

  • @ztechnology4334
    @ztechnology43345 жыл бұрын

    1430 I guessed before I knew

  • @trover1922
    @trover19225 жыл бұрын

    I said over 6000 then said that there’s probably 2500 jellybeans, am I stupid?

  • @bethm3152
    @bethm31525 жыл бұрын

    I woulda been so mad if they didnt say how many jellybeans there were

  • @modernkennnern
    @modernkennnern5 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 3400, I can't believe I got that close..

  • @alexisgomezsalinas3560
    @alexisgomezsalinas35605 жыл бұрын

    Missed it by 12 beans

  • @nisak8911
    @nisak89112 жыл бұрын

    wait, i thought they will teach us how to count it or solve it. :/

  • @journeydomnar
    @journeydomnar5 жыл бұрын

    My answer would be I don’t know. Because I might accidentally making a wrong decision.

  • @loganmartel4233
    @loganmartel42335 жыл бұрын

    The real stupid person is the one who counted each jelly bean😂😂💀

  • @harendrasingh_22
    @harendrasingh_225 жыл бұрын

    2:02 I'm 1650 btw

  • @Wil-sk2yi
    @Wil-sk2yi5 жыл бұрын

    1056 did this before the video “i am way off”

  • @MegaSuuuperman
    @MegaSuuuperman5 жыл бұрын

    lol i said 15x15x15 by counting height length and depth, to get M^3. got 3375. soooo close

  • @gohzhongsian6995
    @gohzhongsian69955 жыл бұрын

    What if the number was exactly 6000 jellybeans so no matter what answer they chose, it would be wrong.

  • @SnoopyDoofie
    @SnoopyDoofie7 ай бұрын

    Just take the guesses from a 100 people (discarding extreme values) and calculate the average. That will be very close to the real value.

  • @Mirsab
    @Mirsab5 жыл бұрын

    12,684 is guesstimate

  • @CubeKun
    @CubeKun5 жыл бұрын

    3,388 beans saved you 5 minutes

  • @bngr_bngr
    @bngr_bngr5 жыл бұрын

    Must not be a fan of jelly beans, I guessed 320.

  • @thefifthhour45
    @thefifthhour455 жыл бұрын

    Based on the dimensions, i think that there are about 7200.

  • @thefifthhour45

    @thefifthhour45

    5 жыл бұрын

    Wow, way off that one

  • @lilliandowe1525
    @lilliandowe15255 жыл бұрын

    4,675 is my guess

  • @bkshr1172
    @bkshr11725 жыл бұрын

    We can calculate the estimate.... Volume of 1 jelly bean by volume of the jar

  • @ghoti41628

    @ghoti41628

    5 жыл бұрын

    That works. You should also account for how densely jelly beans pack given their odd shape, for example if they were perfect spheres you would expect them to occupy about 74% of the total volume of the container. A google search reveals that the packing factor for jelly beans is between 0.7 and 0.715. So now all you need to do is to measure the dimensions of the container.

  • @rapgod9409
    @rapgod94095 жыл бұрын

    Use random forest regression to solve this problem 😎

  • @garrett21
    @garrett215 жыл бұрын

    Well I was close regardless

  • @kevinbaileyjr9433
    @kevinbaileyjr9433 Жыл бұрын

    Just wen I'm helping out I do it because I want to not because I have to and do care

  • @samuelsofa
    @samuelsofa5 жыл бұрын

    I got 3,600, close enough

  • @brooksy3069
    @brooksy30695 жыл бұрын

    guessed 2600 not bad

  • @vacationboyvideos
    @vacationboyvideos5 жыл бұрын

    3,300 beans I was close

  • @mihaelkeehl354
    @mihaelkeehl3545 жыл бұрын

    2000?

  • @itaintme3698
    @itaintme36985 жыл бұрын

    1500

  • @The-DO
    @The-DO2 жыл бұрын

    I guess 3200

  • @mohammadmalik8157
    @mohammadmalik81575 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 3457, so close...

  • @szargos
    @szargos3 жыл бұрын

    Hmm, what they speak is the truth, however I never want to trust a guy that leases a car.

  • @AriVovp
    @AriVovp5 жыл бұрын

    I'm gonna buy that much jellbean and try to put it in the exact container. If it doesn't fit all to the exact level. I will sue yiu over giving false information without consent

  • @ohno-cz6jb

    @ohno-cz6jb

    5 жыл бұрын

    AriVovp first, learn how to spell.

  • @AriVovp

    @AriVovp

    5 жыл бұрын

    i don't need to, as long as people understand the meaning of it. who give a thing about correct spelling? only when drafting a contract ,baby.

  • @tenderquasar3789

    @tenderquasar3789

    Жыл бұрын

    jellybean* you*

  • @bamaboy9846
    @bamaboy98465 жыл бұрын

    Look I just want to know how many jelly beans there are

  • @wenxinball27

    @wenxinball27

    5 жыл бұрын

    5:16

  • @adslammer1359
    @adslammer13595 жыл бұрын

    600 - 800

  • @jordanclark9474
    @jordanclark94745 жыл бұрын

    I guessed 200 I was not even close

  • @santiagoalvillar7927
    @santiagoalvillar79275 жыл бұрын

    NO WAY...I guessed 3,500 🤟😌🤟

  • @Roshkin
    @Roshkin5 жыл бұрын

    3500

  • @wilsonsandidge5771
    @wilsonsandidge57715 жыл бұрын

    3398 my guess

  • @kevinbaileyjr9433
    @kevinbaileyjr9433 Жыл бұрын

  • @Whatachuck23
    @Whatachuck235 ай бұрын

    Eat all of the jellybeans and then it’ll be zero

  • @flaev4ch3k08
    @flaev4ch3k085 жыл бұрын

    850

  • @reneevanartsdalein4270
    @reneevanartsdalein42702 жыл бұрын

    1000 Jelly beans