2024 NBA Western Conference Finals Picks & Predictions | Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 Best Bets
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🏀 WagerTalk NBA handicapper Steve Merril runs through 2024 Western Conference Finals picks and predictions today for Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1! What will we see from a betting perspective in today's action? Join Steve as he gives free NBA best bets for today for tonight's Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 matchup starting at 8:30PM ET!
Introduction 00:00
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Series Review 00:55
Dallas Mavericks Pre/Post Washington & Gafford 02:30
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 Total Analysis 05:48
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Regular Season Review 07:20
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 Spread Analysis 08:42
WagerTalk / Steve Merril Special Offers!! 11:14
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 Player Props 14:25
Like, Subscribe and Comment!! 18:36
#nbapredictions | #nbapicks | #westernconferencefinals
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👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏀 Live NBA Odds: wt.buzz/nba-odds 🏀 More Free NBA Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NBA 🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 tonight? Let us know in the comments below 👇
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Smash that LIKE 👍 button!
Thanks for watching... best of luck tonight everyone! 👍🏀
ayyyy early post thanks steve!! great job on celts team total last night!!
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thanks for watching
As always Steve, appreciate the hard work and effort you put in to posting these videos day after day without fail, keep them coming my friend, I keep learning every day.
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thank you Kenny... great to hear!
Steve made me 113 bucks yesterday of 20 in bets! Thanks bro
@isaacl.blackiii805
28 күн бұрын
What did you bet?
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
That's a nice 500% + return!
@gazo322
28 күн бұрын
Steve tax
@andrewallace8170
28 күн бұрын
@@isaacl.blackiii805 I laid 2 bets 1 for celts money line, over on pts and jb over 24.5. 10 to make 35 The other was over on jt jb and Halliburton points pacers +10 pts. I put 8 to make 64...
@sarojkharel6410
28 күн бұрын
You gambling rat .
Thank you Steve, just earned a subscriber. Love the data. Good “Nugget” on the teams playing after Colorado
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
Thanks Nathan 👍
Thank you for the gafford lock +300 money day
My projected total based on my model is 216 with Minnesota favorited by 3.6. I went with Dallas plus +4.5 and over 207. I think that Dallas could sneak by with a win tonight. I may sprinkle a little on the ML. Good luck & thanks again Steve!
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
I agree 👍💯
@ghxstbxby9445
28 күн бұрын
@@stevemerril1485 Great win tonight, Steve!!! Let’s keep it going my friend!!!
@stevemerril3086
27 күн бұрын
@@ghxstbxby9445 👍
Thanks for your hard work and input
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thank you for watching!
I feel like I'm watching hustle with adam sandler watching this Luka vs Ant-Man battle during the game lol
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
😁🤣
Player props I think PJ Washington has a good game. Got him putting up 15-17 pts. Lively over 6.5 rebounds. And I also faded Ant Man’s points with the under. About 1/4 unit on each of those along with a 1/4 unit parlay.
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
I agree, good luck tonight!
@rickymaldojano9666
28 күн бұрын
Bro I went with your picks today and definitely cashed out! Great picks! Lol 40$ got me 575 lol I also added mavericks to win the game when they where even more plussssss. For some reason trusted your decision ha my friend sat on the couch being so sour because I told him to also bet the same parlay and he said it wouldn’t hit 😅 literally lively almost hit half right away. Thanks again!
@ghxstbxby9445
28 күн бұрын
@@rickymaldojano9666 😂😂😂 Congrats my friend! Did you only use the props or you also went with the totals and side I posted as well? Either way glad you hit. I knew thst game 7 turnaround was going to be tough on Ant not to mention him chasing Kyrie around all game lol
@rickymaldojano9666
28 күн бұрын
@@ghxstbxby9445 I only went for the points and rebounds lol with mavericks winning on top off it lol thanks again! I’m eating good tonight 😂
@ghxstbxby9445
28 күн бұрын
@@rickymaldojano9666 No problem. Congrats again!
Rolling wit da Mavs + the pts Steve, I think they loose but cover, LIKE Button SMASHED Brother, Great Job as Usual.
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
Thanks as always Dexter 👍
Idk why I laughed so hard at your intro of your friend when you said “father of Jeff” 😂😂😂😂. I think I like Dallas ml and the over
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
😂 I always thought father Jeff was a great line, so I'm glad you appreciate it, don't feel like everyone else gets it though 😜
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
p.s. - Great call on Mavs ML + Over 👍💲💲
How many of your bets would be good to bet on? Are you a fan of parlays ? Thanks for your tips
Great information thanks
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Thanks for tuning in @danielwheeelsraiburn998 and taking the time to comment 👊
@stevemerril3086
27 күн бұрын
Thanks for watching Daniel!
Thanks as always! Hit an 8 leg yesterday!
@isaacl.blackiii805
28 күн бұрын
What do you bet?
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Awesome!
Great video. Thanks
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
No problem!
I won a grip off of Steve’s call on the over last night. Also took Jaylen Brown pts rebounds, which he suggested and won. Made a Tatum, brown parlay with both player pts and rebounds for Tatum based off his insight. Great night again.
@stevemerril3086
27 күн бұрын
Awesome!
Someone's going to get in foul trouble early, either Gafford or Gobert/KAT. If I'm coaching either of these teams, I'm going right at the bigs to try and get them on the bench. Soften up the paint area and force the perimeter defenders to help, it could make things easier for the 3-point shooters.
I think the bigs decide this series PJ, Lively, Gifford vs Naz,KAT, Gobert. Whoever brings the energy and defense. The stars will get theirs.
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Thanks for tuning in @deanchen6591 and taking the time to comment 👊
Thank you for this data again
@stevemerril3086
27 күн бұрын
Thank you for watching!
steve just asking, is it -4 and over?
Thank you
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thank you for watching!
Steve, thank you for your continued great information on the games. I had Boston to win the Championship before the playoff began. I still think Boston is the team to beat. All four teams are outstanding and very difficult to pick on a series. I slightly lean on Minnesota today but will stay out of the first game. Instead, I will go with Seattle in WNBA. GL
Thank you my g!!
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
No problem!!
Will lay the hefty impost Minn (-180) Series with a G1 win would then take (+230) or so on Dallas - Arbitrage
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
That would be a good middle
Thanks Steve
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thanks for watching Wes... always nice to hear from you!
great
Minnesota defense appearance is greatly benefitted by slow grinding offense that lethargically gets into its pick n roll errr offense. To get them out of it takes scoring
I have a ticket at 30/1 for Minn to win the west. So I'm a Big Minn fan. Key game tonight hoping Minn wins and I'll come back a little on Dallas just a little at what should be 2/1 or better. Thanks for vid Steve BOL. Always great information and numbers. How about Jaden Mcdaniels for MVP AT 100+/1. Worth some pizza money.
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Hard to imagine MIN winning without Edwards (or Towns) having a big series, but McDaniels would be the third option.
@paulsampugnaro6919
28 күн бұрын
I agree, but it will also depend on how well Luca does. Not shutting him down of course no one could do that but him taking more shots less free throws and a clear win in the matchup could go a long way. Also I like the fact that Edwards gave him big credit for their 7th game win. It brings him to the front.
Top of the morning Steve 🤙🏿
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Good morning/afternoon (now) as well
Steve I’m an NBA client already. The all of June rest of May package for NBA/MLB is the “MLB 30 day pass”right? It doesn’t mention NBA and there’s really no literature on it.
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
It is All-Sports... if you already have NBA, contact Customer Support for a special discount.
are you recommending we shouldn't have derrick jones and PJ on the same slip with their over on points? I can't tell.
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
I was saying to play them each individually
Celtics win in 6, Mavs win in 7 I think - love the videos Steve
@stevemerril3086
27 күн бұрын
Thank you for watching!
I’m off with Doncic over and PJ Washington over although worried with Timberwolves defence. Also thanks for another top analysis video 👍
Love the gong
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
100%
Hi Steve. Put more graphics on the screen to illustrate your talking points.
@BlacksmithBets
28 күн бұрын
It’s a lot easier to just talk. Capping takes a lot of time so I’d rather he spends more time greeting the analysis correct than making the videos look pretty but with less accurate information.
@mattmoran7391
28 күн бұрын
Just use your ears. You have 2 of them so you shouldn’t miss anything
I got Luca Dante's over his Turner turnovers and I'm thinking about Luca over his points prop and the under but since it's to defensive teams in Dallas has gotten a lot better defensively but I'm still undecided yet
@JS-lc4kg
28 күн бұрын
luca dante for mvp
So what’s the verdict ? Minnesota and over ?
@davidberg7346
28 күн бұрын
You won’t know until tomorrow when he comes back and says he had picked whoever won
@danielbaucom5252
28 күн бұрын
@@davidberg7346this is such a silly and bitter comment 😂
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Big salt in the comments! 🧂🧂🧂
@monroemullinix5974
28 күн бұрын
@@davidberg7346 His job is to give you information and insight. It's your job to figure out what to do with it. You want him to log in to your Fanduel account and click the buttons for you too?
I got Derek Lively with over 16pts +reb. I actually took the alt line and it was 1 or 2 more than the line. I think it was 14pts/rebs on DK last nite. Cant remember the odds, but its def +$. Thats all I got. Good luck all!
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
@stans9487, good luck with your bet!
@monicagudino6738
28 күн бұрын
Livlly 15 points. R.i.p
I forgot to add, the over on the WNBA today on Seattle/Indiana game. Maybe a 2-team parlay also on Seattle/over.
Like Minnesota myself to win the series. Worried about Gobert or Conley on the pick and rolls. Doncic and Irving a whole different than Jamaal Murray
Thanks Steve! I think Jokic and Murray and possibly C Braun were the only players who looked like they wanted to be there. Porter looked lost. I don’t give Minnesotas Defense all the credit. Denver missed so many wide open shots.
Expert analysis
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Thank you!
I hit on it going to overtime last nite!!! Made me feel real good. And I would never take Boston w more than 4 point spread in a million yrs. 10 pts was/is crazy. Btw, Fanatics had a promo last wk, in Massachusetts, that I signed up for. It was complimentary $50 in bonus bets. No account info or deposit requ. Im up on that and I think the platform is pretty damn good. They will match deposits 100% and the daily promos are generous to say the least.
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Good hit!
@walkingspottedbear
28 күн бұрын
Me too!
I've already said this, but I can see Dal v Indy finals. No one plays as fast as Indy or has as good of a bench. Playing an entire series against Indy causes teams to wear down and can cause injuries. Dal is a much better team than 99% of sports media gives them credit for.
Since I’m already an NBA client wouldn’t I be better off with the “MLB through all-star” package?
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Definitely!
I want to take the Mavs plus points , but I keep having flash backs from the first OKC game. Plus mavs never win the first game during the play the offs. This one is hard to call.
Taking Mavs ML for a small bet. I'm thinking its a great value pick at +160. Mavs have some rest and I could T Wolves have a letdown at home.
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
Good call Mike 👍💲
Cashed the builder i posted yesterday if anyone tailed.. thanks for your help steve : )
@CarlWinslow346
28 күн бұрын
thoughts..? conley O 13.5 PA Washington O8.5 pts Derrick Jones O 8.5 pts comes to +164 , generally like to water everything but for right now Jones has no alt lines although i do love his spot
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
@@CarlWinslow346 I'd agree with those Overs... good luck tonight Carl
Last night was crazy! Using the payouts for tonight....trying to get some new shoes😂
@isaacl.blackiii805
28 күн бұрын
What did you get?
@fishyyrotmgxclusivee6713
28 күн бұрын
@@isaacl.blackiii805 a pair of slipperslmao, i use winnings to get plane tickets xD
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Get those shoes!!!
@loreoflucas4486
28 күн бұрын
@isaacl.blackiii805 I bet low money because if i lose i wont miss much, but 1st was 1st qrtr over 56.5 ($10) 2nd was 1st half total over 114.5 ($20) 3rd was 3 leg parlay both team totals and total points all OVER ($20) only spent about 10 dollars on the bets
@e_chege34
28 күн бұрын
@@loreoflucas4486what are you betting tonight ?
Steve we got boomed by the Celtics , we will be back. Thanks as always
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Celtics are a very frustrating team at times... blew two 13-point leads 1H and 2H
Thanks Steve as always. Ignore the hate
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
Always... much more Love than hate here!
Nugs need to get rid of Murray ASAP. Get a Mike Conley type Point guard. Also ask Porter Jr why he all the sudden got scared and shook. If he doesn't have a good answer, trade him too.
@stevemerril1485
28 күн бұрын
Murray is definitely injury prone.
Dallas have a better defense ?
Should have just gone with Celtics team total over, I don’t understand what’s wrong with them… or is IND just that unstoppable? DAL is been smoked in game 1 the past 2 series, does it matter? MIN played 2 straight elimination games… offense is worse at home… total under?
☘️ Team Total!!! 💣
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
High-scoring Game 1
steve thanks for the 115.5 over bostos today
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
High-scoring game
Never lay 10 with Boston again, they can’t close anything! I did hedge with a series bet on Pacers, although Boston will win series. Was pulling for Indy in the end. Doesn’t matter who wins West. They will be a heavy favorite in the finals. I’m with you tonight, good luck to us.
I had a ruff night last night but today WILL be better. 😂
Been on a cold streak. Can we get back on track today????
Jokic gonna start to get one of his horses in the big races 😉
We have to read between the lines Steve is giving us tons of information. I mean Steve and other pro handicappers have to make a living Also! Try buying picks from Steve, you won’t be sorry! He’s definitely one of the best in the business.
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Boom!
Steve , I like the wolves in this one to much Anthony Edwards
luca and kyrie togther cannot guard Edwards.this is a series changing matchup.
Nuggets need a better bench thats why the Chiefss repeat they try to make there team bettwr than the year before and utilize there money while doing it
Thanks steve.. I like the mavs tonight.. wolves to win the series.. Boston & Minnesota in the finals 🤔🤷♂️😁
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
@lafndalibra7814, good luck with your action!
Luka over on 8.5 rebounds ??
Minny ml and the over the play
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
@johntoppin2376, good luck with your action!
Mavs goin all the way
I got the T-Wolves in 6
I'm going with Minnesota just cause they are a much deeper team
💪💪
Luca will finally get to the Final & win it all 🤠🏀🍻
I'm taking Woles to win by more than 4 and Lukic under his points. My two plays in this game.
@allstars617
28 күн бұрын
are you sure????
@weeny1240
28 күн бұрын
emotional betting is never good
Money!! $$
can you pls at least include a recap of your picks at the end.. to make up for your yapping.. would mean alot to us! and will greatly appreciate it ! other than that love your content still and will be signing up :D
Min champs 🎉
Re do the video and give the winner and the total
@LordFarquuad5
28 күн бұрын
Pay for it like other customers dawg 😂
I got dallas plus money to win seeies. 3-0 yesterday with pillies. I got Pittsburgh pirates today. Skenes a beast. I think dallas wins it all
@Wagertalk
27 күн бұрын
@nickigees4, good luck with your action!
Steve, I respect what you do in the work you put into it but pump the brakes on using the word “dynasty “and association to the current Denver Nuggets. By that logic the 2019 Toronto Raptors are a dynasty. I agree though that blowing 20 point lead at home and game seven could have a lingering/hangover effect.keep up the good work.
0-2 Mavs game 1 Wolves 2-0 game 1 the Mavs only had 1 extra day and the Wolves have Mon Tue then play on Wed so 3rd day to play at home 🤷🏾♀️
I’m taking mavs tonight against spread. gonna be a good series, not sure who wins cuz both teams are so good. I’m hoping we finally playoff kyrie
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Thank you @drinkingpoolwater for tuning in and taking the time to comment!
I made 10 k on last nites nba game going over
From Dallas a better defense then Dallas a weaker defensive team. I am totally confused. This is too much in both end both sides.
Mavs + 5,5 and Kyrie to score 25 + points today 🏀 and Mavs will win this series also i think
Thanks for the analysis but NO props predictions, etc? Not sure huh???
@stevemerril3086
28 күн бұрын
I gave several props at the end of this video
@MrLee-kh5tg
28 күн бұрын
My apologies Steve!!!
Denver looked tired ,Joker look tired and injured, holding his mid section.
@jvEDM11
28 күн бұрын
No bench to help, so the starters gets limited rest while wolves keeps their players fresh
SM is already Fading Denver in 2025 Cheers Man ... FA key hard to keep the whole Team together w New Salary Cap!
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
Thanks for tuning in @FittyCent50 and taking the time to comment 👊
@jvEDM11
28 күн бұрын
Nuggets will be fine, will need a center and pf to back up the starters
Nuggets had no depth whatsoever. Joker could barely catch his breath. They definitely need to add a couple depth pieces if not go away from Porter. Feel bad for Joker. Was rooting for them.
Where are your picks Steve Merrill? Come on man make a pick Wolves or Mavs
Steve, I see Dallas, 2/3🤔4,good scorers ..TWOLVES 2, evbody healthy ..Dallas 7..,, gm4 should be clear..pj good one ( had turner indy 16.5)pj streaky..got dallas +4.5
dodgers run line
Remember Suns beat the Wolves 3 times in the regular season but got swept 😁
I can't stand taking Boston. After last night, heart attack win. My Gut before the game started, without listening to no one. Take the pacers +10.5, and over 218.5 (SPG). But I listened to everyone. Took Boston money line with over 218.5 SPG. They give me anxiety
Steve! I feel like if you’re going to grab Dallas series then the time is now before they steal one in Minnesota…. 👀
@Wagertalk
28 күн бұрын
@ghert3850, good luck with your action!
@grandmarquice3655
28 күн бұрын
I'm putting something on Dallas outright NBA Champs.. beautiful odds
@ghert3850
28 күн бұрын
@@grandmarquice3655 this just seems like one of those Dallas is down by 8 at half and then wins by 4 games.
Nuggets under 500 next year? No way! They had injuries, were gassed. They still have their nucleus...
@jvEDM11
28 күн бұрын
They need a better bench. Power fwd like Lauri and a center that can shoot
Waaaayyyy to much information and nothing specific on a total or side.
So…..the over?
@allstars617
28 күн бұрын
yup
Was Denver ever that good? No. Joker was just that good. Malone shoulda rested him. Once Joker couldnt post up anymore from exhaustion the offense collapsed. And lets be real. They had a fairly easy road to the title. LeFlop choked both series away in the 4th when he tried to be Batman.