Full podcast episode: kzread.info/dash/bejne/eYybqbRxe9uskdI.html Lex Fridman podcast channel: kzread.info Guest bio: Annie Jacobsen is an investigative journalist and author of "Nuclear War: A Scenario" and many other books on war, weapons, government secrecy, and national security.

@umabeg1034

Ай бұрын

Gaza Ads in your videos are scamming people.

@LickVIP

Ай бұрын

10:00 10:00 10:00 10:00 💯💯💯💯

@moaninggimp7161

Ай бұрын

Me that's who..I survive me and mine...tik tok generation are breakfast and in fact anything born after 2000......😂....easy pickings...😂...probably do better than now 😂😂

@stewartburnett6471

Ай бұрын

Pli0lp

@piotr780

Ай бұрын

they will be no winter - there were no after first gulf war and vulcano eruptions

It isn't about who survives. It's about who in their right mind would want to.

Keith Richards survives.

@dougmarkham

Ай бұрын

And nobody notices a difference 🙄 😁

@eddienebula6084

Ай бұрын

😆best post of the day award 🏆

@lesleyM84

Ай бұрын

right?!!!🤣🤣😂😂😂😂

@dennis3178

Ай бұрын

Nope

@enriqueblack666

Ай бұрын

He’s indestructible 👍

This conversation should be on Fallout 5's pipboy radio

@notmyrealname977

Ай бұрын

Fuck fallout. It's braindead Bethesda slop after fallout 2

@Ziggy_ig8gd

Ай бұрын

Was thinking of getting Fallout 4 to try. I really liked the themes and stories, but NV was a little slow action wise for me. Is it still worth it?

@scottdevlin1491

Ай бұрын

​@@Ziggy_ig8gd Yeah Fallout 4 is really awesome.

@Nick-of8zo

Ай бұрын

@@Ziggy_ig8gd Dude it's great. Fully worth it. Some tiny bugs here and there you MIGHT encounter, but they've patched most things now. It's Bethesda so...

@ikaikatoosmoove2271

Ай бұрын

@@Ziggy_ig8gdfallout 4 feels way faster. You can sprint in 4 and it makes all the difference. Combat feels smoother as well

What lex said about people forgetting everything after a nuclear war.I can recommend a book called a Canticle for Leibowitz. It is SF book about a small group of monks keeping knowledge safe after nuclear war. The saying people who forget history are doomed to repeat it applies to this book.

@martinellis7156

Ай бұрын

I read that book many years ago. It was strange and beautiful in a terrifying way, but now seems eerily prophetic. I'm going to dig out my copy and re-read it, thanks for the reminder.

@andrewcampbell7011

Ай бұрын

Thor’s Hammer, Earth Abides, and Anathem. All good books that wrestle with this idea to varying degrees.

@martinellis7156

Ай бұрын

I remember reading "Earth Abides", which was a very good read, but I'm not familiar with the other two. Thanks for the recommendation.@@andrewcampbell7011

@blujay9191

Ай бұрын

@@martinellis7156 .. Exactly the reply I was going to make.

@PaulRandle-sc8qk

Ай бұрын

People who REMEMBER history are doomed to repeat it. You get what you focus on.

At this point, if Aliens came and took me away, I’d consider it a rescue mission. 🛸

@mas7833

Ай бұрын

Lol 😂

@jeffreysommer3292

Ай бұрын

@@mas7833 Yeah, and they'd carry a book called To Serve Man...

@calinsaner

Ай бұрын

It’s crazy to think that aliens might be the only ones to saves us from old men destroying the planet

@ron88303

Ай бұрын

Who's to say they would want you? Or me, for that matter.

@tricia3114

Ай бұрын

I’m in

This chick must be a hit at parties

@etfacetimehome

Ай бұрын

"ma'am I asked if u wanted some mashed potatoes..."

@TwoToneTonyLee

Ай бұрын

Heyyyoo high five. ✋ bro drrrrr

@VonHanzee

Ай бұрын

bugman love her voice

@mattdaemontargaryen5256

Ай бұрын

​@@etfacetimehome"Please read my book first".

@derrickhewett8680

Ай бұрын

Not all knowledge is happy news; in this case it’s just a possible possibility.

The human survivors will be the descendants of the people who pressed the buttons, that survived in their mega bunkers.

@allen2634

Ай бұрын

No one survives

@lorihughes4258

Ай бұрын

You got that right.

@tomcarroll4785

Ай бұрын

South America, most of Africa, and most of South East Asia won’t even be targeted. There won’t be any fires there and low levels of radiation. It is Europe, North America and North Asia that will be devastated.

@v44n7

Ай бұрын

Argentina, chile, Australia and NZ will probably survive quite easily the nuclear winter. Humanity wont be back to stone age so easily, sadly i think i nuclear war will happen. But we need to understand that doesn't matter the conflicts today, the pain, the suffering, the revenge, the power struggle, etc. It wont even be on the same scale compared to what we are going to loose if the war happens

@Algomatartrading

Ай бұрын

Why those specific countries?

My silver lining: I'm no longer worried about that approaching job interview with the manager for Chick-fil-A.

@azmolhossain9244

13 күн бұрын

lol.

@noahmyhre808

13 күн бұрын

Lazy

@drchas101

9 күн бұрын

So how'd it go? Slinging chicken sandwiches already?

This podcast was so uplifting 😂

@remynoel4592

Ай бұрын

😂

@A3Kr0n

Ай бұрын

I found it heartwarming.

@BigNateD23

Ай бұрын

😂😂

@JoshuaLoney

Ай бұрын

I was feeling down but now I'm all smiles 😊

@StarfireReborn

Ай бұрын

Honestly, It Just Melted All My Fears Away.

Hi Anna , I have just ordered your book from Amazon . That was a frightening talk with Lex but you still came up with a positive post script. God bless , thank you.

She has a beautiful voice

@leaogitirana2809

Ай бұрын

Right????

@ogganggang4259

Ай бұрын

“Please read my book first”

@whiterecluse9442

Ай бұрын

Also that 👌 I would like for her to sing Betty Davis eyes.....

@justinmccoy7167

Ай бұрын

Sounds like a frog that smokes. You been smokin with her? 😂

@TheFishbulb80

17 күн бұрын

Her voice is definitely a pleasure... now if she could curb how often she says "riiight".

Take a drink every time she says ‘right’.

@heidi22209

21 күн бұрын

Im wasted.. again

Guess we’re about to find out

@TheVeritas2100

Ай бұрын

The theory predicting nuclear winter has long since been proven wrong.

I lived during the era of ducking under our desks in school when we had civil defense practice. I remember as a 4th grader thinking that this is silly, this desk isn’t going to do anything. (Maybe it was a fantastical desk with properties unbeknown to me.) I’ve never even worried about nuclear war, if it happens it happens. I’ve always liked the quote from general Thomas ‘Stonewall’ Jackson when queried if he was a afraid to die: "Captain, my religious belief teaches me to feel as safe in battle as in bed. God has fixed the time for my death. I do not concern myself about that, but to be always ready, no matter when it may overtake me. That is the way all men should live, and then all would be equally brave."

I actually watched another video recently where a different scientist walked back the nuclear winter theory, saying they now know from volcanoes and the like that the particles cannot stay in the air long enough to cause a winter that long. But they deliberately didn't downplay their earlier claims as they want humanity to remain terrified (as we should be!) of a full nuclear exchange.

@ryancammer

Ай бұрын

100%. The real danger is from a disruption in ammonia production and distribution, along with phosphates, because we can’t support a population of 8 billion without multiple harvests, which isn’t possible without constant replenishment of nitrogen in the soil. It’s this 1970s doom gloom crap that prevents us from focusing on the true ramifications of a nuclear conflict, and preparing accordingly.

@bradleydavis8714

Ай бұрын

It’s all a theory . And it’s so annoying that ppl will not admit it. Smh

@stevenobrien557

Ай бұрын

Also the assumption of all of these fire storms is bullshit. This same group of scientists made some very grave predictions when Saddam Hussein set the Kuwaiti oil wells alight and had egg on their faces when they didn't happen.

@Tharvey83

Ай бұрын

And? No one truly knows how it will fully pan out, but even if it doesnt lead to the worst outcomes, many millions will die. The top level of how bad doesnt even matter as much since even the least outcome is utterly terrible.

@Patriot_Eke

Ай бұрын

Regardless of what might or might not happen, it would be wised to have a backup plan in the Southern Hemisphere. Most weapons will impact in the North.

So soothing.

And this is at least one plausible reason for The Great Silence. Most civilizations of intelligence destroy themselves.

@br1729

Ай бұрын

Yes, if you check out "Great Filter" on Wikipedia, you can read more about this hypothesis.

@BillKurn

Ай бұрын

I heard Brian Cox say that there is overwhelming evidence that we are alone.

@deanlawson6880

Ай бұрын

@@BillKurn I just completely reject that theory. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Just as a small example of this - If you were to look in a puddle of water in an oasis in the desert, and try and find abundant life, you wouldn't find any... Would you?? Because you aren't looking in the right place, which might be many hundreds or thousands of miles away in a forest, or grassland which would be teeming with life.. Just one small example....

@Mirokuofnite

Ай бұрын

Or the distances are so great that we cannot pick anything up, and any signal we send out is absolutely nothing in terms of power. By the time it gets anywhere of note its garbled static. Couple that with all the other noise of the universe its like trying to have a personal conversation at a airport in NYC with someone in London.

@StarfireReborn

Ай бұрын

I Think That's Plausible, And Yet So Tragic. Side Note. Trent Reznor Bought Me A Book For My 11th Birthday, In New Orleans... Because He's An Ex Uncle Something Something Something. NIN Is 🤌

Great episode to kick back and watch w the fam!

Man, that last quote was so good.

Just when the Jets get Aaron Rogers.

@marions.120

Ай бұрын

I thought the dem’s were getting him?

@pingamalinga

Ай бұрын

​@@marions.120 womp womp 🤪

@douglasporto2564

Ай бұрын

Hahaha hah hahaha Best comment 😂😂😂😂

Makes me think of the book The Road

@franciscopagan3255

26 күн бұрын

….and the movie The Road.💥🔥

The song Wonderwall will probably not be forgotten.

@petegalub8545

Ай бұрын

Maybe

Loved this episode. Anne is a great guest. I could listen all day

Haven't seem that book in years!

The only people who will survive will either be the people who prepared and had some kind of shelter in a remote location well stocked with food/water or the people who are capable of the violence required to take from the ones who are prepared.

@ryancammer

Ай бұрын

No. It all depends on how many weapons are used, where they strike, and so on. You can’t really make great predictions. I also wouldn’t trust the doom and gloom troop either, like this lady. The problem you’re going to have is, the world runs on ammonia. No ammonia means no fertilizer. And you can’t sustain a population of 8 billion people without multiple crop harvests, which can’t exist without fertilizer. Any disruption in ammonia production or its global distribution will become problematic. This is the real culprit for mass starvation.

@stevenobrien557

Ай бұрын

And the people in the southern hemisphere

@johnsenetto7935

Ай бұрын

Marc Zuckerberg will be snug as a bug underground in Hawaii.

@the_Kurgan

Ай бұрын

​@johnsenetto7935 Maybe, but I'm not sure he qualifies as people

@user-qx7vp6ol8c

Ай бұрын

@@ryancammerwhy are you mentioning 8 billion people for !! There won’t be 8 billion people left on the planet after nuclear war. If you’ve survived the blast and fallout after a few months and you’re still alive you just need to hunker down and keep doing what you’re doing. The possibilities for scavenging would be huge empty homes and still standing supermarkets would sustain you and your small family for long enough provided you have water and lots of tinned goods. I think your main concern would be other humans and anarchy.

"After us, Silence." 💪💪💪

Chilling

OK, that final line she said blew my mind

Hopefully I’m at ground zero when the bombs drop, won’t even realize what happened 😅

@ozarkrefugee

Ай бұрын

The shock and dread of figuring out how to survive would do you in, a most miserable condition to be in before you die.

@sivrampadhy001

Ай бұрын

Real

@Snakebloke

Ай бұрын

I'd rather fight to live, than surrender to death.

@alexrayoalv

Ай бұрын

I bet a lot of people would take their lives from despair. Knowing that billions had been nuked and that the world you’ve known is now fuckin dead. Dark stuff.

@RicardoMartinez-oh9sq

Ай бұрын

The only adults in the room are at the Kremlin: The West has escalated the proxy war in Ukraine to nearly intolerable limits for Russia.

Dont know about that 10 year time frame. That meteor impact was equivalent to millions of nukes going off, and they estimate that the sun was blocked for months and not years.

@Lucmercurius

Ай бұрын

This calculations and simulations about nuclear war are created to instill fear on people, and for good reasons. But the sun being blocked for 10 years by nucelar winter is complete fiction. The meteor impact was far greater than any nuclear war made by humans in 2024. And life survived. The idea that this would wipe humans from Earth is ridiculous. Humans survived as a hunther-gatherer species for as long as we are homo sapiens.

@ChatGPT1111

Ай бұрын

The global temperatures plummeted for years after the strike.

@ChrisG9978

Ай бұрын

Last I read it was 2 years of darkness/reduced sunlight after the meteor impact wiped out most life ~66 million years ago. Plankton and other "nano" organisms reemerged within a few months, but it took at least 30,000 years for more complex life to bounce back. 10 million years for the Earth to fully recover.

@ChrisG9978

Ай бұрын

Most scientists have concluded that sunlight was blocked out for at least 2 years. Plankton and other "nano" life reemerged within months of the asteroid impact, but complex life took at least 30,000 years to bounce back. Earth took 10 million years to fully recover.

@jc4evur661

Ай бұрын

Your assumption is made upon one nuclear bomb...if someone launched one, they wouldn't stop at just one. Include in that, the response nukes.

"using modern calculate systems" ... It will be very interesting to see such system, how it is modeled to predict the temperature drop in nuclear winter scenario? Asking this question as a beginner data scientist.

Thank you. Danke.

Gee, I hope I can still use my pool.

Tough first date.

@heidi22209

21 күн бұрын

At least lex finally went on one. Bout time. Attaboy

Göbekli Tepe isn't the oldest settlement found, but it sure has some of the best stone work and craftsmanship by far. Going along with Annie's theme that mankind has been nearly wiped out before and rebuilt from there, is a place called Ohalo II - which is 23,000 years old - while nowhere near as sophisticated as Göbekli Tepe (12,000 years old), Karahan Tepe (11,400 years), Boncuklu Tarla (12,000 years), or other sites, it does show that humans are very adaptable and can survive just about anything - even near extinction. If you really want to see how far back they have found hunter/gatherer sites, check out the 476,000 year old structure at Kalambo Falls, in Zambia.

This is my favorite episode to date. What a brilliant mind she is.

There is a highly likely chance a bunch of people in Nepal don’t even notice.

@deonwalker6270

Ай бұрын

They'll notice when there's no sun for 10 years and they're starving.

@markguntly7827

Ай бұрын

They'll notice the missiles flying overhead

@jirik2435

Ай бұрын

Nepal is on the nuclear target list of the US.

@bobdillon1138

Ай бұрын

@@deonwalker6270 You been watching too many movies.

@jirik2435

Ай бұрын

@@jeffreysommer3292 That is the way of Americans. They do lots of things that makes no sense in order to demonstrate their hegemony.

…we gotta get Friedman a change of clothes.

@marions.120

Ай бұрын

At least a tie!

@deanlawson6880

Ай бұрын

I visualize Lex's closet being a perfectly arranged hanging row of about a dozen black suits and white shirts. All immaculate, and in a perfectly straight and even row... Pretty sure that's not all that far from the truth. imho anyway.

@GODSNFTS

Ай бұрын

We will give him a new look 🥸✅

@rmk7120

Ай бұрын

Doesn’t matter what he is wearing, Its actually better that we can assume what he is going to wear, so we can concentrate on what he has to say.

@k9teamzagrebskolazapse149

Ай бұрын

😂😂😂

The reality is we forget about stuff like this is possible and it’s hard to hear

@scottstrand1874

Ай бұрын

Do we suspend reality because it is so terrible we cannot remain sane unless we lie to ourselves 😢?

@grahamfisher5436

Ай бұрын

​@@scottstrand1874 Do you mean as in.. Ignorance is bliss And to think about it.. down that way madness lies

I can't wait for her stand up tour

Sorry to hear that

8:34 read A Canticle For Leibowitz

@Pteromandias

Ай бұрын

Glad I’m not the only one who thought of that.

@jeffreysommer3292

Ай бұрын

@@Pteromandias Me, too! Also, read The Rediscovery of Man by Cordwainer Smith!

@dougpage2730

21 күн бұрын

Ditto! 👍

Ill guess will find out very soon

This is my first time properly watching Lex Fridman content and I am honestly astounded he became as successful as he has.

@blackieblack

3 күн бұрын

Check his early life...

@sayno2lolzisback

3 күн бұрын

@@blackieblack How would that change my opinion of him being a stuttering, mealy mouthed, intellectually stunted human being?

Except the climate models don't even predict climate, so how can they predict nuclear winter?

@mikehuntsmells4309

Ай бұрын

Lollll you’re not the sharpest tool in the shed are you?

@ramrod9556

Ай бұрын

They can't get the weather right two days out but they know what will happen? A climate scientist is a person too useless to bet an actual job in any industry.

@force_majeure4070

Ай бұрын

@@mikehuntsmells4309You should probably research the success and accuracy of climate models before you accuse someone of being "dull". NONE of the models have been able to reliably predict anything because they're incomplete and based on flawed data and assumptions. There are plenty of datasets and charts that show the predictions from various models over the past 30-40 years vs the ACTUAL observations and measurements, and they're not even close.

@pingamalinga

Ай бұрын

Because ice core samples provide thorough evidence of what happens to the Earth's climate when the atmosphere is inundated with heavy ash.

@pingamalinga

Ай бұрын

@@force_majeure4070 Many have been accurate when accounting for a rise in the burning of fossil fuels. Depends which models you're referencing and which variables they use.

Paul Ehrlich has never been right. That was a really bad choice for a co-author. I would have thought Carl Sagan would have been way too smart for that mistake.

@ThePeachtree69

Ай бұрын

Sagan also messed up on Venus and it’s supposed greenhouse effect. Rho x g x h

@TheSperbonzo

Ай бұрын

Yeah, when I saw David's name, it really reduced my faith in the theories regarding the entire scenario

@alexrayoalv

Ай бұрын

@@ThePeachtree69wut? Please elaborate. Venus does have an extreme greenhouse effect.

@alexrayoalv

Ай бұрын

@@TheSperbonzowho is David?

Is that photo of the wishing tree true? Are we to think it is still standing (only 20’) still? The tree in the photo around the 9:20 mark.

curious how do we know the said 5:58 gobekli Tepi tree was used for wishes when we don't really even know what the site was for in the first place 6:57

Wealthy preppers have underground bunkers already set up to survive for years after such an event. They inherit the earth and eventually restart society above ground once it’s viable to do so. All of the present knowledge is saved in these bunkers as well.

@richardtibbetts574

Ай бұрын

😂😂and what are they going to pay the security forces they’ve hired to protect them with?😂😂 If you were an ex Navy Seal and hired on to protect a billionaire and his/her family, what are you going to accept as payment? Most of these elites are unbearable assholes. Are you willing to put up with their crap for a LOOOOOONG TIME, underground, and in close quarters?

@IronskullGM

Ай бұрын

Do you know why the US government stop building shelters for the Public? Because they knew it wasn't realistic to survive underground for more than a few months and the top soil would be so irradiated it would take tens of thousands of years to recover to grow crops for human consumption, or would require massive genetic mutations to allow us to live with massive radiation. Where humans would look like the Morlocks in the old Movie "Time Machine".

@dylanbaker5766

Ай бұрын

Right there is a reason the navy puts you through a shitload of psych evaluations to be on a submarine. People tend to go nutty in enclosed spaces. All those weapons and auditory hallucinations won't mix well. There is going to be a lot of wild shit in those bunkers. Some part of me hopes there's a heaven where I get to watch rich people who needed psych meds to get through their commute in the Range Rover transported with all that cash into a bunker they can't leave with no Amazon Prime. I hope it never happens but the guys who think they're prepping are delusional.

@armannstraughter3296

Ай бұрын

Hm.

@BayhouseLoans

Ай бұрын

@@IronskullGM you’re assuming 100% of all the land in the world would be unusable, and that none of the underground bunkers are located in areas minimally affected by the nukes. Also the technology at the time the government was building bunkers has dramatically changed.

"Who survives?" Should consider " Who wants to survive?"

@meyers6975

Ай бұрын

I would, why not, I mean I live way on the southern hemisphere

@freshcut3398

27 күн бұрын

There is no want associated with it. This is life. It finds a way. You will either die when it happens or you will survive

@angusdog22

25 күн бұрын

Me

@angusdog22

25 күн бұрын

Me, I'd be looking for Mad Maxx

@user-hz6vm7xh8m

15 күн бұрын

No nuke war needed. We have already baked in a mass extinction. ..... *Experts Say Humanity Faces a Grim and “Ghastly Future” - State of Planet Is Much Worse Than Most People Understand* . "A loss of biodiversity and accelerating climate change in the coming decades coupled with ignorance and inaction is threatening the survival of all species, including our very own, according to the experts from institutions including Stanford University, UCLA, and Flinders University. . The researchers state that world leaders need a ‘cold shower’ regarding the state of our environment, both to plan and act to avoid a ghastly future. .uthor Professor Corey Bradshaw of Flinders University in Australia says he and his colleagues have summarized the state of the natural world in stark form to help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. . “Humanity is causing a rapid loss of biodiversity and, with it, Earth’s ability to support complex life. But the mainstream is having difficulty grasping the magnitude of this loss, despite the steady erosion of the fabric of human civilization” Professor Bradshaw says. . “In fact, the scale of the threats to the biosphere and all its lifeforms is so great that it is difficult to grasp for even well-informed experts. . “The problem is compounded by ignorance and short-term self-interest, with the pursuit of wealth and political interests stymying the action that is crucial for survival,” . scitechdaily.com/experts-say-humanity-faces-a-grim-and-ghastly-future-state-of-planet-is-much-worse-than-most-people-understand/ ........................... . *The Scientific Case for NTHE (Near-Term Human Extinction): Reviewing the Evidence* . " Direct mortal effects of climate change include heat waves, which have already caused thousands of human deaths by a combination of heat and humidity (wet-bulb temperature >35°C, such that the human body is physically unable to cool itself with perspiration). . Intermediate causes of death (between direct and indirect) involve crop failures, droughts, flooding, extreme weather, wildfires, and rising seas. . Extinction is the complete disappearance of a species from Earth. The predominant cause of extinction is loss of habitat. . medium.com/@kconne/the-scientific-case-for-near-term-human-extinction-nthe-reviewing-the-evidence-2e5b8a12da26

I highly reccomend the book, The Rats.

Genuine question here. Didn't Australia in 2019 have vast amounts of soot? How long did it stay in the atmosphere?

@staffnsnake

22 күн бұрын

Nothing like that discussed here. Australia has had bushfires larger than 2019 but without the level of news coverage of 2019, when it was attributed to climate change.

Born in 1950…the significance of the sheer magnitude I was privileged to witness, right up to and including putting on an Apple Vision Pro , which reminded me of the scene in space odyssey 2001 , where the caveman hurls the bone into the sky and it transmutes into the space age….same now?…..but then the paradox of this nuclear winter….and both my wife conclude….fuck it! we have enjoyed the ride , and if these assholes running the planet decide on this futile strategy….then mankind deserves the consequences…. Wow….is there life after death was always an interesting question to ponder…..but life after this lunacy….forget it!

@thzzzt

Ай бұрын

Is there nothing you love about humanity? Maybe you should zoom out a little. Most of the world is innocent.

@StarfireReborn

Ай бұрын

​@@thzzzt Correct. Good Hearted, Kind, Compassionate, Creative, Humorous, Determined & Completely Worth Saving In My Absolutely Humble Opinion.

@user-hz6vm7xh8m

15 күн бұрын

No nuke war needed. We have already baked in a mass extinction. ..... *Experts Say Humanity Faces a Grim and “Ghastly Future” - State of Planet Is Much Worse Than Most People Understand* . "A loss of biodiversity and accelerating climate change in the coming decades coupled with ignorance and inaction is threatening the survival of all species, including our very own, according to the experts from institutions including Stanford University, UCLA, and Flinders University. . The researchers state that world leaders need a ‘cold shower’ regarding the state of our environment, both to plan and act to avoid a ghastly future. .uthor Professor Corey Bradshaw of Flinders University in Australia says he and his colleagues have summarized the state of the natural world in stark form to help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. . “Humanity is causing a rapid loss of biodiversity and, with it, Earth’s ability to support complex life. But the mainstream is having difficulty grasping the magnitude of this loss, despite the steady erosion of the fabric of human civilization” Professor Bradshaw says. . “In fact, the scale of the threats to the biosphere and all its lifeforms is so great that it is difficult to grasp for even well-informed experts. . “The problem is compounded by ignorance and short-term self-interest, with the pursuit of wealth and political interests stymying the action that is crucial for survival,” . scitechdaily.com/experts-say-humanity-faces-a-grim-and-ghastly-future-state-of-planet-is-much-worse-than-most-people-understand/ ........................... . *The Scientific Case for NTHE (Near-Term Human Extinction): Reviewing the Evidence* . " Direct mortal effects of climate change include heat waves, which have already caused thousands of human deaths by a combination of heat and humidity (wet-bulb temperature >35°C, such that the human body is physically unable to cool itself with perspiration). . Intermediate causes of death (between direct and indirect) involve crop failures, droughts, flooding, extreme weather, wildfires, and rising seas. . Extinction is the complete disappearance of a species from Earth. The predominant cause of extinction is loss of habitat. . medium.com/@kconne/the-scientific-case-for-near-term-human-extinction-nthe-reviewing-the-evidence-2e5b8a12da26

Could this already have happened before already????!!???

@Dangerousoldman

Ай бұрын

Yes.

@iShowUnusualBehavior

Ай бұрын

Ever since i was a kid my mom always believed it has,as she would say; “nothing new under the sun”

@hypergraphic

Ай бұрын

I doubt it.

@hlriiiviiiv

Ай бұрын

@@iShowUnusualBehaviorthat is a quote from the Bible.

@thatdawghouse

Ай бұрын

She said 1000, 1500 weapons.. there are over 10,000 multiple megaton warheads between Russia & the States. She's thinking were only going to detonate 1500.. 😂

Wow, she pronounced "Ö" extremely well! 5:33

Love her voice

When Jacobsen states "12k years ago hunter-gatherers came together to build Gobekli Tepi" her credibility drops to zero. The immense unheeding mindlessness. Then we realize Annie is bending reality to fit her imagination, rather than the opposite.

@robbieclark7828

14 күн бұрын

Elaborate?

There are a few misleading points being made here. You cannot compare the ash and soot frim a nuclear war to that of, say the end of the Cretaceous event. The latter ejected many orders of magnitude more ash and soot than the former ever could. Its just not comparable. That much smaller level of soot and ash, which would be much lower in the atmosphere than the ejecta from a meteor or comet impact, will not travel easily into the Southern Hemisphere. In vast areas of that reguon, and lijely almost all if it, you would barely be able to tell that a nuclear war had occurred apart from the collapse of the economy. Therefore, human knowledge and civilization, though badly damaged, would continue uninterrupted. Thousands of libraries and hundreds of universities and colleges exist in the Southern Hemisphere that would be untouched.

@hlriiiviiiv

Ай бұрын

Untouched infrastructure bereft of humanity which is too busy starving to read.

@markwillies7666

Ай бұрын

I live in Cape Town so that's good news.

@veryimportantpooches2619

Ай бұрын

Facts! I've read this too. Much of the nuclear winter modelling is based on the nuclear stocks of the 1960s to the 1980s assuming most warheads are used i.e. many tens of thousands. Further, only two nuclear weapons have been used on population centers - Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Most buildings in those cities were constructed from wood. They were basically vast tinder boxes. Most modern European, American, Middle Eastern and Far East cities are constructed from concrete and metal. You are spot on about the dynamics of the expanse of the ash in the atmosphere. Much less will reach the stratosphere, therefore, it will not stay around for years. There are other theories that posit that, because many modern weapons are a lower yield than in the past, considering the remaining stocks that not all of them will be used, and the fact that less matter will be in the atmosphere, depending on the scale of the nuclear exchange, civilisation will fully recover within 3-10 years.

The system of the earth is so complex we can’t even reliably predict the weather, nobody knows what 2 years after nuclear war would be, but my guess is it would be worse than anything we could predict or imagine.

It's widely understood that modern cities don't have the fuel loading required to sustain a firestorm. No matter how many incendiary weapons were used on Berlin in 1945, no firestorm was possible. Nuclear winter is extremely unlikely.

**Earth's only remaining inhabitant** Chuck Norris: "Peace, at last"

Next they're be complaining about global cooling in the news everyday 🙄

@williamduck1998

Ай бұрын

They did that in the late 70s.

@noahbrooks8939

Ай бұрын

Great input, guy

@pingamalinga

Ай бұрын

Whos they?

@ChatGPT1111

Ай бұрын

Kinda like they did in the 70's 😂😂😂

@valdivia1234567

Ай бұрын

There was already an article about how a small nuclear conflict could "fix" global warming.

The whole concept of a nuclear war is completely unfathomable, unless someone out there thinks they can escape the consequence. The question is, who is it that thinks a nuclear exchange is survivable?

chilling

Right….? Right? …..right? ….right?….

I don’t understand why anyone would want to survive nuclear ☢️ war

@bobanmilisavljevic7857

Ай бұрын

Beats not surviving

@Oakdieu

Ай бұрын

​@@bobanmilisavljevic7857 To play golf off an aircraft carrier and to drive round in a sports car with my dog avoiding zombies.

@donatelloDoesmachines13

Ай бұрын

i dont even want to survive modern life, as it is.

@crewmax4240

Ай бұрын

Because there's more to life than a good cell signal.

@carollasley6610

Ай бұрын

I don't understand how weak people like yourself would want to die just because you can't live the soft life you have now.

Pasco man found on Columbia River was dated 40-50,000 years old. They have also found Mammoth bones not far from that same place. Central Washington State. We know absolutely nothing about the past truly .

A Hollywood movie should be made about this topic.

Research has shown that Australia and NZ would be relatively unaffected since most of the nuclear fallout would occur in the northern hemisphere and these two island nations with relatively small populations will likely have enough food and water for their people. In the previous clip she said that 5B people will die meaning 3B people will survive so thats not exactly civilisational collapse. There will be enough ppl left to continue human civilisation.

@121monkey216

Ай бұрын

Yea but do we really want Australia to be the savior of humanity 😂

@MarioP9511

Ай бұрын

@@121monkey216 Are you sure? I can see Russia/North Korea razing USA, Canada, Europe, Australia, Japan, South Korea. The safest places will be South America and South of the African continent. Maybe China would stay neutral.

@grahamfisher5436

Ай бұрын

1st. Where can we see this research . Please 2nd. Australia has "facilities" that make them a target too Once the hydrogen bombs were tested It was realised that should they be used That's it... Life on Earth is gone.

@7th.trumpet

27 күн бұрын

No nation will be unaffected by nuclear war 😂. Even if some large parts of Africa don't get hit, they solely rely on foreign aid now to survive, so they'd starve/die from illness the minute Europe, America and most of Asia has be destroyed Aanyway 🤷🏼‍♂️.

I'm skeptical of these claims. I don't think she takes into account that the southern hemisphere will be largely untouched by even an all-out nuclear war where everyone launches everything. Argentina, Brazil, New Zealand, and Australia, and the countries in the southern part of Africa. Likely Indonesia and many ASEAN nations would be on the fringe of the climate effects and could restart agriculture sooner than in the north. So to answer the question, how many people could the farms in these regions support. I think that would answer the question. Civilization would not disappear, and think it would start to rebuild from the countries in the southern hemisphere. It would be a rather interesting but grim simulation to do.

@Jaibee27

Ай бұрын

China becomes the dominant superpower

@ThisIsJustADrillBit

Ай бұрын

I think there are bases in those regions so the discussion of an all out nuclear exchange would likely include regions near the places youve listed too as the retaliatory strikes as every nuclear power attacks the other.

@baronvonhoughton

Ай бұрын

ASEAN

@ramrod9556

Ай бұрын

You assume that the nuclear forces will only fire on each other. In the end game scenario those countries will have policies that if we are not going to survive this, then why should any other country go untouched. Even under developed nations would likely see their major cities bombed. With about 14,000 nukes in the world there will be plenty to go around.

@thzzzt

Ай бұрын

I don't think radioactive atmospheric soot would respect those boundaries.

sheesh. she on a roll, name-dropping. glad this could come to light

I am so scared now. I think I will buy her book and watch Lex more.

You can learn all this from one simple film called Threads

@andrewweber2010

Ай бұрын

I'm glad someone mentioned Threads. Remember when the baby is born at the end? That sums it all up.

@patrickk6331

Ай бұрын

@@andrewweber2010 truly the scariest film ever made.

@AwakenedAvocado

Ай бұрын

That is my favorite movie ever

@AwakenedAvocado

Ай бұрын

​@@patrickk6331it's not that bad really they seemed to be enjoying themself after the nuclear annihilation

@Orakzai_Afghan

Ай бұрын

Where can i watch that movie ???

Fascinating yet frightening beyond belief. May we save us from our ourselves.

War never changes..

Toons nuclear winter theory has been highly controversial he takes fudges the numbers to get the outcome he wants.

@StarfireReborn

Ай бұрын

Like All The Other Models. You Have To Input The Information You Expect To See And Watch It Progress. If You Put Your Will In, Your Will Be Done, Yes? Amen.

@stevenobrien557

Ай бұрын

I think not so much controversial as proven false. This guy now claiming that things would be worse is just bullshit.

Haven’t we already detonated over 2000 nukes on earth? Obviously not over 72 minutes…. But we are already living on a planet that’s survived thousands of nuclear explosions.

@bobharris5093

Ай бұрын

you must be your parents crown jewel pride

@rat_king2801

Ай бұрын

just on remote testing ranges, underground and in the ocean. its the huge fires burning in cities and surrounding woodlands that will create the tonnes of ash that will block the sun and wipe out all life.

@jte5829

Ай бұрын

Nukes detonated in uninhabited areas spaced out over decades isnt what shes talking about. Shes talking about thousands of nukes hitting every major city within an hour.

@johnostro7153

Ай бұрын

Take it easy on him. He's from Canada

@arbusthurmapoly6049

Ай бұрын

Im not trying to be mean. Did you watch the video? She literally states that a contributing factor to nuclear winter is the burning cities and land, basically like standing next to a trash fire but the whole world. Do you think in our nuclear tests weve burned entire cities and continents? If you heard all that and you still dont get it you should be the bigger man and stop having opinions bc ur ability to absorb information is limited at best.

The description of the bombs stopping after 72 min is inaccurate given that the subs launch 3-days after they lose contact. Not that this steps away from the thrust of her assertions.

The combined effects of nuclear winter with radiation poisoned Is just out of this world.

This is total theory .

@jamesdelaney3797

Ай бұрын

Theory? We're all dead

@SootyGrouse

Ай бұрын

It’s total theory….so far.

@bradleydavis8714

Ай бұрын

Glad you said it. It’s a money grab for the book. Smh

@this_time_imperfect

Ай бұрын

Thank you for clarifying that I thought she was describing a historical event that actually happened an was documented.

@mediaman34

Ай бұрын

@@jamesdelaney3797 I’m very much alive.

she moonlights at hallmark😀

A profoundly brutal yet honest conversation. Thank you and Bravo, Lex. Well done indeed.

Pulled up KZread looking for mindless happiness, left crying and depressed listening to this ray of sunshine.

Keith Richard's will survive

Who could possibly believe this? Nuclear war doesnt wipe out everything humans have done, there would be plenty of things that would help survivors get back to where we are incredibly quickly. People adapt and figure out a way forward.

@jasona5806

Ай бұрын

As far as I know there are no nukes pointed at South America or Africa

@JohnyX333x

Ай бұрын

Are you serious dude? What do you mean who can believe this? If all nuclear war broke out it doesn't matter where you try to run the sun will be blocked by smoke. No food. No way to grow food. Water will be poisoned by radiation. It will literally be the end of the world

@jasonkloos6348

Ай бұрын

​@@jasona5806if there are American military bases there, there absolutely are.

Scary..

Have you watched "when the wind blows'

If all the written texts were destroyed tomorrow, in 2000 years our science books would be the same but all of our religious texts would be different.

@armannstraughter3296

Ай бұрын

Hm.

@johnostro7153

Ай бұрын

Hopefully our science books would be better just based on what people remember that's not written down

@This-time-more-than-ever

Ай бұрын

Lol. I hear hell is hot 🔥 Good.luck science boy.

@kandoundou23

Ай бұрын

@@This-time-more-than-everwhere do you hear that from? Religious texts. 😂

@Bereal365

Ай бұрын

Except the Quran which is memorized by over 400,000,000

I’m currently reading Neil Price’s Children of Ash and Elm. It’s a history of the Vikings. He posited that the mini ice age that began in 536 and all the social upheaval it caused forged the Viking society and religion. Who knows what would happen to us?

What a topic to talk about, I'm glad I'm on the short list now at my age of living. Good luck living if you make it

Yes people would survive in humanity would return, hopefully without social media😂

@CommanderSmiley

Ай бұрын

Yes no more narcissistic tiktok dancing

@this_time_imperfect

Ай бұрын

Only Snap Chat survives...

Oh come on. It’s not that bad.

@121monkey216

Ай бұрын

Yes it is, look it up

I just heard this podcast wow. How devastating I am floored Godspeed All

two "mismatches" make our current time extremely unstable and dangerous: 1, our civilisation both locally (complex systems depending on each other) and globally (nations depending on each other) has become highly synergised in its structure meaning that our currently known life can disappear much quickly than most of us think. in other words, our modern (more precisely: postmodern), globalised world is far from robust. this means that the world's two (dual) aspects are mismatched: its structure is already synergised (we depend on each other, the parts and the whole got in a reflexive relation, and destinies and interests are already intertwined in general), but our applied strategy is still antagonising (instead of synergising). our mindset should be altered on the most fundamental level, and GLOBALLY. 2, our actions can be modelled as vectors. a vector has magnitude and direction. magnitude is related to potential, while direction is related to intention. scientific developments and technological advancements have effect on the former, but only on the former. earlier, in the premodern eras, religions (monotheistic ones) had effect on the latter. this is why religions formed the basis of human civilisation and social order. but these systems applied FAITH. however, this kind of strategy is no sufficient anymore. and not only because the answers of these religions are heavily outdated, but also because faith is inherently differentiating and fragmenting due to its necessarily inherent characteristic of multiplicity. there can potentially be infinitely many tales and religious stories, but there is always one truth. this is why now, at the entrance of the next era (metamodernism), we must change strategy and apply UNDERSTANDING. so what does it mean? it means two things: firstly, this strategy combines the tool of science (reason) with the function of religions (effect on social system and development), so this would mean some sort of synthesis of science and religion, and secondly, this strategy could match the magnitude aspect and the direction aspect of our action vector even in a world with synergised structure. if we fail to guarantee the match in the second case, we will fail to guarantee the match in the first case. and that would necessarily lead to shared fall and failure, probably on global and civilisational scale. and why did I write all these under this video? because a global scale nuclear war perfectly reflects this mismatch I was talking about: momently there are a handful of men, mainly old, sick, dement and/or narcissistic sociopaths, who have full control over 12000 nuclear warheads. the world (our civilisation) has never been so close to full elimination. so the magnitude of our action vector is EXTREMELY large, all of our genius minds led to this in thousands of years (scientific and technological advancements), but we still have no real control over our collective action vector. momently, this is a fucking Russian roulette. and this is scary as fuck.

The meek shall inherit the earth

@brettmiddleton5013

Ай бұрын

Somehow the coward always survives to reap the benefits of the brave

@gregg9725

Ай бұрын

The only thing Meek inherited was Diddy’s D.

@martinmeoni8152

Ай бұрын

2112

@elmerkilred159

Ай бұрын

Because, nobody else will want it.

@dansmaaslet6623

Ай бұрын

Meek fallow the strong lead so who inherits what?

Nuclear winter could be great for global warming though, right?

@johnmuellner8188

Ай бұрын

Good point. What level of atmospheric CO2 would it take to covert nuclear winter to springtime? Remember increased CO2 increases plant growth.

I left school end 1967 and I wrote an essay about Nuclear Winter. It was already spoken about then?

God help us all! We need a miracle at this point

Look at Hiroshima, I know that the bombs were smaller but the city is now thriving.

@jamespsyfer

Ай бұрын

Heard today that the people.. even now 2024 … 80 odd years later , some are still experiencing radiological effects … inter generational mutations? Cancer rates ? Also the buildings that I have seen in photos, look fairly flattened. The bombs today are 1000 times more powerful than 1945. I believe there is stigma against hibukusha … women who are pariahs in terms of marriage inter generationally? Because they have “ blood of the devil” .. that is to say their offspring have a real possibility of being born horribly deformed

@jamespsyfer

Ай бұрын

People in Hiroshima.. hikabusha etc still suffer radiological damage apparently. Modern atomic bomb equivalent are 1000 times more powerful at high estimates and 10 times at lower estimates. At lower estimates.. ONE BOMB would kill 1 million immediately and two million more possibly dying within 72 hours…so 3 million. At least in theory launch on warning systems triggered ALL BOMBS from various countries would be triggered. Deaths would be in the order of billions most likely… then you have to factor in mutations/ climate etc. Even if the climate wasn’t as damaged as estimates, it still would I’ve a great life experience

@hopsie9983

Ай бұрын

That was the first ever one, now there are thousands. If several are dropped in the same country, its game over, no recovery for centuries.

@samwestfahl3959

Ай бұрын

Those bombs were atomic, not nuclear. Much differant.

@AV-cx7ob

Ай бұрын

You can’t be serious drawing a parallel conclusion…?