Plot twist: Data entry clerks become the AI's boss because they control all the inputs to alignment training

If you're worried about A.I. replacing your job, then you could always come and drive a bus. My company never stops hiring!! You'll just need a CDL!

You're right about Translators for general conversations, but for things like movies, games, and show scripts-nope. I am not trusting my scripts' translations with an AI unless I have a human speaking that language fluently who can verify it.

@das_9677

2 ай бұрын

The thing about that is that there's always a difference between working out a translation yourself and verifying someone else's translation. A lot of nuance can get lost, so I'm not really a fan of this approach. But those are just my two cents as a hobby translator and proofreader

@Uncl3M3at

2 ай бұрын

My company has been trying to use DeepL to translate lifestyle magazine articles and it was simply a disaster, especially when translating to slovenian, croatian, greek, etc... Maybe it'll get better, but right now it feels like it's only a little better than a monkey on a typewriter. Verifying and correcting those bad translations was so much work and not worth it. The result, in the end, was way worst than human translation (as bad as that can be also)

@AZaqZaqProduction

2 ай бұрын

With anything like that you're not just a translator; you're also a writer. The translated version can't just be a 1:1 version of the original but in a different language; it has to be compelling prose that captures the same emotions as the original.

@degreeskelvin3025

2 ай бұрын

The thing is these systems are just going to get better. We went from nothing to pretty alright translations in like 20 years. In 50 years time, where could it be?

@Uncl3M3at

2 ай бұрын

@@degreeskelvin3025That would make it tier C at best (instead of tier A), which is much more realistic in my opinion.

10:20 One of the people at my university is writing their thesis on exactly this. They're training a model to be able to identify whether a skin condition is cancerous or not.

@Adaruan

2 ай бұрын

AI as support in diagnosis via image analysis has been in the works by tons of people for a long time. It's a great development to enable the system to raise red flags for people that would've never been looked at due to low indication or too much workload if it had to be done manually. It will be a viable step 0, before a human radiologist steps in, not a replacement.

@GreerViau

2 ай бұрын

I remember interviewing with a company developing AI pathology technology, and one statistic they quoted (not sure exactly how accurate it is) was that radiologists and pathologists are only about 60-80% accurate in their diagnosis'. This is probably the reason some people have experiences going to multiple doctors for tests and getting different results. Their system, they claimed was 97% accurate. I think AI to help augment radiologists and pathologists jobs is going to be essential and help save lives by early diagnosis. But I don't think they will replace the doctors entirely, you will always need a human to double check the results. The AI will help them see things they may have missed and it will be just another tool to improve medicine. Truthfully I think this is the case for all skilled labor jobs that people are freaking out over replacement. You will always need people to make the final call, AI will just help make us more efficient.

I think the biggest worry for the creative fields/jobs that are out there, it isn't that the AI tech that will come out could ever fully replace a human artist in terms of human experience and such. But it is more so the problem of greedy corporations and executives seeing it as a cost cutting measure

I don’t even know what a travel agent is

@LockedPuppy

2 ай бұрын

They are like a spy handler - they plan your travel mission for you and you pay them money for the mission planning. "And on day three there will be blue bus waiting for you. A guy named Miguel wearing a red vest and a blue umbrella will induct you into local history." Things like that. My mom _actually_ used a travel agent for her trip to cuba with a friend of hers. I didn't get it, but they basically do your research for you. Visas and, do you want to visit the US within 5 years after Cuba.

@infinitivez

2 ай бұрын

You're honestly better off 😂

@route2070

2 ай бұрын

They help you plan and book trips for you. So they will book flights, hotels, maybe rentals, but also maybe scuba experiences, tours, concerts/theaters, museums etc....... In effect they know how to research for travel and find good discounts.

@LabGecko

2 ай бұрын

and charge a premium for the service. Many of them have already been replaced by basically scripts, and the rest can be replaced by AI. However, personalized tour guides, who know the places people are likely to want to see, and can tailor a tour to the customers, is a long way off from being effectively replaced. It _could_ be automated, but doing that effectively is a massive undertaking. Look at Google Maps and how bad it is in some cities, or sections of cities. It has trouble getting me to my grocery store in Paris sometimes, no way they're finding the best market for escargot on a Thursday.

@caty863

2 ай бұрын

I worked for a non-profit where we used to organize big meetings attended by many international participants coming from many countries worldwide. It really can be a pain in the a**s to coordinate itinerary preparations, flight bookings, communication with participants, handling exceptions, addressing complaints, etc....for more than 200 people. That's when you need a travel agent. That was 10 years ago. maybe it has gotten easier today.

I'm surprised to see software engineer missing on the list. But that may just be due to the reason that everyone is very aware of the fact that you cannot trust an LLM with anything beyond a snake-game. Maybe in 10 years, we'll see. I like the format, btw!

@patroka

2 ай бұрын

Well, the thing about software engineers and AI is that you are always gonna need somebody who understands the goal in enough detail to instruct the AI on what to do - as well as to check / debug it when something goes wrong. Even if AI overtakes pretty much all coding, in theory it actually wouldn’t change the software engineering job all that much. It’d be more like obtaining a new tool that makes half of the job much easier and quicker, than a total replacement if the job.

@adfaklsdjf

2 ай бұрын

As a software engineer leveraging LLMs quite a bit now (Github Copilot, GPT-4, etc), I think it's definitely going to take over more and more of the actual coding work, but I think there will be a while where human engineers supervise the robots as @patroka said.. guiding them on what to do. There's a truly endless stuff we want to do, most of which never happens because there simply isn't the developer-time. When developer productivity goes up, businesses will just ask for more stuff to be done. I do think there will probably be a decline in software engineer jobs in the longer term, though.. 10+ years from now.

@LIONGOD

2 ай бұрын

watching Chat gpt try to make "snake 2" which is just adding stupid mods and features was pretty funny

@theglaucusblue

2 ай бұрын

@@LIONGOD Z crew member spotted in the wild?

@reyndor1583

2 ай бұрын

It's because his list is from 1980. ;)

As a fellow AI enthusiast I gotta say that while I agree with most of the order of your list, i think with the exponential growth that AI has been on for the past couple years that all these changes have a good chance of occuring within the next 10 years instead of in a generation. Great video as always tho bro!

You did a good job differentiating displacement from replacement. Most people get hung up on "Ai taking our jobs" when they're referring to some level of displacement when companies adopt new tools and techs. I'd probably add a, "replace fiver tier" for some really basic stuff people paid for that an Ai can just do.

Great video. I do believe you got HR wrong and it’s B-A tier - HR has nothing to do with “the human experience” at scale and everything with resource optimization / cost savings. HR functions in large companies are already suffering from layoffs and those departments will just get smaller and smaller as everything gets optimized. Stuff like calculating severances, determining bonuses based on work performance, tracking PTO, negotiating raises can be 95% automated if the company is large enough to have well-documented processes and rules. In the end you just need a few deecion-makers who actually sign the paperwork to make it legally binding, but producing pages and pages and pages of boilerplate legalese will not be done by human workers.

@bepamungkas

2 ай бұрын

The thing is, most HR dont work for megacorp. Majority of companies will have HR be either 2nd or 3rd overhead hire (first overhead hire generally are accountant) so even if there's AI who could fully replace human HR, most companies will still hire human. Not to mention that AI penetration into industry is actually helping HR's position. When AI replace low-retention works (think assembly line, QC, etc) what a company left with is high skilled workers who are more expensive to replace. This would "course correct" current HR practice who rely on hard set rules at the expense of retention rate.

The thing about stock photography is that at some point people will complain and say _”wheres the real people”_ people already don’t like supermodels in regular women clothes commercials and stock photography. Plus, a.i stock is not even cheaper. Digital books didn’t replace paper back. However, videographers might be at risk. Videos is 10x the effort as photos and videos you’ll can make one’s imagination come alive.

@Uncl3M3at

2 ай бұрын

The AI generated images have been a plague on stock websites, especially when they are not identified as such. You might end up buying some picture that looks cool, but when you get the hires version, you notice all the usual AI mistakes (bad hands, trees not connected to the ground, ugly texture and details, etc...)

@z-beeblebrox

2 ай бұрын

Big problem against replacing videographers is that 90% of them exist to document weddings, and it would be absolutely insane to replace that with AI generated video

I feel like we're currently in the 90 version of the internet. The hype will grow and grow, investments will be made for lofty goals and ideas rooted in sci-fi, the bubble will burst, and we'll get some weird new world compared to today. Though will it again take 20 years? I don't think so.

I'd say that a LLM won't replace the librarian, it'll replace the library.

Analysis is the part of identifying patterns and predicting next to take better decisions and position self better. With that said, @jabrils don't you think that stock market trading, market analysis or business analysis can be easily replaced.? AI is definitely allowing 1 person to do work of many in every field so that's some job losses.

@FlesHBoX

2 ай бұрын

Considering that there are already somewhat mature non-ai software solutions for this already, yeah, these two jobs are ripe to be taken over by AI, and all it's going to take is for a human who is good at them deciding they want to make billions, and building a team of nerds to make it happen.

@benjaminlynch9958

2 ай бұрын

As someone who works in that field, it’s both yes and no. Parts of the job can definitely be replaced by AI, but there are parts of the job that inherently can’t ever be replaced. For stock trading specifically, if your time horizon for a trade is very short (less than a day), AI has already replaced humans in many companies. Machines are faster than humans, and they spot patterns much quicker too (sub-millisecond speed). That’s trade execution. However for larger and longer held positions (think months and years), the buy/sell decision often comes down to factors not found in data, but rather a fundamental thesis of what the financials will be years in the future based on a company’s strategy. And the financial markets are discounting those possibilities in real time. To be successful in that environment requires two things: (1) an opinion on valuation that diverges from consensus, and (2) being right. And because all market participants have powerful computers, the consensus opinion these days is already being influenced by AI. So how the question arises - how is an AI agent going to beat a market consensus that is largely determined by other AI agents? This is where human judgement comes into play and the ability to see and reason beyond the pure numbers that are reflected in the data. Lastly, even for things such as business analysis, a lot of the forecasting that is done can be done by AI, but not everything. All the linear regression and statistical models are easily automated. But what’s not automated is putting ‘a story’ behind those numbers - the real world context - and figuring out ‘what next?’. A good example of this - Tesla’s growth. A lot of people are bullish on Tesla (and for good reason!) because of sales and margin trends. Based on the data, a lot of AI bots are projecting nothing but virtually unlimited growth. However real world analysts are looking at things not in the financial data and pumping the breaks on the company. They’re concerned with an increasingly limited supply of lithium for batteries (lithium can’t be made in a factory, it has to be dug up out of the ground, and there are limited stores in the earth’s crust). They’re also looking at what having a hundred million EV’s connected to the electrical grid will mean - a lot more power system failures and localized brown outs as the system is many places couldn’t cope with that kind of electric demand. You’re not going to get those insights from a stock trading bot because the data isn’t included in typical financial datasets, and because it requires logical reasoning across multiple domains.

The voice acting one is a big concern for me. I'm a huge fan of animated television, and i have enormous respect for the art of voice acting. But i know that one day, AI would be able to get those inflexions right, and sound believably human. And when that day comes, Disney and a bunch of animation studios, maybe even anime studios, are going to start using it. And the voice acting quality is going to dip to the same level as the writing on Netflix shows. AI could replace voice actors one day, but will never be able to do what they do. But I'm worried that studios won't realize that

@theproceedings4050

2 ай бұрын

Ideally, the voice actor would own the model of their voice and could be lended out to very large projects to fill in a lot of scripts and generate royalties for the artist without harming their voice from overuse and in a much faster way. Currently, I think RPG games would benefit the most from this.

@MaitlandJones

2 ай бұрын

For a convincing AI voice, a human still has to input to show the AI where each emotion is conveyed. I use AI voice models a lot. As someone with a voice for print, I have single handedly turned myself into a one man VA team.

@prashantsarkar821

2 ай бұрын

@@MaitlandJones wow, that's really cool! Yes, i know that right now, that's where the technology is at, and fortunately we still have a need for voice actors. I'm only just getting into the field of generative AI, only just got my bachelor's. But my concern is that in the future, this technology could certainly get better at figuring out where to put emphasis and emotion. And at that point, I'm worried about studios replacing voice actors entirely.

@symptomofsouls

2 ай бұрын

A lot of the new voice actors (at least the english VAs) suck right now. Although it would be a shame to lose the few who can actually act

9:25 Dude. Some of the previous no shots had me saying "ok, maybe not for a while". But this!? Stock trading is already 90% done by algorithms! 9:52 I was a photographer. I quit trying to make money at it. It was already tough to make a living with the crap Getty and other stock photo sites do, but with Dali etc? Photography is dead. Remember your ratings on drones? You can put whatever camera you want on a decent drone and say "go take this shot". 11:37 Sure, translate works for basics, but a lot of the time it will make you look ridiculous, or be completely unintelligible. I've been learning French, in France, for 5 years and the more I learn the more I see how terrible all the translators are at anything past "where is" or "I would like". 13:00 Voice actors are already being replaced by AI by Disney, etc. C tier at best. 14:15 Bad news, those airplane autopilots are also trained to fix most crisis situations, and getting better. They react faster than the pilots do.

Glad to see a level headed take on AI and its role in the market! Good marketing that they used the term AI for the scifi cred while dodging 'algorithms' and 'machine learning'

loved this format. fun watch

"i love AI like a Triple A studio loves to dissapoint" had me dead

bro became a demon with that "stay mad" cut

I think I'd pop customer service up a notch, only because I'm SEEING it being implemented and used. There's a certain percentage of calls being taken by AI's now, and replacing agents by reducing the number of incoming calls to humans. Many companies already treat agents as expendable, so they're not putting out the effort to place them into other positions. Everything else seems pretty spot on. I always thought when you fought back against this, you were talking about measured concerns. I wasn't aware you're replying to laymen. I'm just surprised is all.

I am currently trying to put together my own anime using AI voice models, for voice acting, I'd put it in A AND D tier. Sure, if we are talking AI TTS, yeah Jabrils would be on the money in his logic. But that's not the only means for using AI. I have a voice for print, but I can do a good job in conveying emotion in acting out characters. With a strong enough voice model with enough epochs, I can seamlessly sound like a different character. The question of copyright might come into play, since models are trained off people after all. Here's the wicked spooky part. I have made royalty free voices by combining preexisting models to make voices of people that never existed, and because they never existed, they can't sue me. Limitations: Now two things that don't translate well, breath, laughter, and crying, the AI might not be able to understand what you are doing. This could be fixed by including the character/actor making these sounds in the training data set and making sure to train for optimal epochs. But this might also be fixed by future advances in the technology, the technology is advancing at breakneck speeds. The fat lady is already singing in duet as Squidward belts out Boulevard of Broken Dreams. Where you might be in A tier: If you are a B list voice actor, you're screwed unless you can sign on with a big production/AAA because only the high production value companies might want to hire a live VA. Where you are in D tier: A-list/celebrities will have job security from legacy media, but in small productions you're voice is going to get plagiarized the hell out of. C-list and lower VA's/internet personalities could lease their own voice models through a subscription service where content creators can pay a monthly fee to access these models for their own projects without fear of copyright strike (because you know people are going to start copyrighting their voice prints.) You might find other models like White Bat audio's music service, that allows users to use their royalty free music so long as they are credited. The market is going to get saturated with every Tom, Dick, and Harry with a golden voice leasing their models. Something to be concerned about, Facebook COULD steal your voice data from private conversations to lease models for free. It might be a vital part of data security to obfuscate your voice in online communication through...you guessed it, AI. Two new professions that could result from this AI revolution: Emote Actors: Voice actors who provide the soul and emotional inflection for the AI to imitate. (Essentially what I'm doing.) This is likely to be the most lucrative job outside of being an A-list celebrity voice actor. Voice Mixers: Individuals who create bespoke custom voice models from mixing together pre-existing models/voice samples from two or more sources. These could be made by commission for a content creator wanting to have a voice that stands out, or the mixer themselves might lease these voices out in exchange for royalties. I have a feeling that the copyright banhammer might come down hard on AI voice models the same way it did over music. But far from replacing voice actors, AI will open up the market to more people to participate. Will this lower the cost of labor and make it hard to get lucrative, certainly, but the profession will continue to exist.

Something I think you're missing about many of the jobs in D-tier is that, sure, maybe AI won't replace the career outright, but it will almost definitely greatly increase the productivity of a single individual worker in the field. And when 1 person can do the work of what previously took 2 people, the supply of people looking for jobs will be greater than the demand for said jobs. So, unemployment in said career will increase to varying degrees, depending on how well the area of field can absorb an increase in productivity. Another thing is that although AI may never be able to do certain jobs 100% as well as a human expert, it will likely be able to do it maybe 70% as well, and 70% is very often "good enough" to get the job done. So, for example, if even only 30% of the time people who would have otherwise hired a human graphic designer decide to use AI instead, that's a 30% hit to the graphic designer job market, which is a massive decrease in jobs/salary.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

what youre talking about in the first half is Job Displacement, & yes AI is, & already has displaced a lot of jobs, but its what we should expect when ground breaking foundational technology is discovered; hell the smart phone displaced a lot of jobs

@ateammate223

2 ай бұрын

@@Jabrils sure, I just think there's a pretty reasonable chance that job displacement from AI will be bigger than any previous foundational technology. It seems quite likely to me that in the next decade top corporations will be making record profits from the power of an AI-infused workforce, while unemployment/wealth inequality will also be at record highs. Of course, this is kind of just the natural course of an unregulated/corrupt capitalist system, but AI could definitely accelerate this process.

@infinitivez

2 ай бұрын

@@JabrilsIs that actual displacement, when the position is no longer available? I looked up the terms as they apply to jobs, and it sounded like displacement means the spots for employment are still there, but the people have changed. This sounds like maybe displacement for a few, but surely replacement for many. (Or maybe it's me who has these reversed?)

@infinitivez

2 ай бұрын

Nope, it's definitely me that's confused? (I asked an AI!) the more you know? Displacement refers to the loss of a job or position due to factors *such as automation*, outsourcing, or restructuring. Displaced workers may need to find new employment, often in a different field or industry, and may require additional training or education to do so. Replacement, on the other hand, refers to the hiring of new employees to fill existing job positions. This can occur when a company is expanding, when an employee leaves or retires, or when a position is created to meet new business needs. Replacement can also refer to the use of technology, *such as AI or automation*, to perform tasks previously done by humans.

@AZaqZaqProduction

2 ай бұрын

@@ateammate223 I cannot promise to what extent this will actually happen, but if these efficiency gains can get passed to consumers-which while not guaranteed certainly is possible in a competitive capitalist system-it could lead to a better world overall. If you don't believe me, just reflect on the fact that we're both typing these comments on a website that hosts basically infinite entertainment and is literally free. Like historically, the ever increasing efficiency of our world has led to a good fraction of its prosperity. So it's weird to me how everyone seems to think the opposite will happen when historically it never has. The only counter to this is "but what about when automation replaces literally all the jobs and human skill is fully and totally obsoleted," which as this very video demonstrates, we're a long way off from.

I think you're spot on with pretty much everything. As for pilots/autopilots, there a loooong history already, including when autopilots caused issues. As you mention, safety is at utmost priority - every single accident has the whole process attached to it, where it is not only investigated, but also altercations have to be made so that it wouldn't repeat. If it's something physical with the equipment - in has to be changed (maybe even on all the planes issued by the manufacturer). If it's related to human error, training programs, other activities or checklists have to be changed. And there have to be measures taken to guarantee the required changes. How are they gonna make any guarantees with AI behavior in unforeseen situations... AI cannot be "held accountable".

As someone with some background in audio, I've found AI waveform synthesis to have similar issues to art generation. In fact, sometimes it's done by actually training the models to generate pictures of waveforms using images of existing song waveforms; pretty wild. It's had interesting and useful results for imitating synthesiser settings and extending sounds like an image zoom-out, but it's been patchy when it comes to creating believable music and singing. Consistency of voice is difficult to capture, and vocal performances are enormously complex. For simpler roles such as generic narration, I can certainly expect a meteoric rise in AI as we've already been seeing, but there may also be a cultural shift towards styles of narration and presentation that intentionally break away from what AI can handle, introducing more inherently human elements. People are already sick of content creators using AI versions of their voices/likenesses to present videos, since it's the same issue as trying to automate editing. You can't recapture that much human expression. There are sounds and tones voice actors can produce that even humans wouldn't expect, based on how they ordinarily sound. Similarly to how frustrating it is to sift through dozens of AI image drafts, all generically approximating the most boiler-plate version of your idea, imagine trying to capture a novel vocal performance of a nuanced and complex character moment, filled with contradictory intonations and indescribable subtleties. "He speaks this line sadly, but somewhat detached and noticeably disjointed due to a rising fear, while tensing his throat at times, as if to stifle his emotions." Sounds like a nightmare.

8:24 yes very rooted in scifi. I keep bringing up the argument that as people we tend to personify things. You know, you feel sympathy for a plush toy abandoned on the side of the road, you say "sorry" to a table when you stub your toe. Its only natural that we anthropomorphize inanimate objects. And AI is no different. The main difference is that the goal is to give you this very illusion. But it will never not be an illusion, it can never actually be a person. And the second they give AI the right to vote ive lost all faith in humanity's critical thinking skills.

@bungercolumbus

2 ай бұрын

Agreed. AI right now is like the word quantum in 2010.

Could it replace Hollywood? Why would I watch a movie when I can have DragonBall Z live-action vs Superman instead. Harry Potter in Star Wars. Video is definitely at risk. Let’s be honest. KZread/TikTok is more important than tumblr/instagram.

Bank teller is a really bad example of a job that could be replaced because we _already_ have the technology for this: banking websites and apps. Chatbots aren't going to make that experience any better. As long as the boomers don't want to bother with this newfangled tech, the bank tellers will continue to have job security.

I can tell you as someone who worked at a large tech company that temporarily outsourced hr to a chatbot, it does not work well. That being said I dont think it will stop some companies from trying.

AI can already replace the structured part of cognitive behaviour therapy and it feels often like a real human is writing you and its always there and always positive

Have you looked at what Figure can do? Once its backpack is gone and it can walk faster, human labor is done for.

It's one thing to not expect massive economic upheaval in the next few years like a lot of hardcore accelerationists but not expecting an AI to be able to do these things in your lifetime either tells me you expect to die soon or you expect a very slow rate of progress over the next 30 years. I don't think that reflects recent history but it's always possible we hit a wall and that current trends are unsustainable but with the level of natural speech and reasoning we see in the best current models, progress would have to be glacial to not replace most of these jobs in a few decades.

I gotta say I agree. I've been very disheartened with the doom and gloom narrative around AI. I miss when I saw some cool thing built with it and could just go "aha cool, neat." I still do that with new developments, but back in the day most people who were talking about it were also saying that.

I thought I was talking about AI without fully understanding it but you took it to a whole new level.

@EliteAaron

2 ай бұрын

What do you mean?

I am a former cashier I'd drop it down a tier depending on what companies value. I'd put cashier at C tier. Sure, companies could replace fast food workers since no scanning is involved, but at a grocery store where I worked, I had to handle, identify/locate the barcode on various packages, then scan the item rapidly. I'd put online shopping/delivery/self checkout as a greater threat to that profession. BUT so long as companies still sell at brick and mortar locations and not from warehouses, companies will at least need human oversight to ensure someone isn't trying to scan a PS4 as a pound of bananas. Furthermore, cashiering is a social job, a lot of talking and chatting with the customer is involved. It adds that human touch. When I customer is pissed about something, it was my job to keep them calm to resolve the issue, failure to do so could result in a bad review for the business. My store was prepared to hand out gift cards to every angry karen before taking the financial damage of their name getting smeared online.

This seems incredibly timely. My bank is going to be using AI to assist in reducing the number of people falling for scams. If a transaction is flagged it will ask generated questions about the nature of the transaction before allowing it to be processed. But I don't think AI is going to displace tellers, they've (at least in Australia) been a diminishing workforce long before AI.

I have a buddy who practices law (personal injury) and he says that ChatGPT has reduced his day-to-day work-load by 90%. He foresees himself as being obviated in the next ten years. This is why he already started studying compsci and is doing his master's thesis on ML. While running a law firm. Because he doesn't like sleep, I guess.

@BinaryDood

2 ай бұрын

devin

@dennismagnusson2141

2 ай бұрын

@@BinaryDood Managers wants blue lines with red pens..

I don't think that AI will fully replace many jobs but the displacement will be INTENSE, there will be a lot more use for AI in some of these professions than others

I know that your intention with this was to calm the hype over AI "replacing" all jobs in a sector, but it doesn't have to replace all in order to cripple a sector. My fear is that entry level jobs will be harder to find because capitalists will not hire inexperienced people and just generating good enough art, factory workers. Then a generation will suffer because the salaries will go down a lot due to less workers, wealth, bargaining power and law making power will concentrate even more. Also, why do you think market analyst can't be replaced? The complexity of the data, digital in most cases, makes it more likely IMO.

I really liked your opinions

Librarian would be D Tier as well. Also, I think most law firms will be cutting most of their staffs over the next decade.

I think something else to note about the photographers is yes, AI could potentially be used for something like stock video/pictures. But as soon as you're wanting something specific, it will fail. When I think of a time that I would hire a photographer it might be for senior pictures, a wedding, family photos, etc. And AI will NEVER be able to do something like that.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

funny enough, i think that that trend of using AI to take photos like that, or more specifically for profession headshots & such, will become popular. Some trends that I've seen suggest it

@miamitten1123

2 ай бұрын

@@Jabrilsthat’s corporate. A wedding has to be reality. They might use a.i to touch up. Maybe, but the event has to be real. Same with movie premiere or war zones or wildlife.

I have to disagree on stock trader and market analyst. Those are two jobs that are PERFECT for being replaced by a computer, specifically because there are so many variables. Hell, we've already had non-AI computer driven stock and market analysis tools for a while now that aren't bad. They're not as good as a human, but they are also nowhere near as capable as an AI that can do more than just crunch the raw numbers.

@theprofessionalfence-sitter

2 ай бұрын

You don't get anywhere in the stock market (at least not anywhere above just the returns of some index fund) by doing what everyone else is doing. If you want to make any money above that, you need to have analysts to keep improving upon the AI.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

so if I understand you correctly: AI can predict things like- Boeing is about to have a sudden but major accident happen that will be all over headlines in the next coming days so the AI will sell the stock before it happens? Please please please point me to the humans that developed this algorithm, they are probably E.T. 🥴

@FlesHBoX

2 ай бұрын

@@JabrilsI don't think I said that AI can do things that no human can, And on that same tip, if you know a financial advusor who can predict that, point me at them, and I'll be rich in a week, lol. Certainly right now today, AI can't look at news about the latest boeing debacle and know to incorporate that, but it WILL, and I guarantee that there is someone out there working on that AI right now, because there is a TON of money waiting for that AI, and the things that have the biggest potential to make someone rich are the things that people invest the most time and effort into, so it WILL happen, and it will happen sooner than later. It's just a data problem. Data has been "predicting the future" for a long time now. If facebook can push ads for prenatal vitamins and new parent books to someone who doesn't know they're pregnant yet, without the aid of AI, then it's no stretch to think that with some effort and data, an AI can figure out what stocks might before better if it's built and trained specifically to do that. We humans like to think that we have some special innate ability to intuit things, but it's just our brains crunching data in a way that we've been trained to.

@theprofessionalfence-sitter

2 ай бұрын

@@FlesHBoX The difference between the stock market and other prediction tasks is that your predictions of what will happen on the stock market tomorrow already affects what is happening on it, today - at least as soon as you method of making predictions has been adopted by other players on the market with sufficient capital behind them. That means you cannot stick with a single prediction tool but have to keep innovating to stay ahead of the curve - one tool becoming widespread makes it essentially worthless.

@FlesHBoX

2 ай бұрын

@@theprofessionalfence-sitterAnd that is an advantage to AI that is able to learn and adapt faster than humans. Like I said, it's not there right now today, but it will be. The only thing that will stop AI from taking job X is humans deciding specifically to not try to make AI to replace Job X. And as long as there is money to be made by replacing Job X with an AI, someone is going to end up doing it. This is why AI safety is so important. It's not a matter of IF, it's a matter of WHEN.

You should check out Hippocratic AI and their new AI nurses that just released. Not all nurses are in the hospital. There are plenty that only interact with patients by calling them.

ive been using AI to generate basic art for my beats, but if i make a song or something more than just a beat im going to comission artwork or make artwork myself. and i would never use AI to make music, it just seems like WAY more work to make music with AI than to do it myself since i cant predict what AI is going to do and i will probably hate it 9 times out of 10

You missed out one of the most endangered jobs... Programming. I already simultaneously write less code, but generate mode code than ever using copilot. Being generous, 10 years from now, the biggest part of being a programmer is going to be knowing how to write prompts for AI, and then being able to read what it produces to make sure it's not going off the rails.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

this is a heavy hedge. of course its all possible, i mean its still possible that we're going to get the illusive flying cars & hoverboards some day, but at some point we have to ground these hedges in reality. How expensive will it be to use an AI that can replace a whole programming job? What if you wanted 7 full time AI programmers? what margin of error should we expect? what margin of error should we allow? how do we go about teaching this AI to do new tricks?

@HassanNasserMohamed

2 ай бұрын

You are speaking like those Python bros, or the 1 month bootcamp full stack "DEVs". of course AI will be able to write couple of lines of code to sum numbers in python or will generate a very generic website. But will it be able to create the next photoshop ? or the next big game ? not even a simple indie game can it do now ! will it do the next big complex application or website ? hell no you are delusional if you think so but yeah, i will replace the very entry level of full stack "devs" and python bros

@FlesHBoX

2 ай бұрын

@@HassanNasserMohamedWhat you're talking about is software design. Programming is programming, and if you have a design to work from, you're no different than an AI. You are assembling words and symbols to achieve a goal. How is a person telling AI to "do x" any different than a person taking 10 times as long to type it make any difference. In the year and a half that I've been using copilot I've been able to put out a significantly larger amount of work, while focusing on the design aspect without giving myself carpal tunnel as a glorified data entry person. You can go ahead and feel threatened by a new tool, and refuse to accept the inevitable, but be careful because if you keep doing that, you're going to find yourself at a big disadvantage, just like every single time this has happened in the history of humanity.

@IM2awsme

2 ай бұрын

​@@JabrilsI remember when you said AI generated music was impossible 😂 bro I love your videos, I've been using Suno for a while and man, some people can produce some bangers.

NVidia be helping make ROBOTS do BACKFLIPS bro

I would prefer an AI therapist. Not only would its algorithms be able to adapt to outcomes, meaning that the therapy would be based on science in a way it's really not now, bit I'd feel far more comfortable talking to something that isn't human, for the same reason I'd prefer an android to give me a bed bath when I'm 90.

@AZaqZaqProduction

2 ай бұрын

I don't have super high confidence that an AI therapist would be better than a real therapist for most people, but given the dismal accessibility of mental healthcare nowadays, this could realistically be a way that a lot of people get therapy cheaply, for better or worse. I guess it's better than nothing.

@abekabe678

15 күн бұрын

Cheapens mental health in my opinion, we need real people to care about our situation, not just prescribe meds and mindfulness exercises. Sometimes people just want to talk to their therapist because the weight on their chest doesn't go away, something that talking to a bot would hardly solve

I don't think what will be replace is the right question!! But, as soon the AI is getting smart, only seniors will remain! And the right question is something like what amount of experts will survive? Because some areas are getting more automated than others!! For example, a translator for old books for sure will remain! For poetry also!! For business also (because you cannot make mistakes)! But for daily life, you can use a lot of AI translators!

ai must fills in searcher level jobs I believe

IRS recent lay offs made me think that AI implementation was right around the corner

When Jabrils slips in AI here and there throughout the video

As a drone operator, I am more afraid of changes in aviation law than of being replaced by AI.

Now we can use faces and Voice from actors make them sing songs the way they we want, in any language what do you means there'd no shot 👀? Did you saw the progression between the video of will smith eating spaghettis, to the puppy's playing in snow Ai is progresssing so fast! Pretty sure that we're gonna be able to generate movies and videogames tomorrow👀... (Just think about all the progress in just 2 years)

Fun fact: Human resources is the least human of the company's resources. Dilbert comic books nailed it when they depicted it like a department ran by the devil. 😂

Why didn't you add software engineering to the list? As a software engineer.

I've never seen him talk with his mouth before

@lukaspc2892

2 ай бұрын

sorry that's a dead meme right there

Is this AI replacing or just general automation replacing? Because some of things don’t need AI. Just regular programming or a bunch of choices the human can make

I used a travel agent for my honeymoon and it was 100% better than figuring out what to do in a country ive never been

I’m a data entry clerk full-time during tax season, so I took personal offense to that one! xD

You can't predict the impact of AI on a job if you don't understand the job and how it fits into a company or an industry, or how the industry as a whole may be impacted.

what about the AI CEO that builds a real business and gives back the profits to the workers because all it needs is the money to survive and the rest it feeds itself meaning the workers and the customers. ive been thinking about this waaaay to much than i should, but i think its coming. and big corps dont want this

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

im sorry mate, but this is definitely, for sure not coming.

@o1ecypher

2 ай бұрын

@@Jabrils its a matter of time, every good and bad idea will flourish given time and mind someone will be born who will, im waiting, im sitting , well more like laying down till then.

How many cars drive themselves again?

So it seems like if a company stands to lose money via AI error or lawsuits, it's probs a D-tier. Great video as always! Also why aren't you running your AI image generation locally??!?

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

I mean we do live in a capitalist society right? If it doesn't make money, it doesn't make sense. & I guess the interface is just too convenient to where I haven't looked into it in quite some time lol

Interesting list, let's see what happens in 6-12 months (^_^)

It will be expensive to replace all factory workers with robots. However, those robots will pay for themselves in a short amount of time. If a factory is in operation 24 hours a day, one robot can take at least 3 people’s jobs. Once you add in the cost of employee benefits, robots are cheap in comparison to humans. Even if a company doesn’t have the money to buy robots, they will find a way to get the money so they can afford them.

3:35 truck drivers will be first, they're expensive, and highways are far easier to traverse than roads

Online flight booking systems give better deals than travel agents because they check all websites and don't get paid to make you pay more.

So AGI is not close in your opinion?

@Jabrils

Ай бұрын

No where near

I think we all will become ai tamers in the future

Doesn't the BlackRock super computer analyse the market better than market analysts?

I agree mostly, just not about law application.

Ai isn’t going to replace anyone jobs like people say .

Middle management. It's not a value added profession to begin with. AI is going to collate all that tribal knowledge and out goes the managers. AI is already better than most managers. It's just not something people feel comfortable entrusting yet. But the second upper management sees the cost savings, managers are out the door.

I would thnk that data analysis (e.g. Market analysis and stock trading) is likely to be aided or replaced by AI because of the multitude of variables. AI should be much better at identifying patterns in the data especially since the data sets are huge (and therefore good for training AI as well as too complicated/big for humans to get a good grasp on it). Ho0wever, I have no clue about AI or these two jobs so these assumptions are based on feelings and thin air...

I think you were way off on most of it. Things will be happening much sooner, especially ones like therapist and radiologist, I think the potential for replacement already exists.

Where would AI KZreadrs be placed 🤔

This is all under the assumption that we're far away from AGI. Who knows how long it takes, but once we have it, certainly, I imagine it will only take a few years to have replaced most D-tier jobs as well. But then, society has to change anyway and you will not have to worry about not finding a job or something. Maybe we'll live a life in virtual reality, that is hosted by this super AI in a way that is so much better than real life that we don't wanna leave the simulation.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

Maybe I agree, but I'd like to get on the same page, 2 questions: 1- What is a GI and 2- what is your timetable for when that might happen 10 years? 100 years? 1,000 years?

@the_master_of_cramp

2 ай бұрын

​@@Jabrils GI to me means that it is able to leverage all of the available information/data, in order to make the best possible decisions. But yeah it's hard to define what the goal of this intelligence would or should be. But certainly it should be an agent that fuses (at least) human intelligence with machine computing power, meaning it can do sound logical reasoning, can collect and analyze data to the fullest potential, and can create plans to be executed either by us or in cases where robots are reliable, by robots. And with that, we'd have an AI that could do research almost by itself. And especially, also research how to improve itself. As for prediction of when we get to it: I think we humans tend to underestimate the non-linear growth of progress. Twenty years ago, the world looked extremely different already. Before a technology arrives, usually nobody predicts it. Now, most of us are already predicting AGI, and only think it's a matter of time when it comes, when someone "finds the correct method". We already kind of know that it should be possible because humans fulfill the conditions for one part of the AGI and data centers fulfill the condition for the other part of AGI. So, it's already in our mind and many of the smartest researchers are actively researching on AGI. The more I think about it, the more I feel like the first few evolutionary rounds of AGI could potentially be only a couple years down the road. I would guess with 90% probability we have it by the next 30 years in some form.

This video has shown me, that while you may work with A.I, you lack an understanding of its capabilities, and how insane this A.I age were in, can get.

what about programmers haha?

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

i guess i polled too many programmers who have confidence in what they do lol 🤷‍♀️

AI please save me if you can hear me :(

@infinitivez

2 ай бұрын

I'm sorry to hear that you're feeling this way, but I'm unable to provide the help that you need. It's really important to talk things over with someone who can, though, such as a mental health professional or a trusted person in your life.

If you're not paying attention you could be fooled

People misunderstand what "ai" is. It isn't a sci fi artificial person who can think on the fly it's an algorithm spitting out results based on prior training. The moment you present the ai with something new like a jam in a machine your ai factory worker becomes useless beyond calling for an actual technician to show up and fix it even if the jam could have been fixed by a minimum wage worker in a couple of seconds. It gets even worse for ai journalists, photographers and videographers who will need to be able to report on breaking news but won't have anything to go off other than other news results, replace all the news stations with ai and they end up regurgitating each other's bad data. That's before we get into the psychological issue of a person dealing with ai, yes an automated checkout is cheaper than a cashier but people are much more likely to steal when they don't have to put a face to their theft. AI could certainly be a tool to make these jobs easier and cut down on the total workforce but completely replacing them isn't happening.

Bro wut? I'm surprised that you underestimate the exponential development of AI. Yes Ai wont design your comic now. But in 3 years? Bro c'mon. Most of us will be replaced by an agent.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

I mean if your job is a cashier, yeah i agree with you! 3 years is probably enough time to replace your job 😬

@kilih.4525

2 ай бұрын

fold a sheet of paper 50 times and it'll reach the moon. AI grows against your intuition. Imagine a Renaissance man figuring out what a smartphone can do. Think Sam is building a 7 trillion dollar chip factory to replace cashiers?

you're way to generous. Whats the saying go like? The more you do something, the more lost you get in it? I think you need a wakeup call...I'll take everything from your D tier and put it in B tier.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

oh... alright so youre facing a murder charge.. in a few years you're saying we're going to be trusting an AI Law Firm to defend us in court because its as good or better than our current human lawyers? Am I understanding this right?

@Nick1i3

2 ай бұрын

I don't have a dog in this race, but don't most lawyers never even step in a courtroom? Or am I mixing things up. I remember reading that most lawyering is bureaucracy, most major criminals plead guilty anyway to avoid more intense charges.

@anaximander4589

Ай бұрын

Late reply. No. I am saying that the Lawyers will become more efficient with AI, so the same lawyer accomplishes what 10 lawyers do, bringing demand way down. Companies will find every excuse to justify not getting a law department for their company, and/or cutting staff, and save a lot of money in the process. Look at accounting. Accountants used to be a whole ass department with their own floors a couple of decades ago. Now, with advent of calculator's, excels, internet - their influence and/or importance went way down within companies. It did'nt replace them, but it dramatically lowered their value. @@Jabrils

Immediately I disagree with AI bank tellers. It's got nothing to do with how safe or secure the AI is, it ENTIRELY depends on if the bank can get it's customers to sign a waiver or change their ToS so they aren't responsible for an AI teller giving away all your money to someone else, and a close second factor is how insurable instances like that are. We always see companies try to cut corners to their own detriment and try to shirk responsibility. Putting the sole reason they won't use AI on "oh it's too dangerous and they aren't dumb enough" is wildly underestimating how irresponsible and dumb a bank can be.

@Wanderer_of_Sol

2 ай бұрын

Ok, I'm live commenting this one. Be ready for a lot of engagement. I feel like customer service is in the same boat as bank teller. Humans are complex and complex thinking is required for quality service, which means you should be ready for low quality service and automated responses that don't actually help you and repeatedly asking to talk to a human who's probably in very high demand and very underpaid. Like, we're literally already seeing this one when you call almost any large business. It's currently prerecorded messages, but if AI ends up being cheaper we'll see a lot more of that instead. Basically if the argument for AI replacing a job is "quality is required" but the companies using it can push the boundary of "well, how much is *actually* required?" your job is going to be threatened by something that's good enough or will just become the new norm everyone kinda hates but has to accept.

@Wanderer_of_Sol

2 ай бұрын

I had a feeling so I googled Data Entry Clerk jobs and I was amazed that there are hundreds of listings within an hour or two of my area. They pay between $20 and $40 an hour, so I'd definitely say that's something that's in danger of going away ASAP.

@Wanderer_of_Sol

2 ай бұрын

Ok, the big one, graphic design. I mentioned in a short you posted recently that my partner is an illustrator and graphic designer, and since generative AI started being a thing her commissions for corporate work has dropped like a rock and we know her former clients are all using gen AI. I think it's important to recognize your bias when it comes to your project and the final product. You actually CARE what the character looks like and if the final product is off model. The major providers of graphic designer jobs, the corporations trying to churn out and publish works quick and cheap, they don't care. They click generate once and say "good enough" and sell that to customers who aren't going to think too hard on how off model it is. Thats a lot of money saved, aka jobs lost. I'll concede that there will likely always be some jobs for these. People like you, people who want personal commissions done or something specific that an AI can't nail, but that's not a job market. And at what point do you say that the displacement is so rampant that the jobs might as well not exist, aside from some lone specialists?

I preferred the AI voice clips. It sounded like you, but on a better microphone or something.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

.... better huh? 😩

12:56 keep in mind that there is technology where you can use an AI to follow the inflections of another voice with its trained voice. So you'd just need voice actors that are good at inflections, and then use AI to make it sound like whatever character. I would think this would just *change* the nature of the job. Like, you dont need to have *range* anymore, the AI can do that part.

'An' AI Job.... Why are so many ppl ignore this? XD One Love! Always forward, never ever backward!! ☀☀☀ 💚💛❤ 🙏🏿🙏🙏🏼

When did your mouth start moving?

Why not do a video explaining to people the difference between artificial intelligence, and machine learning and also all of the other umbrellas, so that maybe people can understand why it's silly to think AI will replace so many jobs.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

there's only so many hours in the day Jonny & i want to be building stuff 😔

Graphic artist is B tier 🤷🏾

Journalists of nowadays can easily be replaced by AI. No investigation whatsoever, just clickbait and sensationalism.

People have become hardwired to be wage slaves. They worry more about working for a corporation than to reap the rewards of AI for themselves.

I definitely don't think you're a bozo, but one thing I would disagree with you on here is that I think there's an important difference between "Can AI perform this task?" and "Can AI make it so that performing this task is not a viable profession?" Like, I agree with you that AI image generation will probably never do the things that human photographers do, but I'm not convinced it can't do a close enough facsimile that the demand for professional photography drops significantly.

What I think you fail to address, is that the current generation of AI are just a bootstrap. Now they are close to good enough, they can quickly improve. It's not like it used to be, if an AI can be used for 1% of tasks then it can get feedback from millions of people and improve quickly, something a human can't do.

@anaximander4589

2 ай бұрын

The law? Yeah, those private equity firms will find a way around it they smell money. Why hire someone that costs a future, when they can get someone else(Ai)@@eye776 to do the job at a fraction of a fraction of the price. Its inevitable and a no-brainer.

@PaulBrunt

2 ай бұрын

@@eye776 I agree, but the big question is how much time. Look at how fast image generation has improved in a short period of time. When you have millions of people constantly pushing these models in the right direction, they improve fast. We don't just have data from the internet anymore, we have data from interaction. Image generators have produced more images than contained in their entire training dataset. People often say using them in training would be feeding the model it's own tail; but what they fail to realize is that there's an army of humans(users) curating the output, sifting through the crap to get at the gems. The data from users is even more valuable then the original training data since it provides a much higher quality signal.

I think you missed the point with actual language models. Of course right now it doesn't seem to be able to replace them. It's difficult to predict how AI will evolve in the next few years. Robots are becoming a thing, the amount of money being moved into tech is gigantic. Just in 8 years GPU have a 1000x in performance which is destroying Moore's law. The evolution with each generation of multimodal transformers is 10X in about 6 months. We see that having bigger training data sets and more compute correlates with the intelligence of the transformer getting higher. It's exponential. The only bottle neck now is power and infrastructure. Assuming we get AGI by the end of the decade, by AGI I mean an AI, most likely in a robot form, performing any task better than the 99th percentile of humans. All jobs are going to be replaced, especially if we can't differentiate robots from humans. As the AI will be more intelligent, it will be more and more easy to fix problems and discover new technologies. So at first, AI will be assistant, helping us going faster with more quality. Then, incrementally the AI will become more and more independent and will eventually be able to perform the job by itself.

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

I'll reply to this at the end of the decade when none of this comes true mate 🙂

@senshi01

2 ай бұрын

@@Jabrils Hehe, Yeah it's highly speculative. I wonder how much of it will be true. I wouldn't be surprised it didn't really work, like the flying cars.

Your an AI researcher?

someone has used AI for their graphics for their new t-shirt business that has a total of two sales. therefore, you're wrong hope this comment helps with the algorithm

@Jabrils

2 ай бұрын

i love you 😂

Make something with your hands and Dont be lazy

@john_michael_white

2 ай бұрын

What, like starting with rocks and sticks to make fire, and working my way up towards creating my own computer?

@Mn16Cr45

2 ай бұрын

@@john_michael_white repairing, construction, cnc maschining, electronic, wood work and so on